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Germany may raise spending to reduce imbalances

Location:

GERMANY

Germany’s chronic trade surplus.

Poor productivity will weigh on Mexico’s GDP growth

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MEXICO

While the crisis damaged the economy, compounded by the lack of fiscal response, Mexico has suffered from sluggish growth for the last four decades. Productivity, on average, has…

Brazil policies focus on short-term poverty responses

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BRAZIL

The pandemic has worsened the living conditions of vulnerable people. Governmental emergency aid has temporarily lifted people out of poverty, but declining income gains, high…

Prospects for the US economy to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Prospects for the US economy to end-2020.

China's changing diets will favour vegetable farming

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CHINA

Vegetarianism has surged among affluent young urban residents in recent years, primarily due to greater health consciousness and concerns about food safety. The government is…

Ukraine invasion threatens oil trade amid volatility

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INTERNATIONAL

Neither Moscow nor the countries which have imposed sanctions on it wish to damage energy trade, but some disruption to Russian oil product flows is likely. The oil market is…

Prospects for Brazil to end-2020

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2020

The disease has exacerbated high levels of animosity in national politics, with President Jair Bolsonaro in open conflict with state governors and the other two branches of…

South African lockdown easing should reduce hardship

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SOUTH AFRICA

The re-opening comes despite an infection rate that is expected to peak only later this year.

East-west divide between EU member states will deepen

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EU

The EU’s de facto evolution into a ‘core/periphery’ Europe.

Earthquake impacts will deepen Haiti's economic woes

Location:

HAITI

A lack of fiscal buffers to mitigate the pandemic’s dramatic consequences has increased Haiti’s dependence on international financial assistance, while a recent earthquake has…