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This study investigates the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war (2022) on the volatility connectedness between Egyptian stock market sectors.
Abstract
Purpose
This study investigates the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war (2022) on the volatility connectedness between Egyptian stock market sectors.
Design/methodology/approach
This study employs the newest dynamic conditional correlation (DCC)-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-CONNECTEDNESS approach to examine volatility connectedness in a sample of ten sectors in the Egyptian stock market, namely banks, education, food, healthcare, industry, information technology, real estate, resources, transportation and travel, ranging from February 1, 2019 to May 31, 2022.
Findings
The findings show that connectedness among the Egyptian stock market sectors varies depending on the time. The average dynamic connectedness measure among sectors in Egypt is 73.24%. This average was 85.63% during the Russia–Ukraine War (2022). The author also shows that the transportation sector is the most significant net transmitter of volatility in the remaining sectors during the Russia–Ukraine War (2022).
Practical implications
This study intends for policymakers to examine the co-movements, market variations and volatility spillover of stock markets, particularly during crises. Furthermore, the results help investors gain insight into diversifying the investors' portfolio assets to optimize profits.
Originality/value
To the best of the authors' knowledge, no study has investigated the implications of the war between Russia and Ukraine (2022) on sectoral interconnectedness within the stock markets in any country and discussion and empirical evidence from African countries are lacking. This study fills this gap in the literature. Additionally, the author uses the newest approach, the DCC-GARCH-CONNECTEDNESS approach, to describe the time-varying volatility spillover between economic sectors in Egypt.
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Vineeta Kumari, Rima Assaf, Faten Moussa and Dharen Kumar Pandey
The purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of the Glasgow Climate Pact on global oil and gas sector stocks. Further, this study also examines if the nations' Climate…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of the Glasgow Climate Pact on global oil and gas sector stocks. Further, this study also examines if the nations' Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI) and World Energy Trilemma Index (WETI) drive the abnormal returns around the event.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors apply the event study analysis to 691 global oil and gas firms across 52 countries. Further, they apply the cross-sectional examination of cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) across 502 firms.
Findings
The emerging markets experienced significant negative abnormal returns on the event day. The CCPI negatively affects longer pre-event CARs, while WETI significantly negatively associates with CARs during longer pre- and post-event windows. Volatility is negatively related to pre- and post-event abnormal returns, while past returns positively drive pre-event period CARs but negatively drive post-event window CARs. This study finds an interesting association between liquidity (CACL) and CARs, as CACL positively drives pre-event CARs, but post-event CARs are negatively associated with CACL. The CARs do not significantly correlate with leverage, size and book-to-market ratio.
Practical implications
This study's findings on the impact of climate risks on financial markets have significant implications for global regulatory bodies. Policymakers should reduce stock volatility and enhance environmental disclosures by publicly traded companies to accurately price and assess the potential impacts of climate risks. Governments should examine the effects of environmental restrictions on investor behavior, especially in developing countries with limited access to capital. Therefore, policymakers need to consider the far-reaching impacts of environmental regulations while introducing them.
Originality/value
Climate risks are expected to impact the global financial market significantly. Prior studies provide limited evidence on how such climate pacts impact the oil and gas sector. Hence, this study, while bridging this gap, provides important implications for policymakers and stakeholders, particularly the emerging markets that are more sensitive.
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