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This paper introduces group chain acceptance sampling plans (GChSP) for a truncated life test at preassumed time by using the minimum angle method. The proposed method is an approach, where both risks associated with acceptance sampling, namely consumers’ and producer’s risks, are considered. Currently, the GChSP only considers the consumer's risk (CR), which means the current plan only protects the consumer not the producer since it does not take into account the producer's risk (PR) at all.

There are six phases involved when designing the GChSP, which are (1) identifying the design parameters, (2) implementing the operating procedures, (3) deriving the probability of lot acceptance, (4) deriving the probability of zero or one defective, (5) deriving the proportion defective and (6) measuring the performance.

The findings show that the optimal number of groups obtained satisfies both parties, i.e. consumer and producer, compared to the established GChSP, where the number of group calculated only satisfies the consumer not the producer.

There are three limitations identified for this paper. The first limitation is the distribution, in which this paper only proposes the GChSP for generalized exponential distribution. It can be extended to different distribution available in the literature. The second limitation is that the paper uses binomial distribution when deriving the probability of lot acceptance. Also, it can be derived by using different distributions such as weighted binomial distribution, Poisson distribution and weighted Poisson distribution. The final limitation is that the paper adopts the mean as a quality parameter. For the quality parameter, researchers have other options such as the median and the percentile.

The proposed GChSP should provide an alternative for the industrial practitioners and for the inspection activity, as they have more options of the sampling plans before they finally decide to select one.

This is the first paper to propose the minimum angle method for the GChSP, where both risks, CR and PR, are considered. The GChSP has been developed since 2015, but all the researchers only considered the CR in their papers.

Purpose – This chapter provides an overview of issues related to analysing crash data characterised by excess zero responses and/or long tails and how to overcome these problems. Factors affecting excess zeros and/or long tails are discussed, as well as how they can bias the results when traditional distributions or models are used. Recently introduced multi-parameter distributions and models developed specifically for such datasets are described. The chapter is intended to guide readers on how to properly analyse crash datasets with excess zeros and long or heavy tails.

Methodology – Key references from the literature are summarised and discussed, and two examples detailing how multi-parameter distributions and models compare with the negative binomial distribution and model are presented.

Findings – In the event that the characteristics of the crash dataset cannot be changed or modified, recently introduced multi-parameter distributions and models can be used efficiently to analyse datasets characterised by excess zero responses and/or long tails. They offer a simpler way to interpret the relationship between crashes and explanatory variables, while providing better statistical performance in terms of goodness-of-fit and predictive capabilities.

Research implications – Multi-parameter models are expected to become the next series of traditional distributions and models. The research on these models is still ongoing.

Practical implications – With the advancement of computing power and Bayesian simulation methods, multi-parameter models can now be easily coded and applied to analyse crash datasets characterised by excess zero responses and/or long tails.

Acceptance sampling plans are a decision-making process on the basis of a randomly selected sampling from a party, where it is not possible to completely scan the products for reasons such as time and cost being limited or the formation of damaged products during the inspection. For some products, the life span (time from beginning to failure) may be an important quality characteristic. In this case, the quality control adequacy of the products can be checked with an acceptance sampling plan based on the truncated life test with a censored scheme for the lifetime of the products. In this study, group acceptance sampling plans (GASPs) based on life tests are studied under the Type-I censored scheme for the compound Weibull-exponential (CWE) distribution.

GASPs based on life tests under the Type-I censored scheme for the CWE distribution are developed by using both the producer's risk and the consumer's risk.

In this study, optimum sample size, optimum number of groups and acceptance number are obtained under the Type-I censored scheme for the CWE distribution. Real data set illustration is given to show GASPs how to be used for the industry applications.

Different from acceptance sampling plans with just considering the producer's risk, GASPs are constructed by using two-point approach included both the producer's risk and the consumer's risk for CWE distribution.

The purpose of this paper is to design a modified chain sampling plan for assuring the product percentile life where the lifetime follows Weibull or generalized exponential distributions (GEDs). In order to reduce the cost of inspection when implementing the proposed modified chain sampling plan, it is also considered the economic aspect of designing of proposed plan in this paper.

The authors have designed the proposed plan on the basis of two points on the operating characteristic (OC) curve approach. The optimization problem is used to determine the plan parameters of the proposed plan so that the specified values of producer’s risk and consumer’s risk are satisfied simultaneously.

The results we have obtained, confirm that the proposed plan will be very effective in reducing the sample size rather than other existing sampling plans. The OC curves of proposed plan, chain sampling plan and zero acceptance number single sampling plan show that the performance of proposed plan in discriminating the good and poor quality lots is better than other two plans. In this paper, it is proved that the value of number of preceding lots required for current lot disposition plays an important role.

The proposed modified chain sampling plan for assuring the percentile lifetime of the products under Weibull or GEDs is not available in the literature. The proposed plan can be used in all the manufacturing industries to assure the product percentile lifetime with minimum sample size as well as minimum cost.

In this paper, the author proposed an optimization design for a step-stress accelerated life test (SSALT) with two stress variables for the generalized exponential (GE) distribution under progressive type-I censoring.

In this paper, two stress variables were considered. Progressive censoring and accelerated life testing were used to reduce the time and cost of testing. It was assumed that the lifetimes of the test units followed a GE distribution. The effects of changing stress were considered as a cumulative exposure model. A log-linear relationship between the scale parameter of the GE distribution and the stress was proposed. The maximum likelihood estimators and approximate and bootstrap confidence intervals (CIs) for the model parameters were obtained. An optimum test plan was developed using minimization of the asymptotic variance (AV) of the percentile life under the usual operating condition.

According to the simulation results, the bootstrap CIs of the model parameters gave more accurate results than approximate CIs through the length of CIs. The sensitivity analysis was performed to illustrate the effect of initial estimates on optimal values that has been studied. Simulation results also indicated that the optimal times were not too sensitive to the initial values of parameters; thus, the proposed design was robust.

In most studies, only one accelerating stress variable is used. Sometimes accelerating one stress variable does not yield enough failure data. Thus, two stress variables may be needed for additional acceleration. In this paper, two stress variables are considered. The inclusion of two stress variables in a test design will lead to a better understanding of the effect of two simultaneously operating stress variables. Also, the author assumes that the failure time of the test units follows a GE distribution. It is observed that the GE distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of gamma, Weibull and log-normal distributions. Also, most studies in this field have focused on the derivation of optimum test plans. In this paper, the author examined the estimation of model parameters and the optimization of the test design. In this paper, the asymptotic and bootstrap CIs for the model parameters are calculated. In addition, a sensitivity analysis is performed to examine the effect of the changes in the pre-estimated parameters on the optimal hold times. For determining the optimal test plan, due to nonlinearity and complexity of the objective function, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is developed to calculate the optimal hold times. In this method, the research speed is very fast and optimization ability is more.

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new probability density function having both unbounded and bounded support with a wider applicability. While the distribution with bounded support on [0, 1] has applications in insurance and inventory management with ability to fit risk management data on proportions better than existing bounded distributions, the same with unbounded support is used as a lifetime model and is considered as an attractive alternative to some existing models in the reliability literature.

The new density function, called modified exponential-geometric distribution is derived from the exponential-geometric distribution introduced by Adamidis and Loukas (1998). The support of the density function is shown to be both unbounded and bounded depending on the values of one of the shape parameters. Various properties of the density function are studied in detail and the parameters are estimated through maximum likelihood method of estimation. A number of applications related to reliability, insurance and inventory management are exhibited along with some useful data analysis.

A single probability distribution with both unbounded and bounded support, which does not seem to exist in the reliability literature, is introduced in this paper. The proposed density function exhibits varying shapes including U-shape, and the failure rate also shows increasing, decreasing and bathtub shapes. The Monte Carlo simulation shows that the estimates of the parameters are quite stable with low standard errors. The distribution with unbounded support is shown to have competitive features for lifetime modeling through analysis of two data sets. The distribution with bounded support on [0, 1] is shown to have application in insurance and inventory management and is found to t data on proportions related to risk management better than some existing bounded distributions.

The authors introduce an innovative probability distribution which contributes significantly in insurance and inventory management besides its remarkable statistical and reliability properties.

This paper considers a Sparre Andersen risk process for which the claims inter‐arrival distribution is Generalized Exponential. The purpose of this paper is to find explicit expressions for the moments of time to ruin when a penalty is imposed at ruin.

The study is focused on the function ϕ_δ(u), the expected discounted penalty, which is due at ruin and may depend on the deficit at the time of ruin and also on the surplus prior to ruin. It shows that ϕ_δ(u) satisfies an integro‐differential equation which is solved using Laplace transforms.

The authors have chosen a penalty function, which is independent of the surplus immediately before ruin, and a closed form expression is obtained for ϕ_δ(u), and then solved for the moments of time to ruin.

New results are derived, many of which have mathematical and probabilistic interpretations, and additional insight is gained for the results in the renewal risk model.

The purpose of this article is to derive inference for multicomponent reliability where stress-strength variables follow unit generalized Rayleigh (GR) distributions with common scale parameter.

The authors derive inference for the unknown parametric function using classical and Bayesian approaches. In sequel, (weighted) least square (LS) and maximum product of spacing methods are used to estimate the reliability. Bootstrapping is also considered for this purpose. Bayesian inference is derived under gamma prior distributions. In consequence credible intervals are constructed. For the known common scale, unbiased estimator is obtained and is compared with the corresponding exact Bayes estimate.

Different point and interval estimators of the reliability are examined using Monte Carlo simulations for different sample sizes. In summary, the authors observe that Bayes estimators obtained using gamma prior distributions perform well compared to the other studied estimators. The average length (AL) of highest posterior density (HPD) interval remains shorter than other proposed intervals. Further coverage probabilities of all the intervals are reasonably satisfactory. A data analysis is also presented in support of studied estimation methods. It is noted that proposed methods work good for the considered estimation problem.

In the literature various probability distributions which are often analyzed in life test studies are mostly unbounded in nature, that is, their support of positive probabilities lie in infinite interval. This class of distributions includes generalized exponential, Burr family, gamma, lognormal and Weibull models, among others. In many situations the authors need to analyze data which lie in bounded interval like average height of individual, survival time from a disease, income per-capita etc. Thus use of probability models with support on finite intervals becomes inevitable. The authors have investigated stress-strength reliability based on unit GR distribution. Useful comments are obtained based on the numerical study.

The purpose of this paper is to compare various methods of estimation of P(X<Y) based on Type-II censored data, where X and Y represent a quality characteristic of interest for two groups.

This paper assumes that both X and Y are independently distributed generalized half logistic random variables. The maximum likelihood estimator and the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator of R are obtained based on Type-II censored data. An exact 95 percent maximum likelihood estimate-based confidence interval for R is also provided. Next, various Bayesian point and interval estimators are obtained using both the subjective and non-informative priors. A real life data set is analyzed for illustration.

The performance of various point and interval estimators is judged through a detailed simulation study. The finite sample properties of the estimators are found to be satisfactory. It is observed that the posterior mean marginally outperform other estimators with respect to the mean squared error even under the non-informative prior.

The proposed methodology can be used for comparing two groups with respect to a suitable quality characteristic of interest. It can also be applied for estimation of the stress-strength reliability, which is of particular interest to the reliability engineers.

ARCH models can be used to predict volatility and to enhance option pricing methodologies. A guide to these models is provided and illustrative results are presented for the prices of Shell stock traded in London.