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Lebanon could soon reach a breaking point

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LEBANON

The resignation of the prime minister-designate cuts off the last open route to restructuring and financial assistance

Tshisekedi’s sacred union may mire Congolese politics

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CONGO-KINSHASA

President Felix Tshisekedi wants to extricate himself from a controversial alliance with former President Joseph Kabila

The Saudi-Israeli normalisation puzzle will get harder

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SAUDI ARABIA/ISRAEL

The Gaza war hikes the costs of Saudi talks with Israel, as Israeli anti-Palestinian sentiments prohibit compromises

Glum economy may impact Latin American elections

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LATIN AMERICA

Generally low growth expectations across the region this year and next will colour voter choice in forthcoming elections

An Iran-US JCPOA return requires complex choreography

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IRAN/UNITED STATES

To return to nuclear-deal compliance, Washington has to lift sanctions and Tehran has to roll back nuclear development

Russia’s real income fall has political implications

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RUSSIA

COVID-19 restrictions have fuelled unemployment and made Russians poorer all round

Clashing priorities point to compromise on North Korea

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NORTH KOREA

The planned US-North Korea summit spotlights a range of possible futures for the Korean peninsula