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International fossil fuel subsidies will weigh heavily

Location:

INT

In 2022, direct and indirect fossil fuel subsidies cost USD7tn (7.1% of global GDP)

Non-bank finance faultlines may fuel explosive crises

Location:

INT

Non-bank financial entities hold half of financial assets, are highly leveraged, and are far less regulated than banks

Reprisals fuel central Mali violence

Location:

MALI

Violence in central Mali has taken the form of reprisal attacks primarily between ethnic Fulani and Dogon communities

News on social media will fuel polarisation

Location:

INT

Public reliance on social media -- the least regulated and most distrusted source of news -- is rising

Ukraine crisis will have mixed impact on Latin America

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The rise in global food and fuel prices and fertiliser shortages will hit the region hard, but a few may yet benefit

Higher rates for longer will fuel corporate distress

Location:

INT

Firms need to repay or roll over some USD5.5tn of corporate debt obligations in 2024, with interest rates still high

Race for key minerals will affect economic prospects

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Critical minerals supply will be key to all economies’ prospects ahead just as fossil fuel trade balances have been

Middle East currency weakness will fuel inflation

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

The currencies of Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon and Syria have weakened sharply since September; Turkey’s is still exposed

Boom in metaverse services will fuel regulatory stress

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Major tech firms are building out the ‘metaverse’, a highly immersive and interactive 3D version of the internet

Rising inequalities will increase climate change costs

Location:

INT

Carbon emissions inequality between and within nations fuels internal and multilateral debates about climate funding