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1 – 10 of over 13000Walter Dolde, Carmelo Giaccotto, Dev R. Mishra and Thomas O'Brien
The purpose of this paper is to assess how much difference it makes for US firms to use the two‐factor ICAPM to estimate their cost of equity instead of a single‐factor CAPM.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to assess how much difference it makes for US firms to use the two‐factor ICAPM to estimate their cost of equity instead of a single‐factor CAPM.
Design/methodology/approach
For a large sample of US companies, the authors compare the empirical cost of equity estimates of a two‐factor international CAPM with those of the single‐factor domestic CAPM and the single‐factor global CAPM.
Findings
The authors find that the cost of equity estimates of the two‐factor ICAPM are reasonably close to those of either single‐factor model for US firms with low‐to‐moderate foreign exchange exposure; and second, perhaps surprisingly, for US firms with extreme foreign exchange exposure, that the cost of equity estimates of the two‐factor ICAPM tend to be very close to those of the domestic CAPM, and even closer than to those of the single‐factor global CAPM.
Research limitations/implications
The paper's findings might prove useful to academic researchers wanting to resolve the seemingly contradictory empirical results on the pricing of FX risk.
Practical implications
The findings will hopefully help managers decide whether they should go to the trouble of estimating a US firm's cost of equity with the two‐factor international CAPM instead of a traditional single‐factor CAPM.
Originality/value
The paper extends the existing literature by focusing on the two‐factor ICAPM, and finds some new and surprising empirical results.
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Baojing Sun, Changhao Guo and G. Cornelis van Kooten
The paper analyzes the hedging efficiency of weather-indexed insurance for corn production in Northeast of China. The purpose of this paper is to identify the potential weather…
Abstract
Purpose
The paper analyzes the hedging efficiency of weather-indexed insurance for corn production in Northeast of China. The purpose of this paper is to identify the potential weather variables that impact corn yields and to analyze the efficiency of weather-indexed insurance under varying thresholds for payouts (strike values).
Design/methodology/approach
Statistical relationships between climate variables and crop yields are used to construct weather-indexed insurance that enable a farmer to hedge against adverse precipitation outcomes. Mean root square loss is used to compare the efficiency of various weather products.
Findings
Based on efficiency comparisons, it turns out that in some, but not all circumstances, cumulative rainfall (CR) insurance can be used to hedge weather risk. When CR explains one-third or more of the variation in corn yields, a hedge can offset the revenue loss caused by the corresponding weather risk; but when it explains much less of the yield variation, it is inefficient for hedgers to buy weather insurance. If CR explains variation in crop yields, it is increasingly efficient to employ CR-indexed insurance as strike values decline for put options or increase for call options.
Practical implications
The paper provides a method for calculating the premium for an insurance product that provides a payout if CR in a growing season is too low.
Originality/value
This research is important because it illustrates the potential benefits of using weather insurance as an agricultural risk management strategy in China.
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Demonstrates the feasibility of, and introduces a practical approach to enhancing, reinsurance efficiency using index‐based instruments.
Abstract
Purpose
Demonstrates the feasibility of, and introduces a practical approach to enhancing, reinsurance efficiency using index‐based instruments.
Design/methodology/approach
First reviews the general mathematical framework of reinsurance optimization. Next, illustrates how index‐based instruments can potentially enhance reinsurance efficiency through a simple yet self‐contained example. The simplicity allows the analytical examination of the cost and benefits of an index‐based contract. Finally, introduces a real‐world model that optimizes index‐based reinsurance instruments using the genetic algorithm.
Findings
Identifies the key factors that determine the efficiency of index‐based reinsurance contracts and demonstrates that, in the property catastrophe reinsurance market, the combined effect of these factors frequently allows the construction of an index‐based hedging program that is more efficient than a traditional excess‐of‐loss reinsurance contract. A robust optimization model based on the genetic algorithm is introduced and shown to be effective in optimizing index‐based reinsurance contracts.
Research limitations/implications
Most financial optimization procedures are subject to parameter risk, which can adversely affect the robustness of their solutions. The reinsurance optimization approach presented in this paper is not completely immune from this problem. It remains a challenging problem for actuarial researchers and practitioners.
Practical implications
The concept and method proposed in this paper can be applied to designing real‐world reinsurance programs.
Originality/value
This paper makes two contributions to the risk finance literature: a systematic approach for evaluating the costs and benefits of index‐based reinsurance instruments, and an innovative and practical model for optimizing reinsurance efficiency.
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Song Cao, Ziran Li, Kees G. Koedijk and Xiang Gao
While the classic futures pricing tool works well for capital markets that are less affected by sentiment, it needs further modification in China's case as retail investors…
Abstract
Purpose
While the classic futures pricing tool works well for capital markets that are less affected by sentiment, it needs further modification in China's case as retail investors constitute a large portion of the Chinese stock market participants. Their expectations of the rate of return are prone to emotional swings. This paper, therefore, explores the role of investor sentiment in explaining futures basis changes via the channel of implied discount rates.
Design/methodology/approach
Using Chinese equity market data from 2010 to 2019, the authors augment the cost-of-carry model for pricing stock index futures by incorporating the investor sentiment factor. This design allows us to estimate the basis in a better way that reflects the relationship between the underlying index price and its futures price.
Findings
The authors find strong evidence that the measure of Chinese investor sentiment drives the abnormal fluctuations in the basis of China's stock index futures. Moreover, this driving force turns out to be much less prominent for large-cap stocks, liquid contracting frequencies, regulatory loosening periods and mature markets, further verifying the sentiment argument for basis mispricing.
Originality/value
This study contributes to the literature by relying on investor sentiment measures to explain the persistent discount anomaly of index futures basis in China. This finding is of great importance for Chinese investors with the intention to implement arbitrage, hedging and speculation strategies.
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Using S&P 500 additions, the purpose of this paper is to test the permanence of abnormal returns around the index inclusion announcement and effective implementation dates to…
Abstract
Purpose
Using S&P 500 additions, the purpose of this paper is to test the permanence of abnormal returns around the index inclusion announcement and effective implementation dates to differentiate among competing explanations for the index inclusion premia puzzle.
Design/methodology/approach
The event study methodology is used to examine abnormal returns and volume effects around the announcement dates (ADs) and implementation dates of index additions.
Findings
This study documents a twofold increase in trading volume and significant permanent abnormal returns at the ADs that are correlated with subsequent decreases in bid‐ask spreads. There is a fivefold increase in trading volume, but only temporary abnormal returns, around the effective dates (EDs). Taken collectively, the evidence indicates that the permanent return at announcement is best explained by liquidity/information cost explanation, but the temporary return and large trading increases at the ED can best be attributed to the price pressure hypothesis.
Research limitations/implications
These results do not support the well documented long‐run downward‐sloping demand curve as the primary explanation for the abnormal returns observed on these dates.
Originality/value
This study contributes to the body of literature on the index inclusion effect by providing supporting evidence for the liquidity/information cost explanation, and by extending the previously analyzed index additions with an additional five‐year period from 2000‐2004.
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Neha Sharma, Amit Sharma, Nirankush Dutta and Pankaj Priya
This article undertakes a literature review on showrooming, offering an exhaustive overview of research publications and future research objectives that will contribute to…
Abstract
Purpose
This article undertakes a literature review on showrooming, offering an exhaustive overview of research publications and future research objectives that will contribute to extending the understanding of the phenomenon.
Design/methodology/approach
The showrooming literature has been collected from journals indexed by SCOPUS and ranked by ABDC. This was later analysed with the SPAR-4-SLR framework and the TCCM methodology (theories, contexts, characteristics, and methodologies) proposed by Paul et al. (2021) and Paul and Rosado-Serrano (2019).
Findings
The insights of this review include bibliometrics of showrooming research and the number of explored showrooming theories, methodologies, and contexts from which the phenomenon has been studied. It also highlights the various aspects that might be considered while building an optimal approach.
Research limitations/implications
Articles published in SCOPUS-indexed and ABDC-ranked journals between 2012 and August 2022 were considered. Some articles published in conference proceedings and journals, not fulfilling the aforementioned criteria, might have been missed.
Practical implications
SPAR-4-SLR and TCCM methodologies would aid the researchers in further exploration of this phenomenon and suggest options for enhancing customer experience (CX) eventually leading to customer retention. Retail channel managers will find this knowledge handy in “encouraging loyal showrooming” and ensuring business sustainability.
Originality/value
This study uses the novel SPAR-4-SLR framework to structure the review, while TCCM methodology sheds light on the showrooming from the perspective of various theories, contexts, characteristics, and methodologies. The scope for further research identified through the above-mentioned framework and methodology would be of high value to the researchers and practitioners alike.
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Colin Jones, Neil Dunse and Kevin Cutsforth
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the gap between government bonds (index-linked and long-dated) and real estate yields/capitalization rates over time for the UK, Australia…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the gap between government bonds (index-linked and long-dated) and real estate yields/capitalization rates over time for the UK, Australia and the USA. The global financial crisis was a sharp shock to real estate markets, and while interest rates and government bond yields fell in response around the world, real estate yields (cap rates) have risen.
Design/methodology/approach
The absolute yield gap levels and their variation over time in the different countries are compared and linked to the theoretical reasons for the yield gap and, in particular, a changing real estate risk premium. Within this context, it assesses whether there have been structural breaks in long-term relationships during booms and busts based on autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (ARCH) models. Finally, the paper provides further insights by constructing statistical models of index-linked and long-dated yield gaps.
Findings
The relationships between bond and property yields go through a traumatic time around the period of the global financial crisis. These changes are sufficiently strong to be statistically defined as “structural breaks” in the time series. The sudden switch in the yield gaps may have stimulated a greater appreciation of structural change in the property market.
Research limitations/implications
The research focuses on the most transparent real estate markets in the world, but other countries with less developed markets may respond differently.
Practical implications
The practical implications relate to how to value real estate yields relative to interest rates.
Originality/value
This is the first paper that has compared international yield gaps over time and examined the role of the gap between index-linked government bonds and real estate yields.
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Angela J. Black and Patricia Fraser
Using data from the stock markets of Japan, the UK and the US, this paper examines thetime series properties of a price index derived from a zero net investment strategy of…
Abstract
Using data from the stock markets of Japan, the UK and the US, this paper examines the time series properties of a price index derived from a zero net investment strategy of buying value stocks and short selling growth stocks. We use the results of this analysis to consider implications for the validity of competing hypotheses on the source of the value premium. Overall, the results from this study indicate that the US value premium displays different characteristics to the value premiums for the UK and Japan. This has farreaching implications for financial modelling and for the success, or otherwise, of investment strategies based on the existence of a value premium.
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The purpose of this paper is to explore the levels and determinants of net asset value (NAV) premiums/discounts for publicly traded Australian Real Estate Investment Trust…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to explore the levels and determinants of net asset value (NAV) premiums/discounts for publicly traded Australian Real Estate Investment Trust (A-REIT) market during the last decade. A-REITs were severely affected by the global financial crisis as S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT index-listed property stocks experienced 47 per cent discount to NAV, on average, in 2008–2009 crisis. Since 2013, A-REIT sector has exhibited a strong recovery from the financial crisis and traded at high premiums to date. Understanding the relationship between pricing in the public and private real estate markets has taken on great importance as A-REITs continue to trade at significant premium to NAV unlike their counterparts in the USA and Europe.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper follows a rational approach to explain variations in NAV premiums and explores the company-specific factors such as liquidity, financial leverage, size, stock price volatility and portfolio diversification behind the A-REIT NAV premiums/discounts. The study specifies and estimates a model of cross-sectional and time variation in premiums/discounts to NAV using semi-annual data for a sample of 40 A-REITs over the 2008–2018 period.
Findings
The results reveal that A-REIT premiums to NAV can be explained not only by the liquidity benefit of listed property stocks but also positive financial leverage effect. During the past decade, A-REITs have followed an aggressive approach in financing their growth by using borrowed funds to purchase assets as the income from the property offsets the cost of borrowing and the risk that accompanies it. Debt-to-equity ratio has to be considered as an important source of NAV premiums as highly geared A-REITs that favoured debt financing over equity financing traded at significant premiums to NAV of their underlying real estate assets.
Practical implications
The paper includes implications for the REIT market investors. The regression analysis shows that specialty A-REITs with a focus on creative market niches traded at higher premiums compared with other property stocks, especially in the post-GFC recovery period. Specialty REITs are more highly valued by the market than their traditional specialised counterparts (e.g. office and retail REITs), and those pursuing a diversified strategy.
Originality/value
This paper presents an Australian case study as the A-REIT market provides a suitable environment for testing the effect of financial gearing on the REIT premium to NAV. The study provides empirical evidence supporting the importance of debt-to-equity ratio in explaining the variation in A-REIT NAV premiums.
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Sun-Joong Yoon and Jun Sik Kim
This study aims to examine the return predictability of variance risk premium, which is defined as the difference between risk-neutral variance and expected realized variance, on…
Abstract
This study aims to examine the return predictability of variance risk premium, which is defined as the difference between risk-neutral variance and expected realized variance, on KOSPI 200 index returns. Although extant literature shows that variance risk premium estimated from U.S. index options has a predictive power on underlying returns, little study has been conducted in KOSPI 200 index returns. In addition, there is no conclusion for the predictive power of variance risk premium in other financial markets. In this paper, we can find the predictive power of S&P500 variance risk premium on KOSPI200 index returns as well as on S&P500 index returns, but cannot find the predictive power of KOSPI200 variance risk premium on both indices. These results are consistent to Londono (2012) and Bollerslev et al. (2013). The poor performance of KOSPI200 variance risk premium is explained by the assumption that U.S. economy is a leader economy, while Korea economy is a follower economy. To support this conclusion, we conduct Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) using two variance risk premiums. Two premiums have bi-directional lead-lag relationship but S&P500 variance risk premium is informationally superior to KOSPI200 variance risk premium regarding return predictions.
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