Search results

New harmful trade interventions will fall into 2024

Location:

INT

Trade protectionism grew in 2020 and 2022 due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

A world of walls may also see a rise in interventions

Location:

INT

Grandiose barrier-building plans are a new global fashion; the reality is more complicated

Syria’s complex conflicts show states have the edge

Location:

SYRIA

A resurgent Damascus and increasingly committed foreign interventions are squeezing out non-state actors

Russia will mix strength and caution to seek respect

Location:

RUSSIA

Moscow’s relationships with allies and adversaries are coloured by its interventions in Ukraine and Syria 

Unorthodox policies will weaken Turkish banks

Location:

TURKEY

Unorthodox monetary policies have raised concerns about bank profitability

Trade shifting from multilateralism to smaller groups

Location:

INT

The WTO meeting may struggle to reach agreement on fishing and farming, let alone on dispute resolution or digital trade

Risks and opportunities 2021: Former Soviet states

Location:

CIS

As the former Soviet space reels under COVID’s economic impact, more states are in conflict or political turmoil

Risks to African democratic governance loom in 2018

Location:

AFRICA

Several broad trends and potential flashpoints in 2018 could provoke democratic backsliding and associated unrest

African coup risk will be regionally concentrated

Location:

AFRICA

Gabon and Niger have both experienced coups this year, raising concerns over wider coup risks

Non-bank finance faultlines may fuel explosive crises

Location:

INT

Non-bank financial entities hold half of financial assets, are highly leveraged, and are far less regulated than banks