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Prospects for the global economy in H2 2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Labour and housing markets are slowing very gradually, but the strength of services is preventing a faster fall in headline inflation. The pass-through effects of interest-rate…

Credit crunch will crimp US shale producers

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UNITED STATES

The report suggests that the resilience of US shale oil production to price collapse is beginning to fade. OPEC producers, particularly Saudi Arabia, have hoped to drive down…

Eastern Europe’s green transition will need more work

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EASTERN EUROPE

National efforts, EU-wide measures, warm weather and low Chinese demand helped them weather the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but partly at the expense of progress on…

UK support for Hinkley Point is likely to continue

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UNITED KINGDOM

The project to build a new nuclear power station at Hinkley Point.

Venezuela's oil sector faces rising challenges

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VENEZUELA

Venezuela's beleaguered oil sector.

Anti-graft moves will hurt banking sector in Vietnam

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VIETNAM

This was soon after further details emerged about previously reported financial scandals. The largest involves alleged embezzlement of more than VND300tn (well over USD12bn) from…

Kuwait faces imminent oil capacity constraints

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KUWAIT

Capacity has fallen by around 15% over the past four years and is below the country’s official OPEC baseline. COVID-19 and difficult executive-legislative relations in 2020-21…

The Gulf states will face new labour force challenges

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GULF STATES

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic hit the expatriate workforce in the Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) disproportionally harder than nationals in the same countries. This resulted…

India will be pragmatic over shadow banking crisis

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INDIA

It last month allowed banks to lend more to NBFCs that do not finance infrastructure, with the raised limit effective to year-end. This came after the government took control of…

EU’s Visegrad Four will not continue in current format

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EU

Poland may have resolved its rule-of-law dispute with the EU, whereas part of Hungary’s ‘cohesion’ funds are frozen. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has driven a wedge between Poland…