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1 – 10 of 136Anindya Chakrabarty, Zongwei Luo, Rameshwar Dubey and Shan Jiang
The purpose of this paper is to develop a theoretical model of a jump diffusion-mean reversion constant proportion portfolio insurance strategy under the presence of transaction…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to develop a theoretical model of a jump diffusion-mean reversion constant proportion portfolio insurance strategy under the presence of transaction cost and stochastic floor as opposed to the deterministic floor used in the previous literatures.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper adopts Merton’s jump diffusion (JD) model to simulate the price path followed by risky assets and the CIR mean reversion model to simulate the path followed by the short-term interest rate. The floor of the CPPI strategy is linked to the stochastic process driving the value of a fixed income instrument whose yield follows the CIR mean reversion model. The developed model is benchmarked against CNX-NIFTY 50 and is back tested during the extreme regimes in the Indian market using the scenario-based Monte Carlo simulation technique.
Findings
Back testing the algorithm using Monte Carlo simulation across the crisis and recovery phases of the 2008 recession regime revealed that the portfolio performs better than the risky markets during the crisis by hedging the downside risk effectively and performs better than the fixed income instruments during the growth phase by leveraging on the upside potential. This makes it a value-enhancing proposition for the risk-averse investors.
Originality/value
The study modifies the CPPI algorithm by re-defining the floor of the algorithm to be a stochastic mean reverting process which is guided by the movement of the short-term interest rate in the economy. This development is more relevant for two reasons: first, the short-term interest rate changes with time, and hence the constant yield during each rebalancing steps is not practically feasible; second, the historical literatures have revealed that the short-term interest rate tends to move opposite to that of the equity market. Thereby, during the bear run the floor will increase at a higher rate, whereas the growth of the floor will stagnate during the bull phase which aids the model to capitalize on the upward potential during the growth phase and to cut down on the exposure during the crisis phase.
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Ning Rong and Farzad Alavi Fard
The purpose of this paper is to propose a model for ruin‐contingent life annuity (RCLA) contracts under a jump diffusion model, where the dynamics of volatility is governed by the…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to propose a model for ruin‐contingent life annuity (RCLA) contracts under a jump diffusion model, where the dynamics of volatility is governed by the Heston stochastic volatility framework. The paper aims to illustrate that the proposed jump diffusion process, for both asset price and stochastic volatility, will provide a more realistic pricing model for RCLA contracts in comparison to existing models.
Design/methodology/approach
Under the assumption of the deterministic withdrawals, the authors use a partial integro differential equation (PIDE) approach to develop the pricing scheme for the fair value of the lump sum charges of RCLA contracts. Consequently, the authors employ an elegant numerical scheme, finite difference method, for solving the PIDEs for the reference portfolio, as well as the volatility. The findings show that a different pricing behaviour of the RCLA contracts under the authors' model parameters is obtained compared to that in the existing literature.
Findings
RCLA pricing in the complete market often underestimates the jump risk and the persistent factor in the volatility process. The authors' generalized model shows how these two random sources of risks can be precisely characterized.
Research limitations/implications
The parameter values used in the numerical analysis require more empirical evidence. Hence, in order for more precise pricing practice, the calibration from real data is needed.
Practical implications
The model, as adopted in this study, for pricing of RCLA contracts should provide a general guideline for the commercialization of this product by insurance companies.
Social implications
The demand for RCLA contracts as an alternative to the commonly‐practised annuitization option has recently increased, rapidly, among the soon‐to‐retire baby boomers. This paper investigates the fair value of this particular product, which could be beneficial to researchers for a better understanding of the product design.
Originality/value
This is the first research paper which prices the RCLA contracts in the incomplete market. The gap between RCLA contract pricing and studies of jump diffusion models for derivative pricing, in the literature, is therefore filled.
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Nisha, Neha Puri, Namita Rajput and Harjit Singh
The purpose of this study is to analyse and compile the literature on various option pricing models (OPM) or methodologies. The report highlights the gaps in the existing…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this study is to analyse and compile the literature on various option pricing models (OPM) or methodologies. The report highlights the gaps in the existing literature review and builds recommendations for potential scholars interested in the subject area.
Design/methodology/approach
In this study, the researchers used a systematic literature review procedure to collect data from Scopus. Bibliometric and structured network analyses were used to examine the bibliometric properties of 864 research documents.
Findings
As per the findings of the study, publication in the field has been increasing at a rate of 6% on average. This study also includes a list of the most influential and productive researchers, frequently used keywords and primary publications in this subject area. In particular, Thematic map and Sankey’s diagram for conceptual structure and for intellectual structure co-citation analysis and bibliographic coupling were used.
Research limitations/implications
Based on the conclusion presented in this paper, there are several potential implications for research, practice and society.
Practical implications
This study provides useful insights for future research in the area of OPM in financial derivatives. Researchers can focus on impactful authors, significant work and productive countries and identify potential collaborators. The study also highlights the commonly used OPMs and emerging themes like machine learning and deep neural network models, which can inform practitioners about new developments in the field and guide the development of new models to address existing limitations.
Social implications
The accurate pricing of financial derivatives has significant implications for society, as it can impact the stability of financial markets and the wider economy. The findings of this study, which identify the most commonly used OPMs and emerging themes, can help improve the accuracy of pricing and risk management in the financial derivatives sector, which can ultimately benefit society as a whole.
Originality/value
It is possibly the initial effort to consolidate the literature on calibration on option price by evaluating and analysing alternative OPM applied by researchers to guide future research in the right direction.
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The credit migration process contains important information about the dynamics of a firm's credit quality, therefore, it has a significant impact on its relevant credit…
Abstract
The credit migration process contains important information about the dynamics of a firm's credit quality, therefore, it has a significant impact on its relevant credit derivatives. We present a jump diffusion approach to model the credit rating transitions which leads to a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) formulation, with defaults and rating changes characterized by barrier crossings. Efficient and reliable numerical solutions are developed for the variable coefficient equation that result in good agreement with historical and market data, across all credit ratings. A simple adjustment in the credit index drift converts the model to be used in the risk-neutral setting, which makes it a valuable tool in credit derivative pricing.
This paper gives a selective review on some recent developments of nonparametric methods in both continuous and discrete time finance, particularly in the areas of nonparametric…
Abstract
This paper gives a selective review on some recent developments of nonparametric methods in both continuous and discrete time finance, particularly in the areas of nonparametric estimation and testing of diffusion processes, nonparametric testing of parametric diffusion models, nonparametric pricing of derivatives, nonparametric estimation and hypothesis testing for nonlinear pricing kernel, and nonparametric predictability of asset returns. For each financial context, the paper discusses the suitable statistical concepts, models, and modeling procedures, as well as some of their applications to financial data. Their relative strengths and weaknesses are discussed. Much theoretical and empirical research is needed in this area, and more importantly, the paper points to several aspects that deserve further investigation.
The purpose of this paper is to examine the argument that the put options traded in the exchanges are too high, compared to the asset prices based on the classical CAPM model, and…
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to examine the argument that the put options traded in the exchanges are too high, compared to the asset prices based on the classical CAPM model, and thus the short position of the put option would make a significant profit from trading. In order to explore the earlier report, this paper, using the KOSPI 200 index options market price, estimates the historical rate of return on several option trading strategies such as naked option, protective put, covered call, straddle, and strangle. Secondly this paper compares the historical rates of return on the option trading strategies and Sharpe ratios with those generated by Monte-Carlo simulation and examines whether the historical option returns are inconsistent with Black-Scholes model, Jump-diffusion model, Stochastic Volatility model, or Stochastic Volatility with Jump model. Thirdly, this paper computes the optimal asset allocation ratio among the risk-free asset, risky assets, and option trading strategies in the viewpoint of rational investors who maximize the CRRA utility function.
The results show that the historical returns on short position of ATM and OTM puts are too high to explain based on the classical CAPM, and the optimal allocation ratios among put, risky asset, and the risk-free asset are different from those derived using Monte-Carlo simulation.
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Hassan Tanha and Michael Dempsey
The purpose of this paper is to assign fair values to options reduces to the attempt to attribute correct implied volatilities. Here, the authors extend the study by Tanha et al.…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to assign fair values to options reduces to the attempt to attribute correct implied volatilities. Here, the authors extend the study by Tanha et al. (2014) to determine the impact of macro economic announcements on the option smile.
Design/methodology/approach
First, the authors estimate the implied volatility function in terms of moneyness. The authors next analyse the impact of macroeconomic announcements on the estimated coefficients (b 0, b 1, b 2) by regressing the coefficients on the macroeconomic announcements.
Findings
The authors find that in-the-money options are sensitive to such announcements, but that out-of-the money options are not. This is consistent with the interpretation of investor behaviour from prospect theory.
Originality/value
The systematic pricing errors that have been documented using the Black-Scholes model have stimulated attempts to improve the model predictions. The approach uses DVF model to improve the B-S model.
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Khushbu Agrawal and Yogesh Maheshwari
– The purpose of this paper is to assess the significance of the Merton distance-to-default (DD) in predicting defaults for a sample of listed Indian firms.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to assess the significance of the Merton distance-to-default (DD) in predicting defaults for a sample of listed Indian firms.
Design/methodology/approach
The study uses a matched pair sample of defaulting and non-defaulting listed Indian firms. It employs two alternative statistical techniques, namely, logistic regression and multiple discriminant analysis.
Findings
The option-based DD is found to be statistically significant in predicting defaults and has a significantly negative relationship with the probability of default. The DD retains its significance even after the addition of Altman’s Z-score. This further establishes its robustness as a significant predictor of default.
Originality/value
The study re-establishes the utility of the Merton model in India using a simplified version of the Merton model that can be easily operationalized by practitioners, reasonably larger sample size and is done in a more recent period covering the post global financial crisis period. The findings could be valuable to banks, financial institutions, investors and managers.
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The purpose of this paper is to obtain a comprehensive structure of past empirical studies on financial contagion which can provide the present growth and future scope of research…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to obtain a comprehensive structure of past empirical studies on financial contagion which can provide the present growth and future scope of research work on the field of contagion analysis.
Design/methodology/approach
Present study identifies 151 empirical studies on financial contagion and summarises all the studies on the basis of tools and methodology used, year of the studies, origin of the studies, sample period and sample countries taken, studies undertaken on the basis of different crisis period and markets considered and finally sources of the studies.
Findings
The results of the analysis show that the empirical studies on contagion increased continuously over the past five years. Higher order test of contagion with more number of sample countries may provide more accurate picture on financial contagion.
Originality/value
This paper collects, classifies and summarises past empirical studies on financial contagion and provides valuable conclusion on present growth and future scope of studies on financial contagion. The information given in this paper can be helpful for future researchers and academicians on this particular field; the summary of the conclusion (from past reviews) may be helpful for the policy makers for asset allocation and risk management.
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