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On March 24, 2012, we had one of the greatest surprises of our lives. We walked into the Lod Cook Conference Center on the LSU campus, to find scores of people, including our friend, mentor and major Professor Stanley R. Johnson, and many old colleagues and students. This event, in honor of the 30th volume of Advances in Econometrics, was engineered by our friend Dek Terrell, with the aide of his spouse, Dannielle Lewis, our spouses Nancy Fomby and Melissa Waters, Julianna Richard of LSU, Daniel Millimet of SMU, and our former Emerald Press editor Emma Whitfield. True to our nature we were oblivious to the nine months of planning and work that had gone into preparing the event. These cunning and diabolical people, obviously skilled in hiding the truth and keeping poker faces through it all, had organized a surprise conference! Not a birthday party, not a dinner, but a weekend conference with participants from all over the world! We are amazed, and honored.
Advances in Econometrics is a series of research annuals first published in 1982 by JAI Press. In this paper, we present a brief history of the series over its first 30…
Advances in Econometrics is a series of research annuals first published in 1982 by JAI Press. In this paper, we present a brief history of the series over its first 30 years. We describe key events in the history of the volume, and give information about the key contributors: editors, editorial board members, Advances in Econometrics Fellows, and authors who have contributed to the great success of the series.
The collection of chapters in this 30th volume of Advances in Econometrics provides a well-deserved tribute to Thomas B. Fomby and R. Carter Hill, who have served as editors of the Advances in Econometrics series for 25 and 21 years, respectively. Volume 30 contains a more varied collection of chapters than previous volumes, in essence mirroring the wide variety of econometric topics covered by the series over 30 years. Volume 30 starts with a chapter discussing the history of this series over the last 30 years. The next five chapters can be broadly categorized as focusing on model specification and testing. Following this section are three contributions that examine instrumental variables models in quite different settings. The next four chapters focus on applied macroeconomics topics. The final chapter offers a practical guide to conducting Monte Carlo simulations.
The editors are pleased to offer the following papers to the reader in recognition and appreciation of the contributions to our literature made by Robert Engle and Sir Clive Granger, winners of the 2003 Nobel Prize in Economics. Please see the previous dedication page of this volume. The basic themes of this part of Volume 20 of Advances in Econometrics are time-varying betas of the capital asset pricing model, analysis of predictive densities of nonlinear models of stock returns, modeling multivariate dynamic correlations, flexible seasonal time series models, estimation of long-memory time series models, the application of the technique of boosting in volatility forecasting, the use of different time scales in Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) modeling, out-of-sample evaluation of the ‘Fed Model’ in stock price valuation, structural change as an alternative to long memory, the use of smooth transition autoregressions in stochastic volatility modeling, the analysis of the “balancedness” of regressions analyzing Taylor-type rules of the Fed Funds rate, a mixture-of-experts approach for the estimation of stochastic volatility, a modern assessment of Clive's first published paper on sunspot activity, and a new class of models of tail-dependence in time series subject to jumps. Of course, we are also pleased to include Rob's and Clive's remarks on their careers and their views on innovation in econometric theory and practice that were given at the Third Annual Advances in Econometrics Conference held at Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, on November 5–7, 2004.