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Geopolitics, supply stress and rate rises will hit GDP

Location:

INT

The outlook is softening as Ukraine war impacts will aggravate supply chain disruptions and tighter financial conditions

Non-financial risks may spur the next financial crisis

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INTERNATIONAL

Asking 13,000 business leaders their top risks to doing business shows that non-financial fears are rising in importance

London’s large economic lead over EU cities may narrow

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INT

Global power and financial centres indices for 2017 show London maintains a huge lead over other EU cities

Cocktail of crises to scar the global economic outlook

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INTERNATIONAL

A global recession now looks as likely as not after the IMF warned that the “worst is yet to come” for the world economy

Ukraine relies on external aid to resist the invasion

Location:

UKRAINE

External military and financial aid is critical to Ukraine’s efforts to resist the Russian invasion

Widening global imbalances raise geopolitical risks

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INT

The German and US external balances have worsened while China, Russia and Saudi Arabia’s surpluses have improved

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

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INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

Trade rebound does not match regional demand outlooks

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INT

Estimates see world trade rebounding from sub-1% to 3.5% in 2024, even though all regions are slowing or growing slowly

US, China on changed GDP growth trajectories

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INT

US GDP has outperformed pre-pandemic expectations, while China and other Asian giants have fallen short

Many countries have more fiscal scope than they think

Location:

INT

The OECD economic outlook highlights many countries that could increase public spending without endangering stability