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1 – 10 of over 1000
Article
Publication date: 26 September 2018

Ceyda Zor and Ferhan Çebi

The purpose of this paper is to apply GM (1, 1) and TFGM (1, 1) models on the healthcare sector, which is a new area, and to show TFGM (1, 1) forecasting accuracy on this sector.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to apply GM (1, 1) and TFGM (1, 1) models on the healthcare sector, which is a new area, and to show TFGM (1, 1) forecasting accuracy on this sector.

Design/methodology/approach

GM (1, 1) and TFGM (1, 1) models are presented. A hospital’s nine months (monthly) demand data is used for forecasting. Models are applied to the data, and the results are evaluated with MAPE, MSE and MAD metrics. The results for GM (1, 1) and TFGM (1, 1) are compared to show the accuracy of forecasting models. The grey models are also compared with Holt–Winters method, which is a traditional forecasting approach and performs well.

Findings

The results of this study indicate that TFGM (1, 1) has better forecasting performance than GM (1, 1) and Holt–Winters. GM (1, 1) has 8.01 per cent and TFGM (1, 1) 7.64 per cent MAPE, which means excellent forecasting power. So, TFGM (1, 1) is also an applicable forecasting method for the healthcare sector.

Research limitations/implications

Future studies may focus on developed grey models for health sector demand. To perform better results, parameter optimisation may be integrated to GM (1, 1) and TFGM (1, 1). The demand may be predicted not only for the total demand on hospital, but also for the demand of hospital departments.

Originality/value

This study contributes to relevant literature by proposing fuzzy grey forecasting, which is used to predict the health demand. Therefore, the new application area as the health sector is handled with the grey model.

Details

Journal of Enterprise Information Management, vol. 31 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1741-0398

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 8 June 2012

Xican Li, Tao Yu, Xiao Wang, Zheng Yuan and Xiaodong Shang

The purpose of this paper is to attempt to establish the pattern of multi‐objective and multi‐dimensional grey fuzzy forecasting with feedback based on the theories of grey system…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to attempt to establish the pattern of multi‐objective and multi‐dimensional grey fuzzy forecasting with feedback based on the theories of grey system and fuzzy recognition.

Design/methodology/approach

First, according to the given weights, the weighting integrated value of samples were computed. Second, the method of fuzzy recognition with single index was employed to calculate the fuzzy classification of the integrated value. According to the cause analysis, the fuzzy classification of the integrated value is used to compute the weights of indexes. In the same way, repeating the above processes, the weighting integrated value and fuzzy classification with given accuracy are retrieved at the same time. Finally, the authors calculate the correlation coefficient between the weighting integrated values and forecasting objects, according to the principle of maximal relativity, optimizing the weighting integrated value of samples, establishing the fuzzy forecasting pattern, and checking the model's precision. A numeric example is also computed in the last part of the paper.

Findings

The results are convincing: not only that the pattern of multi‐objective and multi‐dimensional grey fuzzy forecasting with feedback based is valid, but also the model's applied prediction accuracy is higher, where the test samples' mean forecast accuracy of groundwater dynamic levels is 96.50 percent.

Practical implications

The method exposed in the paper can be used to predict groundwater dynamic levels and even for other similar forecast problems.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in realising both a prediction pattern and application of predicting groundwater dynamic levels by using the newest developed theories of grey system and fuzzy recognition.

Article
Publication date: 6 November 2023

Zhiying Wang and Hongmei Jia

Forecasting demand of emergency supplies under major epidemics plays a vital role in improving rescue efficiency. Few studies have combined intuitionistic fuzzy set with…

Abstract

Purpose

Forecasting demand of emergency supplies under major epidemics plays a vital role in improving rescue efficiency. Few studies have combined intuitionistic fuzzy set with grey-Markov method and applied it to the prediction of emergency supplies demand. Therefore, this article aims to establish a novel method for emergency supplies demand forecasting under major epidemics.

Design/methodology/approach

Emergency supplies demand is correlated with the number of infected cases in need of relief services. First, a novel method called the Intuitionistic Fuzzy TPGM(1,1)-Markov Method (IFTPGMM) is proposed, and it is utilized for the purpose of forecasting the number of people. Then, the prediction of demand for emergency supplies is calculated using a method based on the safety inventory theory, according to numbers predicted by IFTPGMM. Finally, to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, a comparative analysis is conducted between IFTPGMM and four other methods.

Findings

The results show that IFTPGMM demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to four other methods. The integration of the grey method and intuitionistic fuzzy set has been shown to effectively handle uncertain information and enhance the accuracy of predictions.

Originality/value

The main contribution of this article is to propose a novel method for emergency supplies demand forecasting under major epidemics. The benefits of utilizing the grey method for handling small sample sizes and intuitionistic fuzzy set for handling uncertain information are considered in this proposed method. This method not only enhances existing grey method but also expands the methodologies used for forecasting demand for emergency supplies.

Highlights (for review)

  1. An intuitionistic fuzzy TPGM(1,1)-Markov method (IFTPGMM) is proposed.

  2. The safety inventory theory is combined with IFTPGMM to construct a prediction method.

  3. Asymptomatic infected cases are taken to forecast the demand for emergency supplies.

An intuitionistic fuzzy TPGM(1,1)-Markov method (IFTPGMM) is proposed.

The safety inventory theory is combined with IFTPGMM to construct a prediction method.

Asymptomatic infected cases are taken to forecast the demand for emergency supplies.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 14 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 23 June 2022

Surya Prakash, Anubhav Agrawal, Ranbir Singh, Rajesh Kumar Singh and Divya Zindani

Grey Systems: Theory and Application (GSTA) journal started publication in 2011 and completed a decade in 2021. The purpose of this study is to provide a detailed bibliometric…

Abstract

Purpose

Grey Systems: Theory and Application (GSTA) journal started publication in 2011 and completed a decade in 2021. The purpose of this study is to provide a detailed bibliometric analysis of the articles published in GSTA and their content primary trends and themes.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses the Web of Science (WoS) database to analyze the content of published articles. A range of bibliometric analyses and indicators are applied to analyze the GSTA article content using science mapping tools of the Bibliometrix package in the R environment.

Findings

The GSTA publishes around 28 articles each year with citations of this work steadily growing over time. The impact of these publications is measured as total mean citations which increased from 0 to 11. The journal has attracted contributors from around the globe, most often affiliated with China, India and Europe. Thematic evolution of the journal's themes reveals that it has expanded its scope to include topics such as relational analysis, decision making, incidence analysis, and forecasting, hybrid grey-fuzzy or grey-rough modeling, etc.

Research limitations/implications

The study is majorly based on GSTA data available on the WoS database.

Originality/value

This study provides the first overview of GSTA's publication and citation trends as well as the evolution of its thematic structure. It also suggests future directions that the journal might take to strengthen its position.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 13 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 2 August 2022

Li Li and Xican Li

Grey set is the important foundation of the grey mathematics and grey system theory, and the possibility function is the way of expressing grey set. This paper aims to establish…

Abstract

Purpose

Grey set is the important foundation of the grey mathematics and grey system theory, and the possibility function is the way of expressing grey set. This paper aims to establish the method of determining the possibility function of grey set and discusses its extended applications.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the grey kernel and the grey support set of grey set are defined, and the properties of grey kernel are analyzed. Second, according to the decomposition theorem of grey set, a method of determining the possibility function of grey set is put forward in this paper, which is called the method of increasing information and taking maximum and minimum (IITMM), and then it is further simplified as the method of increasing information and taking maximum (IITM), and an simple example is given to illustrate the calculation procedure. Finally, the grey information cluster method (GICM) based on IITM is proposed and applied to the ecological and geographical environment analysis of pine caterpillar.

Findings

The results show that the grey kernel of grey set still has grey uncertainty; the method of IITM has simple calculation and strict mathematical basis, and it can synthesize the information of the research object and accords with the principle of using minimum information; the GICM and the fuzzy cluster method have the same classification effect.

Practical implications

The researches show that method of IITM can be used not only to determine the possibility function of the grey set effectively, but also be used for the evaluation and cluster analysis of connotative objects. The classification result of the GICM presented in this paper is more precise than that of the fuzzy cluster method.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in realizing both the IITM method for determining the possibility function of grey set and the GICM based on IITM for the connotative objects.

Article
Publication date: 1 August 2016

Li Li, Renxiang Wang and Xican Li

According to the grey uncertainty and the connotation of different types weights, the purpose of this paper is to establish the pattern of multi-dimensional grey fuzzy decision…

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Abstract

Purpose

According to the grey uncertainty and the connotation of different types weights, the purpose of this paper is to establish the pattern of multi-dimensional grey fuzzy decision making with feedback based on weight vector and weight matrix, and applies this pattern to evaluate the regional financial innovation ability.

Design/methodology/approach

At first, this paper analyzes the connotation of financial innovation ability and establishes the evaluation system of regional financial innovation ability. Second, the formula of computing the multi-objective weighted comprehensive value based on weight vector and weight matrix is put forward. In view of the object function with supervised factor and stability coefficient, this paper gives the formulas to compute weight vector and weight matrix. Moreover, the algorithm of the multi-dimensional grey fuzzy decision making pattern with feedback based on weight vector and weight matrix is expressed. At last, this paper uses the presented pattern to evaluate the financial innovation ability of thirty-one provinces in China.

Findings

The results are convincing: the development of regional financial innovation is not balanced in China, having obvious spatial clustering feature. The comparisons of evaluation results based on different forms of weights show that the calculating convergence speed of the pattern presented in this paper is fast. The pattern enhances the rationality of the demarcation point between categories, and the convergence within categories, making the evaluation more reasonable.

Practical implications

The method exposed in the paper can be used at evaluating the regional financial innovation ability and even for other similar evaluation problem.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in realising both the pattern of multi-dimensional grey fuzzy decision making with feedback and evaluating the regional financial innovation ability by using the newest developed theories: weighted grey and fuzzy recognition theory based on weight vector and weight matrix.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 6 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 15 November 2022

Xican Li and Li Li

In order to reflect the essential characteristics of interval grey number and study the ranking method of interval grey number as a whole, this paper aims to establish a ranking…

Abstract

Purpose

In order to reflect the essential characteristics of interval grey number and study the ranking method of interval grey number as a whole, this paper aims to establish a ranking method of interval grey number.

Design/methodology/approach

First, based on the generalised greyness of interval grey number, the definitions of referenced grey number and proximity degree are given. Second, based on the greyness distance of interval grey number, the proximity degree model is constructed and its properties are analysed. Finally, some examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proximity degree model.

Findings

The results show that the index of proximity degree can better reflect the degree that the interval grey number is relatively close to the referenced grey number in different cases. The proximity degree model used to compare interval grey numbers is an extension of the model used to compare real numbers. The examples show that the proximity degree model of interval grey number proposed in this paper is feasible and effective.

Practical implications

The research studies show that the proximity degree model can be used for the ranking of interval grey numbers or real numbers and also for the ranking of numbers where interval grey numbers coexist with real numbers. In addition, the proximity degree model provides a theoretical basis for the establishment of grey comprehensive evaluation model.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in putting forward the conceptions of referenced grey number and proximity degree based on the generalised greyness of interval grey number and constructing the proximity degree model for the ranking of interval grey number.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 13 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 24 December 2021

Li Li and Xican Li

In order to make grey relational analysis applicable to the interval grey number, this paper discusses the model of grey relational degree of the interval grey number and uses it…

Abstract

Purpose

In order to make grey relational analysis applicable to the interval grey number, this paper discusses the model of grey relational degree of the interval grey number and uses it to analyze the related factors of China's technological innovation ability.

Design/methodology/approach

First, this paper gives the definitions of the lower bound domain, the value domain, the upper bound domain of interval grey number and the generalized measure and the generalized greyness of interval grey number. Then, based on the grey relational theory, this paper proposes the model of greyness relational degree of the interval grey number and analyzes its relationship with the classical grey relational degree. Finally, the model of greyness relational degree is applied to analyze the related factors of China's technological innovation ability.

Findings

The results show that the model of greyness relational degree has strict theoretical basis, convenient calculation and easy programming and can be applied to the grey number sequence, real number sequence and grey number and real number coexisting sequence. The relational order of the four related factors of China's technological innovation ability is research and development (R&D) expenditure, R&D personnel, university student number and public library number, and it is in line with the reality.

Practical implications

The results show that the sequence values of greyness relational degree have large discreteness, and it is feasible and effective to analyze the related factors of China's technological innovation ability.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in realizing both the model of greyness relational degree of interval grey number with unvalued information distribution and the order of related factors of China's technological innovation ability.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 12 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 8 August 2018

Chuanhong Miao, Xican Li and Jiehui Lu

The purpose of this paper is to establish the grey relational estimating model of soil pH value based on hyper-spectral data.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to establish the grey relational estimating model of soil pH value based on hyper-spectral data.

Design/methodology/approach

As to the uncertainty of the factors affecting the soil pH value estimation based on hyper-spectral, the grey weighted relation estimation model was set up according to the grey system theory. Then the linear regression correction model is established according to the difference and grey relation degree information between the estimated samples and their corresponding pattern. At the same time, the model was applied to Hengshan county of Shanxi province.

Findings

The results are convincing: not only that the linear regression correction model of grey relation estimating pattern of soil pH value based on hyper-spectral data is valid, but also the model’s estimating accuracy is higher, which the corrected average relative error is 0.2578 per cent, and the decision coefficient R2=0.9876.

Practical implications

The method proposed in the paper can be used at soil pH value hyper-spectral inversion and even for other similar forecast problem.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in realising both the soil pH value hyper-spectral grey relation estimating pattern based on the grey relational theory and the correction model of the estimating pattern by using the linear regression.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 8 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 15 May 2023

Li Li and Xican Li

In order to make full use of the generalized greyness of interval grey number, this paper analyzes the properties and its applications of generalized greyness.

Abstract

Purpose

In order to make full use of the generalized greyness of interval grey number, this paper analyzes the properties and its applications of generalized greyness.

Design/methodology/approach

Firstly, the static properties of generalized greyness in bounded background domain, infinite background domain and infinitesimal background domain are analyzed. Then, this paper gives the dynamic properties of generalized greyness in bounded background domain, infinite background domain and infinitesimal background domain and explains the dialectical principle contained in it. Finally, the generalized greyness is used to judge the effectiveness of interval grey number transformation.

Findings

The results show that the generalized greyness of interval grey number has relativity, normativity, unity, eternity and conservation. The static and dynamic properties of generalized greyness are the same in the infinite and infinitesimal background domain, while they are different in the bounded background domain. The generalized greyness can be used as an index to judge whether the grey number transformation is greyness or information preservation.

Practical implications

The research shows that the generalized greyness can be used as an index to judge the validity of the grey number transformation and also can be applied in grey evaluation, grey decision-making and grey prediction and so on.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in realizing the mathematical principle of “white is black”, the “greyness clock-slow effect” of the value domain of interval grey number and the generalized greyness conservation principle, which provides a theoretical basis for the rational use of generalized greyness of interval grey number.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 13 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

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