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Trump’s Iran choice will play into Middle East crises

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MIDDLE EAST

In a framework of heightened confrontation with Iran, national-level controversies across the region could be magnified

Geoeconomic fragmentation will reduce long-term growth

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INT

Several studies estimate the global cost of geoeconomic confrontation, which is newly in the top three WEF global risks

South Caucasus entangled in Russian-Turkish standoff

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ARMENIA / AZERBAIJAN

Armenia and Azerbaijan, locked in frozen conflict, now find themselves part of a fast-evolving wider confrontation

Beijing and Washington have room for compromises

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CHINA-UNITED STATES

Partial compromises in some areas could de-escalate the current China-US confrontation in the short term

Economics and nationalism shape China’s foreign policy

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CHINA

China is a rising power and potential superpower, the only country that plausibly could one day equal the United States

Saudi Arabia will seek Gulf leadership against Iran

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SAUDI ARABIA

The ambitious young deputy crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, is radically shifting the country’s foreign policy stance

The pandemic has worsened global cooperation prospects

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INT

Economic stagnation and employment or livelihood crises are most feared by executives surveyed worldwide

Italy’s election will focus on immigration and economy

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ITALY

Twitter analysis suggests that domestic issues are key concerns, whereas the EU is less salient

Economic risks overshadowed, not extinguished

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INT

Environmental risks dominate the World Economic Forum's global survey ahead of its January 23-26 Davos meeting

Next two years could see new direction for China

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CHINA

The next two years will see important changes in China’s internal policies and external environment