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1 – 10 of over 5000The stock market anomalies have been studied across the globe with intermingled results for individual markets. The present study has investigated the financial year effect for…
Abstract
Purpose
The stock market anomalies have been studied across the globe with intermingled results for individual markets. The present study has investigated the financial year effect for Indian stock markets by testing month-of-the-year-effect anomalies.
Design/methodology/approach
The oldest stock exchange's index returns (Bombay Stock Exchange [BSE]) have been tested using ordinary least squares (OLS) and autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity in mean (ARCH-M) models with Student's t and Student's t-fixed distributions for the period between 1991 and 2019. The Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle-generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GJR-GARCH) model has been further used to find out existence of the leverage effect in returns.
Findings
The findings indicated no evidence for anomalies in the Indian stock market which may be used by investors for making unusual returns. However, the volatility in returns has shown weak but significant results due to the financial year impact. The leverage effect has not been found in the financial year cycle change over. The Indian market may be said to be moving towards a state of efficiency, leaving no scope for investors to gauge bizarre profits.
Research limitations/implications
The study has incorporated the Indian context for testing anomalies during the start and end of the financial year cycle. The model may be extended further to developed and developing nations’ markets for testing efficiency in their stock markets during the same cycle.
Originality/value
The paper may be the first of its kind to test for the financial year effect on standalone basis for Indian markets. The paper also adds to the existing literature on testing events’ effect.
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Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and Alex Plastun
The purpose of this paper is to provide some new empirical evidence on the weekend effect (one of the best known anomalies in financial markets) in Ukrainian futures prices. The…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to provide some new empirical evidence on the weekend effect (one of the best known anomalies in financial markets) in Ukrainian futures prices. The analysis uses various statistical techniques.
Design/methodology/approach
The analysis uses various statistical techniques (average analysis, Student’s t-test, dummy variables, and fractional integration) to test for the presence of this anomaly, and then a trading simulation approach to establish whether it can be exploited to make extra profits.
Findings
The statistical evidence points to abnormal positive returns on Fridays, and a trading strategy based on this anomaly is shown to generate annual profits of up to 25 per cent. The implication is that the Ukrainian stock market is inefficient.
Originality/value
This paper provides some new empirical evidence on the weekend effect (one of the best known anomalies in financial markets) in Ukrainian futures prices. The analysis uses various statistical techniques (average analysis, Student’s t-test, dummy variables, and fractional integration) to test for the presence of this anomaly, and then a trading simulation approach to establish whether it can be exploited to make extra profits. The statistical evidence points to abnormal positive returns on Fridays, and a trading strategy based on this anomaly is shown to generate annual profits of up to 25 per cent. The implication is that the Ukrainian stock market is inefficient.
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The paper aims to measure the magnitude of the event-induced return anomaly around bonus issue announcement days in Turkey for recent years. Also, by describing the information…
Abstract
Purpose
The paper aims to measure the magnitude of the event-induced return anomaly around bonus issue announcement days in Turkey for recent years. Also, by describing the information content of these announcements with the current data, the study tries to find out the factors that cause return anomaly in Borsa Istanbul when firm boards release the bonus issue decision.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper conducts event study methodology for detecting market anomaly around bonus issue announcements. For the pairwise comparison purpose, t-test and one-way ANOVA methods are applied to examine if abnormal returns vary according to the information content of the announcements.
Findings
Announcement returns for bonus issues from internal resources outperform the issues that are distributed from last year's net income as bonus shares. Findings indicate different return behaviour among internal resources sub-groups. Findings also suggest that investors in Turkey welcome larger-sized issues, while cumulated returns for the initial offers significantly differ from the latter issues.
Research limitations/implications
Findings are limited to the Turkish equity market. Also, the Public Disclosure Platform of Turkey, which is the main data source of the study, does not provide bonus issue announcements before 2010. Therefore, the previous year's data cannot be included in the analysis.
Originality/value
This paper is novel in terms of considering the main resources of the bonus issue in detail to measure the announcement's impact on stock returns.
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This article aims to systematically review the literature published in recognized journals focused on cognitive heuristic-driven biases and their effect on investment management…
Abstract
Purpose
This article aims to systematically review the literature published in recognized journals focused on cognitive heuristic-driven biases and their effect on investment management activities and market efficiency. It also includes some of the research work on the origins and foundations of behavioral finance, and how this has grown substantially to become an established and particular subject of study in its own right. The study also aims to provide future direction to the researchers working in this field.
Design/methodology/approach
For doing research synthesis, a systematic literature review (SLR) approach was applied considering research studies published within the time period, i.e. 1970–2021. This study attempted to accomplish a critical review of 176 studies out of 256 studies identified, which were published in reputable journals to synthesize the existing literature in the behavioral finance domain-related explicitly to cognitive heuristic-driven biases and their effect on investment management activities and market efficiency as well as on the origins and foundations of behavioral finance.
Findings
This review reveals that investors often use cognitive heuristics to reduce the risk of losses in uncertain situations, but that leads to errors in judgment; as a result, investors make irrational decisions, which may cause the market to overreact or underreact – in both situations, the market becomes inefficient. Overall, the literature demonstrates that there is currently no consensus on the usefulness of cognitive heuristics in the context of investment management activities and market efficiency. Therefore, a lack of consensus about this topic suggests that further studies may bring relevant contributions to the literature. Based on the gaps analysis, three major categories of gaps, namely theoretical and methodological gaps, and contextual gaps, are found, where research is needed.
Practical implications
The skillful understanding and knowledge of the cognitive heuristic-driven biases will help the investors, financial institutions and policymakers to overcome the adverse effect of these behavioral biases in the stock market. This article provides a detailed explanation of cognitive heuristic-driven biases and their influence on investment management activities and market efficiency, which could be very useful for finance practitioners, such as an investor who plays at the stock exchange, a portfolio manager, a financial strategist/advisor in an investment firm, a financial planner, an investment banker, a trader/broker at the stock exchange or a financial analyst. But most importantly, the term also includes all those persons who manage corporate entities and are responsible for making their financial management strategies.
Originality/value
Currently, no recent study exists, which reviews and evaluates the empirical research on cognitive heuristic-driven biases displayed by investors. The current study is original in discussing the role of cognitive heuristic-driven biases in investment management activities and market efficiency as well as the history and foundations of behavioral finance by means of research synthesis. This paper is useful to researchers, academicians, policymakers and those working in the area of behavioral finance in understanding the role that cognitive heuristic plays in investment management activities and market efficiency.
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Saumya Ranjan Dash and Jitendra Mahakud
This paper aims to investigate whether the use of conditional and unconditional Fama and French (1993) three-factor and Carhart (1997) four-factor asset pricing models (APMs…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to investigate whether the use of conditional and unconditional Fama and French (1993) three-factor and Carhart (1997) four-factor asset pricing models (APMs) captures the role of asset pricing anomalies in the context of emerging stock market like India.
Design/methodology/approach
The first step time series regression approach has been used to drive the risk-adjusted returns of individual securities. For examining the predictability of firm characteristics or asset pricing anomalies on the risk-adjusted returns of individual securities, the panel data estimation technique has been used.
Findings
Fama and French (1993) three-factor and Carhart (1997) four-factor model in their unconditional specifications capture the impact of book-to-market price and liquidity effects completely. When alternative APMs in their conditional specifications are tested, the importance of medium- and long-term momentum effects has been captured to a greater extent. The size, market leverage and short-term momentum effects still persist even in the case of alternative unconditional and conditional APMs.
Research limitations/implications
The empirical analysis does not extend for different market scenarios like high and low volatile market or good and bad macroeconomic environment. Because of the constraint of data availability, the authors could not include certain important anomalies like net operating assets, change in gross profit margin, external equity and debt financing and idiosyncratic risk.
Practical implications
Although the active investment approach in stock market shares a common ground of semi-strong form of market efficiency hypothesis which also supports the presence of asset pricing anomalies, less empirical evidence has been explored in this regard to support or repute such belief of practitioners. Our empirical findings make an attempt in this regard to suggest certain anomaly-based trading strategy that can be followed for active portfolio management.
Originality/value
From an emerging market perspective, this paper provides out-of-sample empirical evidence toward the use of conditional Fama and French three-factor and Carhart four-factor APMs for the complete explanation of market anomalies. This approach retains its importance with respect to the comprehensiveness of analysis considering alternative APMs for capturing unique effects of market anomalies.
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Irfan Ali, Waheed Akhter and Naukhaiz Chaudhry
The Islamic Holy days are among the most celebrated spiritual traditions in the world and are observed by more than 1.5 billion Muslims. This study aims to investigate the effect…
Abstract
Purpose
The Islamic Holy days are among the most celebrated spiritual traditions in the world and are observed by more than 1.5 billion Muslims. This study aims to investigate the effect of these events on the regular returns of stock exchanges in selected Muslim countries.
Design/methodology/approach
This study examines data from eight Asian and African stock exchanges from 2001 to 2019. Isolating the effect of Gregorian calendar anomalies, it aims to evaluate the effect of Islamic Holy days on stock returns by running a pooled random effect panel regression on all the stock exchanges examined.
Findings
The results reveal the positive impact of Eid-ul-Fitr on Asian markets, the negative impact of Eid Milad-un-Nabi on the African stock market’s returns and the positive effect of the Holy month of Ramadan on both markets. Some Gregorian calendar anomalies also were found in these markets.
Practical implications
The research has significant implications for marketing professionals to recognize business opportunities and investors to efficiently manage their stock portfolio during Islamic events of Eid-ul-Fitr, Eid Milad-un-Nabi and Ramadan in relevant Muslim countries.
Originality/value
Given the research gap between Gregorian and Islamic calendar anomalies, this paper contributes by combining the effect of Islamic Holy days on the returns of selected Muslim-dominated financial markets.
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Shubhangi Verma, Purnima Rao and Satish Kumar
This study aims to establish the factors affecting the financial investment decision-making of an investor, with specific reference to investors’ emotions and how various events…
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to establish the factors affecting the financial investment decision-making of an investor, with specific reference to investors’ emotions and how various events such as festivals, the pandemic and sports matches affect their investors’ investment decision-making. The authors further intend to understand the role of these investor emotions in creating stock market anomalies.
Design/methodology/approach
Twenty-nine semistructured exploratory interviews with fund managers from the top 10 asset management companies in India, who deal with individual investors regularly, were taken. The interviews were conducted to identify and describe the underlying ideas and sentiments that influence an individual’s investment behavior.
Findings
Although risk and return are the primary motivators of investment decisions, fund managers’ daily interactions with individual investors are affected by unpredictability and technical ambiguity, and investing is an inherently emotionally arousing process, according to the findings of the in-depth interviews.
Originality/value
To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is one of the first studies in Indian market to report the views of financial professionals about the emotional aspect of investors in making an investment decision. With most of the research conducted using quantitative methods, the current study brings in the perspective of financial professionals using primary data.
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Saumya Ranjan Dash and Jitendra Mahakud
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the firm-specific anomaly effect and to identify market anomalies that account for the cross-sectional regularity in the Indian stock…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the firm-specific anomaly effect and to identify market anomalies that account for the cross-sectional regularity in the Indian stock market. The paper also examines the cross-sectional return predictability of market anomalies after making the firm-specific raw return risk adjusted with respect to the systematic risk factors in the unconditional and conditional multifactor specifications.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper employs first step time series regression approach to drive the risk-adjusted return of individual firms. For examining the predictability of firm characteristics on the risk-adjusted return, the panel data estimation technique has been used.
Findings
There is a weak anomaly effect in the Indian stock market. The choice of a five-factor model (FFM) in its unconditional and conditional specifications is able to capture the book-to-market equity, liquidity and medium-term momentum effect. The size, market leverage and short-run momentum effect are found to be persistent in the Indian stock market even with the alternative conditional specifications of the FFM. The results also suggest that it is naï argue for disappearing size effect in the cross-sectional regularity.
Research limitations/implications
Constrained upon the data availability, certain market anomalies and conditioning variables cannot be included in the analysis.
Practical implications
Considering the practitioners' prospective, the results indicate that the profitable investment strategy with respect to the small size effect is still persistent and warrants close-ended mutual fund investment portfolio strategy for enhancing the long-term profitability. The short-run momentum effect can generate potential profits given a short-term investment horizon.
Originality/value
This paper provides the first-ever empirical evidence from an emerging stock market towards the use of alternative conditional multifactor models for the complete explanation of market anomalies. In an attempt to analyze the anomaly effect in the Indian stock market, this paper provides further evidence towards the long-short hedge portfolio return variations in terms of a wide set of market anomalies that have been documented in prior literature.
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This paper examines the effect of the holy month of Ramadan on the returns and conditional volatility of cryptocurrency markets.
Abstract
Purpose
This paper examines the effect of the holy month of Ramadan on the returns and conditional volatility of cryptocurrency markets.
Design/methodology/approach
The closing prices of six cryptocurrencies have been considered. The study employs different classical tests for checking if the efficiency behaviour is similar during Ramadan celebration days and non-Ramadan days. Besides, dummy variable regression technique for assessing this anomaly on returns and volatilities has been applied.
Findings
Although no significant effect on returns and volatility for Litecoin has been found, the results provide evidence about the existence of the Ramadan effects in cryptocurrency markets. The results of the mean equations show the existence of Ramadan effect for Ethereum, Ripple, Stellar and BinanceCoin for all considered models. Significant effect on Bitcoin returns is found with an autoregressive model of order 1. The results of conditional volatility show Ramadan effect on volatility is not detected.
Originality/value
First, a new contribution in the incipient study of cryptocurrency analysis. Second, a comprehensive review of recently published empirical articles about Ramadan effect on traditional assets has been carried out. Third, unlike most of the papers focussed on the study of Bitcoin, this study has been extended to six cryptocurrencies. Ramadan effect have not been analysed in cryptomarkets yet. This study come to fill this gap and analyses Ramadan effect, previously documented for traditional assets, in particular, stock index from Muslim countries, but not yet analysed in the cryptocurrency markets.
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The literature provides extensive evidence for seasonality in stock market returns, but is almost non-existent concerning the potential seasonality in American depository receipts…
Abstract
Purpose
The literature provides extensive evidence for seasonality in stock market returns, but is almost non-existent concerning the potential seasonality in American depository receipts (ADRs). To fill this gap, this paper aims to examine a number of seasonal effects in the market for ADRs.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper examines four ADRs for the period from April 1999 to March 2017 to look for signs of eight important seasonal anomalies. The authors follow the standard methodology of using dummy variables for the time period of interest to capture excess returns. For comparison, the same analysis on two US stock market indices is conducted.
Findings
The results show the presence of a highly significant pre-holiday effect in all return series, which does not seem to be justified by risk. Moreover, turn-of-the-month effects, monthly effects and day-of-the-week effects were detected in some of the ADRs. The seasonality patterns under analysis tended to be stronger in emerging market-based ADRs.
Research limitations/implications
Overall, the results show that significant seasonal patterns were present in the price dynamics of ADRs. Moreover, the findings lend support to the idea that emerging markets are less efficient than developed stock markets.
Originality/value
This is the most comprehensive study to date for indication of seasonal anomalies in the market for ADRs. The authors use an extensive sample that includes recent significant financial events such as the 2007/2008 financial crisis and consider ADRs with different characteristics, which allows to draw comparisons between the differential price dynamics arising in developed market-based ADRs and in the ADRs whose underlying securities are traded in emerging markets.
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