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Global governance reform will be hard in the Trump era

Location:

INT

Voting at international financial institutions does not reflect GDP trends, leaving emerging markets with little voice

Population trends pose development challenges

Location:

INT

Just 2% of global population gain in 2016-40 will be in advanced countries; 56% will be in Africa and the Middle East

High-debt, low-rates trend may trap poorer nations

Location:

INT

The Fed and ECB have confirmed they will keep policy loose through 2019, but this may encourage more debt take-up

Demographic trends will shape economic prospects

Location:

INT

Transforming the world economy by 2040, working-age population growth will come almost entirely from lower-income states

Changing diets challenge sustainable global growth

Location:

INT

Emerging markets are eating more animal based products; the shift has vast implications for trade and the environment

Global deflation risk will fade due to monetary action

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Despite some hotspots, deflation risks prevail over high inflation trends

Africans will increase digital payment use

Location:

AFRICA

Digital transactions are on the rise, even where internet access lags

Deaths of despair could hinder the economic recovery

Location:

INT

Social isolation and economic uncertainties arising from COVID-19 lockdowns could prompt many more deaths of despair

Budget and climate pressures affect the growth outlook

Location:

INT

OECD economies will be under increasing strain to decarbonise while also keeping their budget balances sustainable

High food and metals prices will outlast the conflict

Location:

INT

Russia accounts for 1.7% of world GDP but a sizeable share of supplies of fertiliser, fuels and some foods and metals