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Economic success will elude Macri in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The 2018 currency crisis left the economy in one of the deepest downturns of the last decade, repeating the cyclical pattern in place since 2011 of one year of growth followed by…

Inflation adds to Brazil’s multiple economic woes

Location:

BRAZIL

This is close to the ceiling of the target band of 2.25-5.25% set for this year. In response, the Central Bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate from a record low of…

Brexit will renew pressure on Swiss franc

Location:

SWITZERLAND

Outlook for the Swiss economy.

Philippines jobs and wages issues could hit government

Location:

PHILIPPINES

Economic policy challenges facing the government.

Central European monetary policy may stay ultra-loose

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Financial markets in Central Europe (CE) are closely correlated with those in the core of the euro-area and their central banks are the most dovish in emerging markets (EMs)…

Peru's political turmoil will not halt economic growth

Location:

PERU

GDP was boosted by strong external demand for Peru’s minerals, with investment flows in the mining sector showing significant recovery from 2020. Key investment decisions do not…

Currency wars will break out globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Since the start of 2015, 16 central banks have loosened monetary policy, partly because of the fallout from the oil price plunge, which is driving down inflation. This 'race to…

Chile budget seeks return to fiscal sustainability

Location:

CHILE

Through a much-tightened budget, the outgoing centre-right government of President Sebastian Pinera is attempting to set Chile on a post-pandemic course back to fiscal…

Salvadoran opposition sets sights on return to power

Location:

EL SALVADOR

This is bad news for the ruling Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN), which has been losing support thanks to El Salvador’s weak security situation and widespread…

The Fed will be very cautious about policy tightening

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Fed targets an average annual inflation rate of 2% but, under its 2020 monetary policy framework, will tolerate a moderate overshoot to make up for past low inflation. The Fed…