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Article
Publication date: 7 April 2015

Musibau Adetunji Babatunde

This study aims to examine the relationship between the oil price and the exchange rate for Nigeria between January 1997 and December 2012. Previous empirical studies revealed an…

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Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to examine the relationship between the oil price and the exchange rate for Nigeria between January 1997 and December 2012. Previous empirical studies revealed an ambiguous relationship between crude oil prices and exchange rates, a reason for exploring the differential effects of positive and negative oil price shocks on the exchange rate.

Design/methodology/approach

Time series and structural analysis were used.

Findings

The findings indicate different responses for the exchange rate with respect to positive and negative oil price shocks. Positive oil price shocks were found to depreciate the exchange rate, whereas negative oil price shocks appreciate the exchange rate. In addition, the asymmetric effects of positive and negative oil price shocks on the real exchange rate were not supported by the statistical evidences. The empirical results were robust to different specifications.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first paper to assess the differential impact of positive and negative oil price shocks and the role of oil prices in predicting the exchange rate over long horizons in Nigeria.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 9 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

Keywords

Content available
Article
Publication date: 29 August 2008

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Abstract

Details

Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, vol. 17 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0965-3562

Article
Publication date: 6 November 2018

Ismail Olaleke Fasanya, Temitope Festus Odudu and Oluwasegun Adekoya

This paper aims to model the relationship between oil price and six major agricultural commodity prices using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2016.

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to model the relationship between oil price and six major agricultural commodity prices using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2016.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors use both the linear autoregressive distributed lag by Pesaran et al. (2001) and the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag by Shin et al. (2014), and they also account for structural breaks using the Bai and Perron (2003) test that allows for multiple structural changes in regression models.

Findings

These findings are discernible from the authors’ analyses. First, the linear analysis indicates a significant positive effect of oil prices on the agricultural commodity prices, which supports evidence on the non-neutrality hypothesis. Second, oil price asymmetries seem to matter more when dealing with agricultural commodity prices, except for groundnut. Third, it may be necessary to pre-test for structural breaks when modelling the relationship between oil price and agricultural prices regardless of the commodity being analysed. Fourth, the asymmetric effect for the agricultural commodity prices is non-neutral to oil prices, except for rice in the case of structural breaks.

Originality/value

This paper contributes to the on-going debate on the oil–agricultural commodity nexus using the recent technique of asymmetry and also considering the role structural breaks play in the relationship between oil price and agricultural commodity prices.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 13 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 11 June 2018

Jimoh Olajide Raji, Rihanat Idowu Abdulkadir and Bazeet Olayemi Badru

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the dynamic relationship between Nigeria-US exchange rate (XR) and crude oil price (OILP) using daily data from 1 January 2001 to 31…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the dynamic relationship between Nigeria-US exchange rate (XR) and crude oil price (OILP) using daily data from 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2015.

Design/methodology/approach

The study uses alternative methods, including vector autoregressive-generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (VAR-GARCH) within the framework of Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner model, constant conditional correlation (CCC)-GARCH and dynamic conditional correlation (DCC)-GARCH models.

Findings

The results from the VAR-GARCH model indicate unidirectional cross-market mean spillovers from oil market (OILM) to foreign exchange market (FXM). In addition, the results show a positive effect of OILP on XR, suggesting that an increase in OILP appreciates Nigerian currency relative to US dollar and a fall in OILP depreciates it. The authors find that the effects of cross-volatility spillovers between the OILM and FXM are bidirectional. The CCC results indicate positive correlations of returns of 16 per cent between the FXM and OILM. Finally, the DCCs results indicate positive correlations between the two markets since the fourth quarter of 2008 (the world financial crisis period) until the recent period of world oil glut and slow demand for crude oil.

Research limitations/implications

Following the depreciation of the Nigerian currency vis-á-vis US dollar since the onset of the recent world oil glut and lower oil prices, Nigerian authorities should embark on subsidy reform, such as reduction in fuel subsidies. This may enable the release of fiscal resources that may be used to either rebuild fiscal space lost or finance investment in non-oil sectors in order to reduce overdependence on oil income. Lower fiscal revenues, coupled with the risk that crude oil maintains its low price for some time, imply that government should reduce its expenditure, and continue to draw on available accumulated funds from the excess crude account for some time until the real depreciation required for adjustment is achieved.

Originality/value

Studies on volatility spillovers between OILM and FXM are limited in the literature, particularly in Nigerian case. Moreover, the study employs different approaches for broader analysis. These alternative methods, a clear departure from the previous studies, provide comprehensive dynamic nature of the relationship between the FXM and OILM.

Details

African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, vol. 9 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2040-0705

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 March 2000

DANIEL RAPPAPORT

Fundamentally, a commodity exchange, such as the New York Mercantile Exchange, serves a dual purpose. The first is hedging price risk, in which the exchange offers a fair and…

Abstract

Fundamentally, a commodity exchange, such as the New York Mercantile Exchange, serves a dual purpose. The first is hedging price risk, in which the exchange offers a fair and orderly market for shifting risk via the trading of future obligations. The second major function is price discovery, in which the exchange provides a centralized, open, and liquid forum for buyers and sellers to conduct business, by which the prices of all transactions conducted on the exchange are publicly disseminated. This article surveys the role of exchange traded futures and options contracts within the worldwide energy markets and the concepts, applications, and strategies that have evolved to a level of sophistication and versatility that could not have been foreseen 150 years ago.

Details

The Journal of Risk Finance, vol. 1 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1526-5943

Article
Publication date: 10 May 2013

Musibau Adetunji Babatunde, Olayinka Adenikinju and Adeola F. Adenikinju

The purpose of this study is to investigate the interactive relationships between oil price shocks and the Nigeria stock market.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to investigate the interactive relationships between oil price shocks and the Nigeria stock market.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper applied the multivariate vector auto‐regression that employed the generalized impulse response function and the forecast variance decomposition error.

Findings

Empirical evidence reveals that stock market returns exhibit insignificant positive response to oil price shocks but reverts to negative effects after a period of time depending on the nature of the oil price shocks. The results are similar even with the inclusion of other variables. Also, the asymmetric effect of oil price shocks on the Nigerian stock returns indices is not supported by statistical evidences.

Originality/value

This is the first study to examine the dynamic linkages between stock market behaviour and oil price shocks in Nigeria.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 40 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 31 July 2020

Opeoluwa Adeniyi Adeosun, Olaolu Richard Olayeni and Olumide Steven Ayodele

This paper aims to examine the transmission from oil price to local food price returns in Nigeria from January 1995 to May 2019.

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to examine the transmission from oil price to local food price returns in Nigeria from January 1995 to May 2019.

Design/methodology/approach

To circumvent erratic behaviours and account for possibilities of noises at the edge of the wavelet signals, the paper combines wavelet and Markov-switching techniques to determine the significance and magnitude of oil–food price dynamics across different time scales.

Findings

It is shown that oil to food price pass-through changed across frequencies. Notably, results reveal a swift pass-through which signals the dominance of the direct effect of oil price shocks on food prices with evidence of weak spillover in the short term. The medium- and long-term horizons witness the dominance of the indirect effect of oil price shocks with much sluggish transmission to food prices; the highest significant pass-through of about 4% are also observed when the oil price is denominated in the naira–USD exchange rate.

Originality/value

The study improves understanding of the relationship between oil price shocks and domestic food price returns. It shapes policy prescription on appropriate inflation targeting strategies of monetary authorities.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 15 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 14 August 2021

Patrick Onodje, Temitope Ahmdalat Oke, Oluwatimilehin Aina and Nazeer Ahmed

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of crude oil prices on the Nigerian exchange rate with emphasis on discriminating between the effects of positive and negative…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of crude oil prices on the Nigerian exchange rate with emphasis on discriminating between the effects of positive and negative changes in oil price on exchange rate.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors used monthly time series data from 1996:1 to 2019:6 and adopted two oil price measures, namely, Brent crude and West Texas Intermediary prices. For analysis, the authors used stepwise least squares to estimate a non-linear ARDL (NARDL) model and Wald tests to determine cointegration and the presence of asymmetric effects.

Findings

The findings showed that positive and negative Brent crude price changes significantly affect exchange rates differently in nominal terms, both in the long-run and short-run. However, the differences were purely in terms of effect size because the exchange rate decreased for both negative and positive oil price changes.

Originality/value

Whilst empirical research on asymmetries in the effect of oil price on exchange rate abounds, little evidence exists in Nigeria’s case. Although some studies previously tested for asymmetric oil price effects on the Nigerian currency, the approach used did not estimate long and short-run effects or test of long-run and short-run asymmetries. This paper fills this methodological gap using monthly using the NARDL approach. The NARDL approach provided the advantage of estimating effects for the long-run and short-run and testing for asymmetries in both time spans.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 16 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 2 October 2017

Heather Skinner

The purpose of this paper is to explore aural representation of the countryside and English rurality through the contemporary cultural product of folk song.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to explore aural representation of the countryside and English rurality through the contemporary cultural product of folk song.

Design/methodology/approach

A textual analysis was undertaken of the sleeve notes and lyrics of Steve Knightley, songwriter and founder member of the folk/roots band Show of Hands.

Findings

The concept of the rural idyll is thoroughly debunked in the majority of these lyrics. Many songs make specific reference to place, and these, in the main, focus on the historical and contemporary hardships of living in rural England, in many cases also making explicit reference to the historical or contemporary social issues deemed by the lyricist to be at the root of the problems faced by people living in English rural communities.

Research limitations/implications

This paper analyses data obtained in lyrics of only one songwriter within only one music genre, but the artist is one of the most respected within the contemporary folk genre, and Show of Hands have won a number of prestigious nationally recognised folk awards.

Originality/value

The extant literature contains little concerning aural representations of place identities through song. The contribution this paper makes is therefore in presenting a conceptual framework that shows how folk song, as a contemporary cultural product contributes to the construction and communication of rural place identities.

Details

Arts and the Market, vol. 7 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2056-4945

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 July 2014

Ade Thompson Ojo and Olusegun Felix Ayadi

The purpose of this paper is to investigate if the prevalence of corruption and other unwholesome financial practices in Nigeria contributed substantially to the stunted growth of…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate if the prevalence of corruption and other unwholesome financial practices in Nigeria contributed substantially to the stunted growth of the capital market in general, and the stock market in particular.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper employed Gregory–Hansen cointegration approach to test the long-run equilibrium relationship between the occurrence of predatory banking practices and stock market capitalization in Nigeria.

Findings

There exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between bank fraud and stock market capitalization but with a structural break in 2005.

Practical implications

There is an urgent need to overhaul and re-assess from time to time the existing systems of internal checks and controls in banks, as well as other financial institutions in Nigeria.

Originality/value

This paper is the first to empirically test the long-run equilibrium relationship between bank fraud and stock market capitalization in Nigeria.

Details

Journal of Financial Crime, vol. 21 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1359-0790

Keywords

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