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Article
Publication date: 6 November 2009

The impact of the average crop revenue election (ACRE) program on the effectiveness of crop insurance

Gabriel J. Power, Dmitry V. Vedenov and Sung‐wook Hong

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of the 2008 Farm Bill's average crop revenue election (ACRE) program on the risk‐reducing effectiveness of crop…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of the 2008 Farm Bill's average crop revenue election (ACRE) program on the risk‐reducing effectiveness of crop insurance products.

Design/methodology/approach

Three crop/region combinations are examined, representing regions with both high and low price‐yield correlation regions. Actual production history (APH) and crop revenue coverage (CRC) insurance instruments are considered separately under the 2002 Farm Bill and under ACRE. Monte Carlo simulations, combined with the copula approach, are used to simulate net wealth distributions and to calculate the corresponding expected utilities. The outcomes are evaluated using certainty‐equivalent wealth based on different risk premium assumptions.

Findings

Crop insurance contracts appear to be more effective under the 2002 Farm Bill than under ACRE, especially for crops characterized by low yield‐price correlation. CRC insurance is found to be more effective than APH insurance for all crop/region combinations considered.

Research limitations/implications

The paper only considers a static framework and farm‐level insurance contracts. Further research could investigate how ACRE affects decoupled income support, whether the results change if Supplemental Revenue Assistance is included, or how different the outcomes might be for multiple‐crop farms.

Practical implications

The results suggest that risk‐reducing effectiveness decreases under ACRE and that no reasonable adjustment to APH base price can make APH competitive with CRC for any crop/regions considered.

Originality/value

The risk‐reducing effectiveness of the 2008 Farm Bill's ACRE program is analyzed, and as a methodological contribution the copula approach is used to model the multivariate distribution of yields and prices.

Details

Agricultural Finance Review, vol. 69 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/00021460911002707
ISSN: 0002-1466

Keywords

  • United States of America
  • Legislation
  • Agriculture
  • Crops
  • Insurance

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Article
Publication date: 13 June 2016

Testing for changes in option-implied risk aversion

Marie-Hélène Gagnon and Gabriel J. Power

The purpose of this paper is to investigate and test for changes in investor risk aversion and the stochastic discount factor (SDF) using options data on the West Texas…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate and test for changes in investor risk aversion and the stochastic discount factor (SDF) using options data on the West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures contract during the 2007-2011 period.

Design/methodology/approach

Risk aversion functions and SDFs are estimated using parametric approaches before and after four specific dates of interest. The dates are: the summer 2008 end of the bull market regime; the late 2008 credit freeze trough; the BP Deepwater Horizon explosion; and the Libyan uprising.

Findings

Absolute risk aversion functions and SDFs are significantly flatter (less decreasing in wealth) after the end of the bull market and the credit freeze trough. After these two market reversals, oil market participants were less risk-averse for low levels of wealth but more risk-averse for high wealth levels. Oil market investors also increased their valuation of anticipated future wealth in average states of nature relative to very high or very low-asset return states after reversals. The BP explosion and the Libyan uprising led to steeper risk aversion functions (decreasing more rapidly in wealth) and SDF. Oil market investors were more risk-averse for lower future wealth, but less risk-averse for higher future wealth. Oil market investors increased their valuation of anticipated future wealth in extreme states of nature relative to average states of nature after both dates.

Originality/value

Documenting statistically and economically significant changes in oil market investors’ attitude toward risk and inter-temporal appetite for risk in relation to changes in financial and political conditions.

Details

Review of Behavioral Finance, vol. 8 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-02-2014-0011
ISSN: 1940-5979

Keywords

  • Loss aversion
  • Options
  • Risk aversion
  • Crude oil
  • Risk-neutral density

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Article
Publication date: 4 May 2012

Strategic options associated with cooperative members' equity

Gabriel J. Power, Victoria Salin and John L. Park

Building on the property rights framework, the purpose of this paper is to frame the cooperative business model in terms of strategic options held either by the board or…

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Abstract

Purpose

Building on the property rights framework, the purpose of this paper is to frame the cooperative business model in terms of strategic options held either by the board or by members. Options that are analyzed include growth and restructuring, dividend allocation, member entry and exit, and member embedded value options.

Design/methodology/approach

Empirical estimates of the options' financial value, as well as sensitivity analyses, are presented for a stylized example using historical data and Monte Carlo option‐pricing methods. Attention is paid to the effect of member age, discount rate and business operation size.

Findings

Results suggest that the board's growth options can be substantial, while member options generally have small but nontrivial value. Implications for the stability of membership are drawn.

Practical implications

The financial or economic value of strategic options in agricultural cooperatives can be significant, and decision makers may benefit from accounting for their presence.

Originality/value

Cooperatives play an important role in agribusiness but have undergone significant changes in the past two decades in terms of organizational and financial structure. This paper contributes to an understanding of the value of control and residual rights associated with the Board and members of cooperatives.

Details

Agricultural Finance Review, vol. 72 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/00021461211222123
ISSN: 0002-1466

Keywords

  • Agricultural finance
  • Governance
  • Equity capital
  • Strategic options
  • Property rights
  • Capital constraints
  • Cooperatives

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Article
Publication date: 4 November 2013

Was there a peso problem in cattle options?: Evidence from the 2003 bovine spongiform encephalopathy announcement

Michael Thomsen, Andrew M. McKenzie and Gabriel J. Power

Pricing densities implied from options on live cattle futures show a persistent and negative skew. The purpose is to examine whether the skew can be explained, in part, by…

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Abstract

Purpose

Pricing densities implied from options on live cattle futures show a persistent and negative skew. The purpose is to examine whether the skew can be explained, in part, by peso-type problems.

Design/methodology/approach

Two announcements of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) provide a natural setting within which to examine the validity of the peso-problem explanation. These announcements represent the first documented cases of BSE in North America. Prior to the announcements, the potential for BSE would have been known by market participants as the disease had been found among cattle in the British Isles, Europe and Asia. The paper uses options market data to compute implied moments of the pricing distribution for live cattle futures. The paper then analyzes these moments around BSE announcements.

Findings

The first Canadian BSE announcement impacted the mean and volatility but not the implied skew. Later in the year, BSE was found in a US cow and the paper finds a statistically significant change in the implied skew. The distribution showed a pronounced leftward skew prior to the US announcement but was nearly symmetric during the days afterwards. This finding is consistent with the market having priced the possibility of a BSE discovery into deep out-of-the-money put options.

Originality/value

Peso problems have been documented in other financial markets. The results are important because they suggest that they may also be important to agricultural markets and that agricultural options markets do account for low probability but highly important events.

Details

Agricultural Finance Review, vol. 73 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-09-2012-0048
ISSN: 0002-1466

Keywords

  • Food safety
  • Cattle
  • Commodity options
  • Implied distributions

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Article
Publication date: 3 May 2016

Quantitative finance for agricultural commodities: discussion and extension

Gabriel J. Power

– The purpose of this paper is to review three papers in this issue and contribute new results on commodity futures prices and volume using wavelet analysis.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to review three papers in this issue and contribute new results on commodity futures prices and volume using wavelet analysis.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper uses time series econometrics including variance ratio tests, fractional integration estimators, and wavelet transforms.

Findings

The role of time horizon is emphasized in the discussion of the three papers, and wavelet methods are shown to be a useful tool to better understand time horizon-specific risk. Moreover, changes in the time horizon of futures trading are documented and discussed.

Originality/value

In addition to discussing three papers on quantitative finance for agricultural commodities, this paper also looks at how the analysis and management of short-term and long-term risk may differ. To this end, wavelet transform-based time series methods are reviewed and applied.

Details

Agricultural Finance Review, vol. 76 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-02-2016-0013
ISSN: 0002-1466

Keywords

  • Futures
  • Options
  • Long memory
  • CEV
  • Hurst
  • Wavelets

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Article
Publication date: 19 January 2015

Measuring infrastructure investment option value

Gabriel J Power, Charli D. Tandja M., Josée Bastien and Philippe Grégoire

The purpose of this paper is to propose a risk-based framework to estimate the option value of infrastructure investment, accounting for the stochastic behavior of both…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to propose a risk-based framework to estimate the option value of infrastructure investment, accounting for the stochastic behavior of both financial and physical (engineering) variables.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses a real-options approach and computes the optimal investment dates and option values using Least Squares Monte Carlo, both the original Longstaff – Schwartz algorithm and the constrained Least Squares approach of Le tourneau – Stentoft.

Findings

Real-option value for infrastructure investment is substantial. It is beneficial to model jointly financial and engineering risks to better understand the timing and real-option value of infrastructure investment. The analysis further shows which variables are option value drivers.

Research limitations/implications

Future work could integrate financing constraints into the model, consider path dependency in the physical state variables or integrate sovereign risk, expropriation risk, operational risk or other project risks.

Practical implications

Financial practitioners and investment managers interested in infrastructure risk finance or project finance will benefit from a novel framework to analyze infrastructure investments in which engineering and financial risks interact in a tractable way.

Social implications

Public decision-makers will benefit from a better understanding of what determines the value of infrastructure investments, how real-option value affects optimal investment timing and how both are determined by financial and engineering risks.

Originality/value

The analysis considers financial and engineering risks in a single framework to better understand option value in infrastructure investment. The framework and findings are useful both to risk finance and project finance practitioners and investors as well as engineers and public sector decision-makers.

Details

The Journal of Risk Finance, vol. 16 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JRF-05-2014-0072
ISSN: 1526-5943

Keywords

  • Project finance
  • Infrastructure
  • Monte carlo
  • Real options
  • Contingent claims analysis
  • Optimal timing

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Article
Publication date: 27 April 2020

Surface virtual texturing of the journal bearings of a three-cylinder ethanol engine

Gabriel Welfany Rodrigues and Marco Lucio Bittencourt

This paper aims to numerically investigate the surface texturing effects on the main bearings of a three-cylinder ethanol engine in terms of the power loss and friction…

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Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to numerically investigate the surface texturing effects on the main bearings of a three-cylinder ethanol engine in terms of the power loss and friction coefficient for dynamic load conditions.

Design/methodology/approach

The mathematical formulation considers the Partir-Cheng modified Reynolds equation. The mass-conserving Elrod-Adams p-θ model with the JFO approach is used to deal with cavitation. A fluid-structure coupling procedure is considered for the elastohydrodynamic lubrication. Accordingly, a 3-D linear-elastic substructured finite element model obtained from Abaqus is applied

Findings

Simulations were carried out considering different dimple texture designs in terms of location, depth and radius. The results suggested that there are regions where texturing is more effective. In addition, distinct journal rotation speeds are studied and the surface texture was able to reduce friction and the power loss by 7%.

Practical implications

The surface texturing can be a useful technique to reduce the power loss on the crankshaft bearing increasing the overall engine efficiency.

Originality/value

The surface texturing performance in a three-cylinder engine using ethanol as fuel was investigated through numerical experimentation. The results are supported by previous findings.

Peer review

The peer review history for this article is available at: https://publons.com/publon/10.1108/ILT-09-2019-0380/

Details

Industrial Lubrication and Tribology, vol. 72 no. 9
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/ILT-09-2019-0380
ISSN: 0036-8792

Keywords

  • Lubrication
  • Elastohydrodynamic lubrication
  • Reynolds equation
  • Journal bearings
  • Surface texturing
  • Mass-conserving cavitation model

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Book part
Publication date: 24 July 2020

Dyads of Politics and the Politics of Dyads: Implications for Leader Development

Wayne A. Hochwarter, Ilias Kapoutsis, Samantha L. Jordan, Abdul Karim Khan and Mayowa Babalola

Persistent change has placed considerable pressure on organizations to keep up or fade into obscurity. Firms that remain viable, or even thrive, are staffed with…

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Abstract

Persistent change has placed considerable pressure on organizations to keep up or fade into obscurity. Firms that remain viable, or even thrive, are staffed with decision-makers who capably steer organizations toward opportunities and away from threats. Accordingly, leadership development has never been more critical. In this chapter, the authors propose that leader development is an inherently dyadic process initiated to communicate formal and informal expectations. The authors focus on the informal component, in the form of organizational politics, as an element of leadership that is critical to employee and company success. The authors advocate that superiors represent the most salient information source for leader development, especially as it relates to political dynamics embedded in work systems. The authors discuss research associated with our conceptualization of dyadic political leader development (DPLD). Specifically, the authors develop DPLD by exploring its conceptual underpinnings as they relate to sensemaking, identity, and social learning theories. Once established, the authors provide a refined discussion of the construct, illustrating its scholarly mechanisms that better explain leader development processes and outcomes. The authors then expand research in the areas of political skill, political will, political knowledge, and political phronesis by embedding our conceptualization of DPLD into a political leadership model. The authors conclude by discussing methodological issues and avenues of future research stemming from the development of DPLD.

Details

Research in Personnel and Human Resources Management
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S0742-730120200000038005
ISBN: 978-1-80043-076-1

Keywords

  • Political dyads
  • leadership
  • leadership development
  • information salience
  • modelling

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Article
Publication date: 29 April 2014

The potential application method of magnetic levitation technology – as a ground-based power – to assist the aircraft takeoff and landing processes

Jozsef Rohacs and Daniel Rohacs

The purpose of this paper is to present the first-year results of the EU-supported GABRIEL project on the possible use of magnetic levitation (MagLev) technology to assist…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to present the first-year results of the EU-supported GABRIEL project on the possible use of magnetic levitation (MagLev) technology to assist aircraft take-off and landing (ATOL).

Design/methodology/approach

Developing a radically new technology is a complex task. It is based on extensive expert analysis, use of technology identification evaluation and selection methods, principle of the design philosophies and development of the radically new technologies.

Findings

A possible solution of using the MagLev technology to assist ATOL was developed and defined, including several original ideas, such as the cart-sledge concept or the unconventional climb principle.

Research limitations/implications

This is a typical “out-of-the-box” project without limitations on the developing new principles and technologies, but it is working on the development of a possible solution within the predictable technical and technological envelopes.

Practical implications

The developed concept should assess whether MagLev technology for the ATOL is feasible, cost-effective and safe.

Social implications

The developed GABRIEL principle may significantly reduce the noise and chemical emissions in airport regions and increase the efficiency of the air transportation system.

Originality/value

The GABRIEL concept is the first concept for using the MagLev technology to assist the takeoff and landing processes related to the commercial civil aviation.

Details

Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology: An International Journal, vol. 86 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AEAT-01-2013-0017
ISSN: 0002-2667

Keywords

  • Aircraft takeoff and landing
  • Magnetic levitation technology
  • New technologies
  • Operational concept

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Book part
Publication date: 21 January 2019

Forms of Experiences

Stefanie Ruel

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Abstract

Details

Stem-Professional Women’s Exclusion in the Canadian Space Industry
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S2059-65612019004
ISBN: 978-1-78769-570-2

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