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Article
Publication date: 1 March 2007

Predicting engineering and schedule procurement cost growth for major dod programs

Chris J. McDaniel and Edward D. White III

Previous research by Moore and White (2005) demonstrated the validity of a two-step regression approach to estimate total procurement cost growth. Although this study…

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Abstract

Previous research by Moore and White (2005) demonstrated the validity of a two-step regression approach to estimate total procurement cost growth. Although this study produced statistically significant findings, the resultant regression models relied on a predictor variable, First Unit Equipped, that appeared from a historic standpoint to be marginally populated in the database. To mitigate this limitation, this study addresses just two components of possible procurement cost growth for major DoD acquisition programs. These two areas consist of cost growth due to either physical changes to the system or program slippage or acceleration. In narrowing the scope of procurement cost growth, this study discovers more universal explanatory variables that can be used to predict whether specific types of cost growth will occur, and if so, by what expected percentage.

Details

Journal of Public Procurement, vol. 7 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JOPP-07-03-2007-B003
ISSN: 1535-0118

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Article
Publication date: 1 March 2005

A regression approach for estimating procurement cost

Gary W. Moore and Edward D. White III

Cost growth in Department of Defense (DoD) weapon systems continues to be a scrutinized area of concern. One way to minimize unexpected cost growth is to derive better and…

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Abstract

Cost growth in Department of Defense (DoD) weapon systems continues to be a scrutinized area of concern. One way to minimize unexpected cost growth is to derive better and more realistic cost estimates. In this vein, cost estimators have many analytical tools to ply. Previous research has demonstrated the use of a two-step logistic and multiple regression methodology to aid in this endeavor. We investigate and expand this methodology to cost growth in procurement dollar accounts for the Engineering and Manufacturing Development phase of DoD acquisition. We develop and present two salient statistical models for cost estimators to at least consider if not use in mitigating cost growth for existing and future government acquisition programs.

Details

Journal of Public Procurement, vol. 5 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JOPP-05-02-2005-B003
ISSN: 1535-0118

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Article
Publication date: 30 November 2018

Cost performance index stability: insights from environmental remediation projects

Denis S. Clayson, Alfred E. Thal, Jr and Edward D. White III

The purpose of this study was to investigate the stability of the cost performance index (CPI) for environmental remediation projects as the topic is not addressed in the…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to investigate the stability of the cost performance index (CPI) for environmental remediation projects as the topic is not addressed in the literature. CPI is defined as the earned value of work performed divided by the actual cost of the work, and CPI stability represents the point in time in a project after which the CPI varies by less than 20 percent (measured in different ways).

Design/methodology/approach

After collecting monthly earned value management (EVM) data for 136 environmental remediation projects from a United States federal agency in fiscal years 2012 and 2013, the authors used the nonparametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test to analyze CPI stability. The authors also used nonparametric statistical comparisons to identify any significant relationships between CPI stability and independent variables representing project and contract characteristics.

Findings

The CPI for environmental projects did not stabilize until the projects were 41 percent complete with respect to project duration. The most significant factors contributing to CPI stability were categorized into the following managerial insights: contractor qualifications, communication, stakeholder engagement, contracting strategy, competition, EVM factors, and macro project factors.

Originality/value

As CPI stability for environmental remediation projects has not been reported in the literature, this research provides new insights to help project managers understand when the CPIs of environmental remediation projects stabilize and which factors have the most impact on CPI stability.

Details

Journal of Defense Analytics and Logistics, vol. 2 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JDAL-11-2017-0024
ISSN: 2399-6439

Keywords

  • Cost performance index (CPI)
  • CPI stability
  • Earned value management (EVM)
  • Environmental remediation projects

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Article
Publication date: 1 March 2009

Improving procurement through regression analysis: A case study of predicting argentine jet fuel prices

Juan A. Salaverry and Edward D. White III

Of all oil products consumed by the Argentine Air Force (AAF), jet fuel is the resource with highest demand and at the end of the day the most expensive support item…

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Of all oil products consumed by the Argentine Air Force (AAF), jet fuel is the resource with highest demand and at the end of the day the most expensive support item procured by the AAF. Accurate predictions of Argentine jet fuel prices are necessary to improve AAF financial and logistics planning. Multiple regression analysis is one such tool that can aid in accurately forecasting the amount required when procuring this valuable commodity. Using this methodology, we develop and illustrate a highly predictive model that has an adjusted R2 of 0.98 and an average percentage absolute error of 4%.

Details

Journal of Public Procurement, vol. 9 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JOPP-09-01-2009-B001
ISSN: 1535-0118

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Article
Publication date: 1 March 1974

Reference books in print

Tom Schultheiss, Lorraine Hartline, Jean Mandeberg, Pam Petrich and Sue Stern

The following classified, annotated list of titles is intended to provide reference librarians with a current checklist of new reference books, and is designed to…

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Abstract

The following classified, annotated list of titles is intended to provide reference librarians with a current checklist of new reference books, and is designed to supplement the RSR review column, “Recent Reference Books,” by Frances Neel Cheney. “Reference Books in Print” includes all additional books received prior to the inclusion deadline established for this issue. Appearance in this column does not preclude a later review in RSR. Publishers are urged to send a copy of all new reference books directly to RSR as soon as published, for immediate listing in “Reference Books in Print.” Reference books with imprints older than two years will not be included (with the exception of current reprints or older books newly acquired for distribution by another publisher). The column shall also occasionally include library science or other library related publications of other than a reference character.

Details

Reference Services Review, vol. 2 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/eb048526
ISSN: 0090-7324

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Book part
Publication date: 29 August 2018

A History of the FTC’s Bureau of Economics ☆

Paul A. Pautler

The Bureau of Economics in the Federal Trade Commission has a three-part role in the Agency and the strength of its functions changed over time depending on the…

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Abstract

The Bureau of Economics in the Federal Trade Commission has a three-part role in the Agency and the strength of its functions changed over time depending on the preferences and ideology of the FTC’s leaders, developments in the field of economics, and the tenor of the times. The over-riding current role is to provide well considered, unbiased economic advice regarding antitrust and consumer protection law enforcement cases to the legal staff and the Commission. The second role, which long ago was primary, is to provide reports on investigations of various industries to the public and public officials. This role was more recently called research or “policy R&D”. A third role is to advocate for competition and markets both domestically and internationally. As a practical matter, the provision of economic advice to the FTC and to the legal staff has required that the economists wear “two hats,” helping the legal staff investigate cases and provide evidence to support law enforcement cases while also providing advice to the legal bureaus and to the Commission on which cases to pursue (thus providing “a second set of eyes” to evaluate cases). There is sometimes a tension in those functions because building a case is not the same as evaluating a case. Economists and the Bureau of Economics have provided such services to the FTC for over 100 years proving that a sub-organization can survive while playing roles that sometimes conflict. Such a life is not, however, always easy or fun.

Details

Healthcare Antitrust, Settlements, and the Federal Trade Commission
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S0193-589520180000028005
ISBN: 978-1-78756-599-9

Keywords

  • Bureau of Economics
  • FTC
  • History
  • Organization Theory
  • Antitrust
  • Consumer Protection
  • N42
  • L40
  • D18

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 2003

MNEs, globalisation and digital economy: legal and economic aspects

Georgios I. Zekos

Aim of the present monograph is the economic analysis of the role of MNEs regarding globalisation and digital economy and in parallel there is a reference and examination…

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Aim of the present monograph is the economic analysis of the role of MNEs regarding globalisation and digital economy and in parallel there is a reference and examination of some legal aspects concerning MNEs, cyberspace and e‐commerce as the means of expression of the digital economy. The whole effort of the author is focused on the examination of various aspects of MNEs and their impact upon globalisation and vice versa and how and if we are moving towards a global digital economy.

Details

Managerial Law, vol. 45 no. 1/2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/03090550310770875
ISSN: 0309-0558

Keywords

  • Globalization
  • Digital marketing
  • Electronic commerce

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Book part
Publication date: 1 November 2016

Bibliography

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Governing for the Future: Designing Democratic Institutions for a Better Tomorrow
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S2053-769720160000025024
ISBN: 978-1-78635-056-5

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Book part
Publication date: 18 March 2014

Cartel overcharges ☆

The author is Professor Emeritus at Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN. He is indebted to Professor Robert H. Lande, who worked with the author on earlier law review articles on cartel overcharges; he also was responsible for locating several overcharges from antitrust verdicts in U.S. courts and provided meticulous comments on this version.

John M. Connor

Many jurisdictions fine illegal cartels using penalty guidelines that presume an arbitrary 10% overcharge. This article surveys more than 700 published economic studies…

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Many jurisdictions fine illegal cartels using penalty guidelines that presume an arbitrary 10% overcharge. This article surveys more than 700 published economic studies and judicial decisions that contain 2,041 quantitative estimates of overcharges of hard-core cartels. The primary findings are: (1) the median average long-run overcharge for all types of cartels over all time periods is 23.0%; (2) the mean average is at least 49%; (3) overcharges reached their zenith in 1891–1945 and have trended downward ever since; (4) 6% of the cartel episodes are zero; (5) median overcharges of international-membership cartels are 38% higher than those of domestic cartels; (6) convicted cartels are on average 19% more effective at raising prices as unpunished cartels; (7) bid-rigging conduct displays 25% lower markups than price-fixing cartels; (8) contemporary cartels targeted by class actions have higher overcharges; and (9) when cartels operate at peak effectiveness, price changes are 60–80% higher than the whole episode. Historical penalty guidelines aimed at optimally deterring cartels are likely to be too low.

Details

The Law and Economics of Class Actions
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S0193-589520140000026008
ISBN: 978-1-78350-951-5

Keywords

  • Cartel
  • collusion
  • price fixing
  • overcharge
  • antitrust
  • optimal deterrence
  • L12
  • L42
  • K22
  • B14
  • F29

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Article
Publication date: 1 January 1977

Managerial Law

A distinction must be drawn between a dismissal on the one hand, and on the other a repudiation of a contract of employment as a result of a breach of a fundamental term…

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A distinction must be drawn between a dismissal on the one hand, and on the other a repudiation of a contract of employment as a result of a breach of a fundamental term of that contract. When such a repudiation has been accepted by the innocent party then a termination of employment takes place. Such termination does not constitute dismissal (see London v. James Laidlaw & Sons Ltd (1974) IRLR 136 and Gannon v. J. C. Firth (1976) IRLR 415 EAT).

Details

Managerial Law, vol. 20 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/eb022385
ISSN: 0309-0558

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