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1 – 10 of over 43000Jihane Abdelli and Brahim Brahimi
In this paper, the authors applied the empirical likelihood method, which was originally proposed by Owen, to the copula moment based estimation methods to take advantage of its…
Abstract
Purpose
In this paper, the authors applied the empirical likelihood method, which was originally proposed by Owen, to the copula moment based estimation methods to take advantage of its properties, effectiveness, flexibility and reliability of the nonparametric methods, which have limiting chi-square distributions and may be used to obtain tests or confidence intervals. The authors derive an asymptotically normal estimator of the empirical likelihood based on copula moment estimation methods (ELCM). Finally numerical performance with a simulation experiment of ELCM estimator is studied and compared to the CM estimator, with a good result.
Design/methodology/approach
In this paper we applied the empirical likelihood method which originally proposed by Owen, to the copula moment based estimation methods.
Findings
We derive an asymptotically normal estimator of the empirical likelihood based on copula moment estimation methods (ELCM). Finally numerical performance with a simulation experiment of ELCM estimator is studied and compared to the CM estimator, with a good result.
Originality/value
In this paper we applied the empirical likelihood method which originally proposed by Owen 1988, to the copula moment based estimation methods given by Brahimi and Necir 2012. We derive an new estimator of copula parameters and the asymptotic normality of the empirical likelihood based on copula moment estimation methods.
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In this chapter we approach the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models through a moments-based estimator, the empirical likelihood. We attempt to show that…
Abstract
In this chapter we approach the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models through a moments-based estimator, the empirical likelihood. We attempt to show that this inference process can be a valid alternative to maximum likelihood, which has been one of the preferred choices of the related literature to estimate these models. The empirical likelihood estimator is characterized by a simple setup and only requires knowledge about the moments of the data generating process of the model. In this context, we exploit the fact that these economies can be formulated as a set of moment conditions to infer on their parameters through this technique. For illustrational purposes, we consider a standard real business cycle model with a constant relative risk averse utility function and indivisible labor, driven by a normal technology shock.
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Zhiyuan Pan, Xu Zheng and Qiang Chen
This study aims to propose a model-free statistic that tests asymmetric correlations of stock returns, in which stocks move more often with the market when the market goes down…
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to propose a model-free statistic that tests asymmetric correlations of stock returns, in which stocks move more often with the market when the market goes down than when it goes up, and then empirically analyze the asymmetric correlations of the China stock market and international stock markets, respectively.
Design/methodology/approach
Using empirical likelihood method, this study designs and conducts a model-free test, which converges to χ2 distribution under regulated conditions and performs well in the finite sample using bootstrap critical value method.
Findings
By analyzing the authors' model-free test, the authors find that compared with Hong et al.'s test that closely relates to the authors, both of the tests are under rejected using asymptotic critical value. However, using the bootstrap critical value method can greatly improve the performance of the two tests. Second, investigating the power of the two tests, the authors find that the proportion of rejections of the authors' test is roughly 10-20 percent larger than Hong et al.'s test in mixed copula model setting. The last finding is the authors find evidence of asymmetric for small-cap size portfolios, but no evidence for middle-cap and large-cap size portfolios in the China stock market. Besides, the authors test asymmetric correlations between the USA and Japan, France and the UK; the asymmetric phenomenon exists in international stock markets, which is similar to Longin and Solnik's findings, but they are not significant according to both the authors' test and Hong et al.'s test.
Research limitations/implications
The findings in this study suggest that both the authors' test and Hong et al.'s test are under rejected using asymptotic critical value. When applying these statistics to test asymmetric correlations, the authors should take care with the choice of critical value.
Practical implications
The empirical analysis has a significant practical implication for asset allocation, asset pricing and risk management fields.
Originality/value
This study constructs a model-free statistic to test asymmetric correlations using empirical likelihood method for the first time and corrects the size performance by bootstrap method, which improves the performance of Hong et al.'s test. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first study to test the asymmetric correlations in the China stock market.
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Sampling units for the 2013 Methods-of-Payment survey were selected through an approximate stratified two-stage sampling design. To compensate for nonresponse and noncoverage and…
Abstract
Sampling units for the 2013 Methods-of-Payment survey were selected through an approximate stratified two-stage sampling design. To compensate for nonresponse and noncoverage and ensure consistency with external population counts, the observations are weighted through a raking procedure. We apply bootstrap resampling methods to estimate the variance, allowing for randomness from both the sampling design and raking procedure. We find that the variance is smaller when estimated through the bootstrap resampling method than through the naive linearization method, where the latter does not take into account the correlation between the variables used for weighting and the outcome variable of interest.
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Elie Bertrand Kengne Signe, Abraham Kanmogne, Guemene D. Emmanuel and Lucien Meva’a
The purpose of this paper is contribution to estimate the potential of wind energy in Douala in Cameroon, by modeling and predicting the regime of wind. The paper deals with the…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is contribution to estimate the potential of wind energy in Douala in Cameroon, by modeling and predicting the regime of wind. The paper deals with the analysis and comparison of seven numerical methods for the assessment of effectiveness in determining the parameters for the Weibull distribution, using wind speed data collected at Douala International Airport in Cameroon, in the period from September 2011 to May 2013, obtained by meteorological equipment belonging to the Laboratory of Energy Research of the Institute of Geological and Mining Research.
Design/methodology/approach
By using ANOVA, root mean square error and chi-square tests to compare the proposed methods, this study aims to determine which methods are effective in determining the parameters of the Weibull distribution for the available data, in an attempt to establish acceptable criteria for better usage of wind power in Douala, which is the economic capital and ought to have prominence in the use of renewable sources for electricity generation in Cameroon.
Findings
The study helps to determine that moment, empirical and energy pattern factor methods used to determine the shape parameter k and the scale parameter c of the Weibull distribution present a better curve fit with the histogram of the wind speed. This fact is clearly validated by means of the statistical tests. But, all the seven methods gave excellent performance. Then, k reaching levels ranging from 3.5 to 5.5 and c range from 1.7 to 2.4.
Originality/value
Then as far as we are concerned, for a significant contribution, it could be more effective to have a model for prediction of wind characteristics using wind data collected per hour, one at least three years. A comparison of results obtained from lots of other methods (seven in this case) is necessary before an efficient discussion. Standard deviations and errors between measured and predicted data must also be presented.
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After briefly reviewing the past history of Bayesian econometrics and Alan Greenspan's (2004) recent description of his use of Bayesian methods in managing policy-making risk…
Abstract
After briefly reviewing the past history of Bayesian econometrics and Alan Greenspan's (2004) recent description of his use of Bayesian methods in managing policy-making risk, some of the issues and needs that he mentions are discussed and linked to past and present Bayesian econometric research. Then a review of some recent Bayesian econometric research and needs is presented. Finally, some thoughts are presented that relate to the future of Bayesian econometrics.
Christine M. Kowalczyk and Kathrynn R. Pounders
Social media platforms are changing the way consumers and celebrities engage. This research aims to better understand how and why consumers use social media to engage with…
Abstract
Purpose
Social media platforms are changing the way consumers and celebrities engage. This research aims to better understand how and why consumers use social media to engage with celebrities, and identify the potential antecedents and outcomes, which may result from these online connections.
Design/methodology/approach
Both qualitative (two focus groups) and quantitative (survey) methods were used to explore consumer engagement with celebrities on social media. A structural model from the survey data was developed and analyzed.
Findings
Textual analysis of the focus groups revealed that consumers follow celebrities on social media to obtain career and personal information about the celebrity. Further, authenticity and emotional attachment were identified as favorable aspects of following celebrities on social media. An empirical study confirmed that the constructs of authenticity and emotional attachment positively influence the outcomes of word-of-mouth and purchase likelihood.
Research limitations/implications
The study was limited by the self-identification of a favorite celebrity and social media site. Future research should include empirical testing of specific celebrities featured on a specific social media site and the development of the constructs identified in the focus groups.
Practical implications
This research sheds light on the antecedents and outcomes associated with consumer–celebrity engagement on social media. The implications for marketers and advertisers include a better understanding of how celebrities transform themselves and engage with consumers on social media.
Originality/value
This paper fulfills an identified need to study authenticity and emotional attachment as they relate to celebrities and consumers’ engagements on social media.
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Santiago Gamba-Santamaria, Oscar Fernando Jaulin-Mendez, Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia and Carlos Andrés Quicazán-Moreno
Value at risk (VaR) is a market risk measure widely used by risk managers and market regulatory authorities, and various methods are proposed in the literature for its estimation…
Abstract
Purpose
Value at risk (VaR) is a market risk measure widely used by risk managers and market regulatory authorities, and various methods are proposed in the literature for its estimation. However, limited studies discuss its distribution or its confidence intervals. The purpose of this paper is to compare different techniques for computing such intervals to identify the scenarios under which such confidence interval techniques perform properly.
Design/methodology/approach
The methods that are included in the comparison are based on asymptotic normality, extreme value theory and subsample bootstrap. The evaluation is done by computing the coverage rates for each method through Monte Carlo simulations under certain scenarios. The scenarios consider different persistence degrees in mean and variance, sample sizes, VaR probability levels, confidence levels of the intervals and distributions of the standardized errors. Additionally, an empirical application for the stock market index returns of G7 countries is presented.
Findings
The simulation exercises show that the methods that were considered in the study are only valid for high quantiles. In particular, in terms of coverage rates, there is a good performance for VaR(99 per cent) and bad performance for VaR(95 per cent) and VaR(90 per cent). The results are confirmed by an empirical application for the stock market index returns of G7 countries.
Practical implications
The findings of the study suggest that the methods that were considered to estimate VaR confidence interval are appropriated when considering high quantiles such as VaR(99 per cent). However, using these methods for smaller quantiles, such as VaR(95 per cent) and VaR(90 per cent), is not recommended.
Originality/value
This study is the first one, as far as it is known, to identify the scenarios under which the methods for estimating the VaR confidence intervals perform properly. The findings are supported by simulation and empirical exercises.
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Juan Carlos Escanciano, Thomas B. Fomby, R. Carter Hill, Eric Hillebrand and Ivan Jeliazkov
This volume of Advances in Econometrics is devoted to dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, which have gained popularity in both academic and policy circles as a…
Abstract
This volume of Advances in Econometrics is devoted to dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, which have gained popularity in both academic and policy circles as a theoretically and methodologically coherent way of analyzing a variety of issues in empirical macroeconomics. The volume is divided into two parts. The first part covers important topics in DSGE modeling and estimation practice, including the modeling and role of expectations, the study of alternative pricing models, the problem of non-invertibility in structural VARs, the possible weak identification in new open economy macro models, and the modeling of trend inflation. The second part is devoted to innovations in econometric methodology. The papers in this section advance new techniques for addressing key theoretical and inferential problems and include discussion and applications of Laplace-type, frequency domain, empirical likelihood, and method of moments estimators.
Yélé Maweki Batana and Jean-Yves Duclos
This chapter proposes tests for stochastic dominance in mobility based on the empirical likelihood ratio. Two views of mobility are considered, either based on measures of…
Abstract
This chapter proposes tests for stochastic dominance in mobility based on the empirical likelihood ratio. Two views of mobility are considered, either based on measures of absolute mobility or based on transition matrices. First-order and second-order dominance conditions in mobility are first derived, followed by the derivation of statistical inferences techniques to test a null hypothesis of nondominance against an alternative of mobility dominance. An empirical analysis, based on the US Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), is performed by comparing four income mobility periods ranging from 1970 to 1990.