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In this paper, we examine the existence of the psychological barriers in three foreign exchange rate, won/dollar, euro/dollar, yen/dollar, and test that the psychological barriers effect to the implied volatilities of the FX options. For each exchange rate, the existence and spots of the psychological barriers are estimated from roughly 10 years data for each currency rate, and GARCH (1, 1) model was applied to observe the momentum effect about the mean and variance of the conditional returns, and the implied volatility of the FX-options for each currency rate near the psychological barriers. Since this effect is more clearly observed on the implied volatility data, this fact supports that psychological barriers affects to the price of the FX-options.

This study investigates the over- and under-reacting behavior of USD/KRW OTC currency option investors from the year of 2006 to 2011. Using the empirical testing models suggested by Poteshman (2001), we first find that USD/KRW OTC option investors tend to under-react to the unexpected changes in instantaneous variances, which means ‘short horizon under-reaction’. Second, we find that USD/KRW OTC option market tends to slightly over-react to a long period of mostly positive (or negative) unexpected changes in instantaneous variances during the period of before global financial crisis in 2008, We find, however, that this ‘long horizon over-reaction’ in the aforementioned period is not statistically significant. Third, we find that the market tends to significantly under-react, rather than over-react, to a long period of mostly positive (or negative) unexpected changes in instantaneous variances during the period of after global financial crisis in 2008. Finally, using the different empirical testing model (i.e., model-free approach), suggested by Jiang and Tian (2010), we also obtained the same empirical results, which strengthen the robustness of them.

This article explores the hedging effectiveness of KIKO options by using the mean-variance analysis of Markowitz and by comparing three hedge measures such as Sharpe hedging effectiveness measure proposed by Howard and D’Antonio (1987), Fishburn (1977)’s measure, and Ederington (1979)’s. which calculates the degree to which the rate of return per unit of risk increases and total volatilty and down-side risk of hedged portfolio diminishes respectively. This paper differs from the previous researches in that this research first assumes that the firms hold the same value of dollar amount as that of short calls at each of settlement dates, and secondly this article performs multiple period of analysis instead of single period.

This paper finds first that the hedging effectiveness of KIKO options is not better than that of currency forward contract in making a reduction of the total volatility and down-side risks of hedged portfolio. Secondly the hedge effectiveness is the highest at the first settlement date but it plunges when the time passes by, which is mainly due to the fact that the value of in-the-money put decreases, but that of out-of-the-money call increases as the time to maturity increases. Thirdly, it is found that another KIKO option with the equal premium shows even better hedging performance than the original KIKO in three aspects of hedging effectiveness. In conclusion, the KIKO turns out to be a lemon.

This paper investigate the information content of implied volatilities derived from KRW/USD OTC currency options. First, we examined the explanatory power of implied volatilities in forecasting future realized volatilities of the spot exchange rates. Next, we examined the dynamic properties of volatility spreads, the difference between implied volatilities and realized volatilities, observed in KRW/USD currency option markets. Using the sample data from January 2006 through March 2010, we first find that even though the implied volatilities have a little explanatory power in forecasting future realized volatilities, they don't improve the information content of simple historical volatilities at all. Second, this paper finds that during the period before global financial crisis in 2008, the implied volatilities are consistently lower than the realized volatilities. This suggests that we cannot exclude the possibility of risk seeking behavior of the investors in KRW/USD OTC currency option markets at that time. Finally, from the comparative analysis with KOSPI 200 index options for the same sample period, we confirmed that our empirical results are uniquely observed only in KRW/USD OTC currency option markets.

This paper measures different market risk impacts on options portfolios under the new Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) regulation, issued in Basel and coming into effect in 2023.

This paper first suggests an algorithm for implementing the FRTB standardised approach via the sensitivities-based method to estimate a portfolio's risk capital and presents an illustration applied to an option position. Second, it proposes a methodology to estimate the expected shortfall in options portfolios from the FRTB internal models approach. In this regard, an application is developed to measure expected shortfall (ES) and value at risk (VaR) impacts under FRTB versus conventional VaR in a currency option position by considering stress scenarios from the 2007–9 and 2020–1 crises and back-testing procedures.

The suggested algorithm satisfactorily captures impacts via the sensitivities-based method, and higher risk capital demands are expected for emerging economies. Also, the planned FRTB methodology to measure ES and VaR is appropriate; in particular, historical metrics perform well. Astonishingly, their revealed impacts are more significant under the 2020–1 pandemic crisis than the 2007–9 financial crisis.

The proposals developed weave a communication bridge between the standardised and internal approaches of FRTB regulation, which can be scaled up technologically and institutionally.

This paper investigates the information content of implied volatilities inferred from individual stock options quoted over-the-counter (OTC). First, we examine whether the implied volatility has better explanatory power than historical volatility for forecasting future realized volatility of the underlying stock return. Next, we analyze the properties of volatility spreads, the difference between implied volatilities and realized volatilities. Using near-the-money options for 10 firms over the sample period from April 2005 to April 2010, we first demonstrate that the implied volatilities for most firms don’t have additional information beyond what are already contained in historical volatilities. However, the implied volatilities with some specific remaining maturities for two firms dominate historical volatilities in explaining the future realized volatilities. Second, we find that during the period before global financial crisis, the implied volatilities are systematically lower than the future realized volatilities whereas this reversal disappears after the year 2008. This finding suggests that there’s a possibility of the risk loving behavior of the investors in OTC individual stock options market during the pre-global crisis period. Finally, through the comparative analysis of the KOSPI200 index options quoted OTC over the same sample period, we conclude that the OTC individual stock options market has distinctive characteristics like the KRW/USD OTC currency options market.

This study aims to empirically investigate the effect of digital currency development (digital finance) on financial inclusion in Nigeria for the period. Nigeria undertook her digital currency development to rip the benefits of financial inclusion, safer remittances and exchange rate regularization among others.

The researchers developed high-frequency quarterly data for the analysis from 2006:1 to 2020:4 in a weighted stepwise forward regression. A model similar to the one used by Demir et al. (2020) and Altunbas and Thornton (2019) with some modifications was developed.

Findings suggest that (1) a unit rise in the usage of automated teller machines by citizens spontaneously raised financial inclusion in a quarter in Nigeria by 0.012 units and were statistically significant; (2) a percentage rise in the use of point of sales transaction by citizens in the country also raised financial inclusion in Nigeria by approximately 1%; (3) a percentage increase by mobile payment users in Nigeria will spontaneously increase financial inclusion by at least 0.4%; (4) a percentage rise in web payment services reduces financial inclusion by 22% in Nigeria; (5) Cumulative positive effect of digital finances on financial inclusion in Nigeria was approximately 7%.

The researches show, using in-sample forecast, that while financial inclusion will grow in Nigeria, it will not be without systemic fluctuations. Based on the outcome, it is proposed that if the present digital currency penetration for the country is sustained at the present growth rate, the country may be more financially inclusive by 2% additionally by 2025 and 4% more by 2030.

Originally, it is found that digital currency development are positive derivatives for financial inclusion in Nigeria. Cumulatively, the effect of digital finances on financial inclusion in Nigeria is approximately 7% positive.

This paper analyses the possibility of Latin America's (LA) major economies adopting dollarization, considering that in the last decade macroeconomic instability has once again challenged the ability of certain economies to properly manage their own currency.

To determine the feasibility of adopting the US dollar as official currency, the author uses the framework of optimum currency area (OCA) theory, since, in fact, dollarization is an incomplete monetary union. The author uses a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to identify what type of structural shock — country-specific, regional or global — prevails in LA economies. For this purpose, the US output is used to represent the global output and determine how the shocks of the US influence the output trajectory of each LA nation. The higher the influence of the US product, the lower the costs of adopting the US dollar.

The results of the variance decomposition show that the influence of the US shocks in the gross domestic product (GDP) trajectory of LA countries has significantly decreased over the last two decades, even in the currently dollarized economies. The estimates for Venezuela and Argentina show that the importance of US shocks in the trajectory of their GDP is low. Therefore, the cost of adopting the US dollar as the official currency would be high.

In view of hyperinflation and macroeconomic imbalances in certain LA nations, the dollarization debate has resurfaced in recent years. However, the literature that empirically evaluates the feasibility of adopting dollarization as a monetary system under current economic conditions is limited.