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Risks and opportunities 2021: Former Soviet states

Location:

CIS

As the former Soviet space reels under COVID’s economic impact, more states are in conflict or political turmoil

Space junk threatens national security

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Critical national infrastructure is exposed to vast clouds of metal fragments circling the Earth at the speed of bullets

'Shadow governance' risks in Asia are localised

Location:

ASIA

Unlike in the Middle East, 'ungoverned spaces' in Asia are fewer and geographically concentrated

Africa’s economic crisis will escalate debt crisis

Location:

AFRICA

Debt sustainability is a major concern as African economies reel from the worst economic crisis in decades

The pandemic has worsened global cooperation prospects

Location:

INT

Economic stagnation and employment or livelihood crises are most feared by executives surveyed worldwide

China reaches political crossroads as economy matures

Location:

CHINA

The balance China has traditionally struck between economic openness and political repression may not hold much longer

Long-term shifts to weaken traditional EU left

Location:

EU

Traditional left-wing parties are struggling for electoral success, despite the economic crisis

Saudi instability risk will rise if reforms fail

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

The kingdom's eroding public finances raise questions over its long-term resilience

Russia may carve out shallow niche in Africa

Location:

RUSSIA-AFRICA

Russia announced its return to Africa with a major summit in Sochi on October 23-24

Syria’s complex conflicts show states have the edge

Location:

SYRIA

A resurgent Damascus and increasingly committed foreign interventions are squeezing out non-state actors