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Article
Publication date: 11 February 2014

106

Abstract

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Journal of Strategy and Management, vol. 7 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1755-425X

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 16 March 2015

Jim Dator and Ian Yeoman

Futurist Jim Dator provides a personal insight of how he “sees” the past, present, and futures of Hawaiian tourism. The paper aims to discuss this issue.

3203

Abstract

Purpose

Futurist Jim Dator provides a personal insight of how he “sees” the past, present, and futures of Hawaiian tourism. The paper aims to discuss this issue.

Design/methodology/approach

Ian Yeoman interviews one of the world's most prominent and respected futurists, Professor Jim Dator, from the Futures Research Center of the University of Hawaii at Manoa's Political Science Department.

Findings

Like a climatologist, futurists discuss long‐term futures which are very uncertain, controversial, and often frightening stories. The past tells how the present occurred. Understanding that story is essential before considering the future. The growth of tourism is a fabulous story dependent on many developments whose future is uncertain. The tourism industry may want a “more of the same” trajectory of continued economic growth but a number changes are on the horizon which Dator calls “The Unholy Trinity,” namely the end of cheap and abundant energy; a profoundly unstable environment and a dysfunctional global economic system. Dator concludes that no government now governs satisfactorily, and so the future of tourism is extremely precarious and uncertain.

Originality/value

The interview provides both insight into how tourism has evolved and foresight of what could occur in the futures. Central to the interview is Dator's identification of the Unholy Trinity, Plus One, that suggests that the future will not neither be like the present nor like the future the tourism industry has hoped for in terms of continued economic growth. The originality and value of Dator's frank views are thought provoking, going beyond present wisdom and comfort.

Details

Journal of Tourism Futures, vol. 1 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2055-5911

Keywords

Content available
Book part
Publication date: 13 May 2022

Abstract

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Developing Leaders for Real: Proven Approaches That Deliver Impact
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80071-365-9

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Book part
Publication date: 8 September 2022

Stephen Turner

Abstract

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Mad Hazard
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80382-670-7

Content available
Book part
Publication date: 11 June 2018

Jed Donoghue and Bruce Tranter

Abstract

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Exploring Australian National Identity
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78756-503-6

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Book part
Publication date: 10 December 2018

Tony Langham

Abstract

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Reputation Management
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78756-607-1

Content available
Book part
Publication date: 20 August 1996

Abstract

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The Peace Dividend
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44482-482-0

Content available
Article
Publication date: 4 September 2007

255

Abstract

Details

Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, vol. 16 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0965-3562

Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 April 2005

167

Abstract

Details

Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, vol. 14 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0965-3562

Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 December 2002

Ian Leadley

249

Abstract

Details

Interlending & Document Supply, vol. 30 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0264-1615

Keywords

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