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Article
Publication date: 1 December 2022

Muhammad Wajid Raza, Bahrawar Said and Ahmed Elshahat

This study aims to provide a comparative insight into the level of informational efficiency and irregularities of Shariah-compliant stocks and conventional stocks in three…

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Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to provide a comparative insight into the level of informational efficiency and irregularities of Shariah-compliant stocks and conventional stocks in three emerging markets, namely, China, Malaysia and Pakistan. The empirical evidence is provided for pre-crisis and crisis periods caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Design/methodology/approach

Informational efficiency is measured using the variance ratio (VR) Test developed by Kim (2006). The Approximate Entropy (ApEn) Metrics is used to investigate the level of irregularities in stock prices caused by the pandemic.

Findings

All the three emerging markets in the sample are not immune to the crisis caused by Covid-19 pandemic. The level of informational efficiency of both the Shariah-compliant and conventional stock is affected by the crisis. However, the former exhibits relatively high level of informational efficiency and stability in returns as compared to more volatility of conventional stocks.

Practical implications

This study provides market agents and policy makers with a robust assessment of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on informational efficiency of Shariah-compliant and conventional stocks. Relatively high informational efficiency of Shariah-compliant stocks indicates that they are more transparent and that investors can trust the Shariah-compliant stocks more. This higher level of transparency and trust leads to more steady returns and lower levels of risk even during turbulent time like Covid-19. Investors can gain superior returns by conducting fundamental analysis and investing in index funds.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study that highlights the difference in informational efficiency of conventional stocks and Shariah-compliant stocks in the crisis period caused by Covid-19. Unlike previous studies, this study uses firm level data which enables firm-wise assessment of informational efficiency.

Details

International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, vol. 16 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8394

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 11 July 2023

Abhinandan Chatterjee, Pradip Bala, Shruti Gedam, Sanchita Paul and Nishant Goyal

Depression is a mental health problem characterized by a persistent sense of sadness and loss of interest. EEG signals are regarded as the most appropriate instruments for…

Abstract

Purpose

Depression is a mental health problem characterized by a persistent sense of sadness and loss of interest. EEG signals are regarded as the most appropriate instruments for diagnosing depression because they reflect the operating status of the human brain. The purpose of this study is the early detection of depression among people using EEG signals.

Design/methodology/approach

(i) Artifacts are removed by filtering and linear and non-linear features are extracted; (ii) feature scaling is done using a standard scalar while principal component analysis (PCA) is used for feature reduction; (iii) the linear, non-linear and combination of both (only for those whose accuracy is highest) are taken for further analysis where some ML and DL classifiers are applied for the classification of depression; and (iv) in this study, total 15 distinct ML and DL methods, including KNN, SVM, bagging SVM, RF, GB, Extreme Gradient Boosting, MNB, Adaboost, Bagging RF, BootAgg, Gaussian NB, RNN, 1DCNN, RBFNN and LSTM, that have been effectively utilized as classifiers to handle a variety of real-world issues.

Findings

1. Among all, alpha, alpha asymmetry, gamma and gamma asymmetry give the best results in linear features, while RWE, DFA, CD and AE give the best results in non-linear feature. 2. In the linear features, gamma and alpha asymmetry have given 99.98% accuracy for Bagging RF, while gamma asymmetry has given 99.98% accuracy for BootAgg. 3. For non-linear features, it has been shown 99.84% of accuracy for RWE and DFA in RF, 99.97% accuracy for DFA in XGBoost and 99.94% accuracy for RWE in BootAgg. 4. By using DL, in linear features, gamma asymmetry has given more than 96% accuracy in RNN and 91% accuracy in LSTM and for non-linear features, 89% accuracy has been achieved for CD and AE in LSTM. 5. By combining linear and non-linear features, the highest accuracy was achieved in Bagging RF (98.50%) gamma asymmetry + RWE. In DL, Alpha + RWE, Gamma asymmetry + CD and gamma asymmetry + RWE have achieved 98% accuracy in LSTM.

Originality/value

A novel dataset was collected from the Central Institute of Psychiatry (CIP), Ranchi which was recorded using a 128-channels whereas major previous studies used fewer channels; the details of the study participants are summarized and a model is developed for statistical analysis using N-way ANOVA; artifacts are removed by high and low pass filtering of epoch data followed by re-referencing and independent component analysis for noise removal; linear features, namely, band power and interhemispheric asymmetry and non-linear features, namely, relative wavelet energy, wavelet entropy, Approximate entropy, sample entropy, detrended fluctuation analysis and correlation dimension are extracted; this model utilizes Epoch (213,072) for 5 s EEG data, which allows the model to train for longer, thereby increasing the efficiency of classifiers. Features scaling is done using a standard scalar rather than normalization because it helps increase the accuracy of the models (especially for deep learning algorithms) while PCA is used for feature reduction; the linear, non-linear and combination of both features are taken for extensive analysis in conjunction with ML and DL classifiers for the classification of depression. The combination of linear and non-linear features (only for those whose accuracy is highest) is used for the best detection results.

Details

Aslib Journal of Information Management, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2050-3806

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 18 January 2016

Paweł Fiedor and Artur Hołda

– This paper aims to present a framework enriching currency risk analyses based on information theory.

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Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to present a framework enriching currency risk analyses based on information theory.

Design/methodology/approach

Information-theoretic measures of predictability (entropy rate) and co-dependence (mutual information) are used to enhance existing methods of analysing and measuring currency risk.

Findings

The currency exchange rates have varying degrees of predictability, which should be accounted for in currency risk analyses. In case of baskets of currencies, a network approach rooted in portfolio theory may be useful.

Research limitations/implications

The currency exchange rate time series must be discretised for the information-theoretic analysis (although the results are robust). An agent-based simulation may be a necessary further study to show what the impact of accounting for predictability in managing currency risk is.

Practical implications

Practical analyses measuring currency risk should take predictability of currency rate changes into account wherever the currency exposure is actively managed.

Originality/value

The paper introduces predictability into measuring currency risk, which has previously been ignored, despite the nature of the risk being inherently tied to uncertainty of the currency rate changes. The paper also introduces a portfolio theory-based approach to quantifying currency risk, which accounts for non-linear co-dependence in the currency markets.

Details

The Journal of Risk Finance, vol. 17 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1526-5943

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 23 April 2020

Anan Zhang, Jiahui He, Yu Lin, Qian Li, Wei Yang and Guanglong Qu

Considering the problem that the high recognition rate of deep learning requires the support of mass data, this study aims to propose an insulating fault identification method…

Abstract

Purpose

Considering the problem that the high recognition rate of deep learning requires the support of mass data, this study aims to propose an insulating fault identification method based on small data set convolutional neural network (CNN).

Design/methodology/approach

Because of the chaotic characteristics of partial discharge (PD) signals, the equivalent transformation of the PD signal of unit power frequency period is carried out by phase space reconstruction to derive the chaotic features. At the same time, geometric, fractal, entropy and time domain features are extracted to increase the volume of feature data. Finally, the combined features are constructed and imported into CNN to complete PD recognition.

Findings

The results of the case study show that the proposed method can realize the PD recognition of small data set and make up for the shortcomings of the methods based on CNN. Also, the 1-CNN built in this paper has better recognition performance for four typical insulation faults of cable accessories. The recognition performance is improved by 4.37% and 1.25%, respectively, compared with similar methods based on support vector machine and BPNN.

Originality/value

In this paper, a method of insulation fault recognition based on CNN with small data set is proposed, which can solve the difficulty to realize insulation fault recognition of cable accessories and deep data mining because of insufficient measure data.

Details

COMPEL - The international journal for computation and mathematics in electrical and electronic engineering , vol. 39 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0332-1649

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 5 March 2018

Xu Kang and Dechang Pi

The purpose of this paper is to detect the occurrence of anomaly and fault in a spacecraft, investigate various tendencies of telemetry parameters and evaluate the operation state…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to detect the occurrence of anomaly and fault in a spacecraft, investigate various tendencies of telemetry parameters and evaluate the operation state of the spacecraft to monitor the health of the spacecraft.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper proposes a data-driven method (empirical mode decomposition-sample entropy-principal component analysis [EMD-SE-PCA]) for monitoring the health of the spacecraft, where EMD is used to decompose telemetry data and obtain the trend items, SE is utilised to calculate the sample entropies of trend items and extract the characteristic data and squared prediction error and statistic contribution rate are analysed using PCA to monitor the health of the spacecraft.

Findings

Experimental results indicate that the EMD-SE-PCA method could detect characteristic parameters that appear abnormally before the anomaly or fault occurring, could provide an abnormal early warning time before anomaly or fault appearing and summarise the contribution of each parameter more accurately than other fault detection methods.

Practical implications

The proposed EMD-SE-PCA method has high level of accuracy and efficiency. It can be used in monitoring the health of a spacecraft, detecting the anomaly and fault, avoiding them timely and efficiently. Also, the EMD-SE-PCA method could be further applied for monitoring the health of other equipment (e.g. attitude control and orbit control system) in spacecraft and satellites.

Originality/value

The paper provides a data-driven method EMD-SE-PCA to be applied in the field of practical health monitoring, which could discover the occurrence of anomaly or fault timely and efficiently and is very useful for spacecraft health diagnosis.

Details

Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology, vol. 90 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1748-8842

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 October 2020

Rania Zghal and Ahmed Ghorbel

In this paper, our aim is to estimate the time varying correlations between Bitcoin, VIX futures and CDS indexes and to examine in what ways these assets can act as beneficial…

Abstract

Purpose

In this paper, our aim is to estimate the time varying correlations between Bitcoin, VIX futures and CDS indexes and to examine in what ways these assets can act as beneficial hedge and safe haven mechanisms, useful for facing, or attenuating, the major world equity markets related risks and volatilities.

Design/methodology/approach

Our methodology consists to model each pair equity/asset indices by bivariate symmetric and asymmetric dynamic conditional models (A) DCC to evaluate the portfolio design associated implications on both daily and weekly collected data base, with regard to the period ranging from July, 2010 to January 2018. To assess the extent to which the Bitcoin, VIX futures and sovereign CDS may stand as diversifiers, i.e. as hedging or safe haven instruments against the various stock indexes, we adopt the same method applied by Baur and Lucey (2010).

Findings

Empirical results show that the hedging and safe haven roles associated with the three hedging instruments tend to differ noticeably across time horizons and model used. The interest brought about by treating this issue is twofold. On the one hand, it should provide useful guidelines to investors through helping them opt for the most effective and beneficial strategies, whereby they could efficiently hedge the equity markets related extreme risks and volatilities. On the other hand, it is intended to highlight the applied models' specifications associated impacts.

Research limitations/implications

The interest brought about by treating this issue is twofold. On the one hand, it should provide useful guidelines to investors and financial advisors through helping them opt for the most effective and beneficial of the strategies, whereby they could efficiently hedge the equity markets related extreme risks and volatilities. On the other hand, it is intended to highlight the applied models' specifications associated impacts.

Originality/value

Study of Bitcoin can be considered as safe haven or hedge or diversifier instrument. Compare between Bitcoin, VIX and CDs.

Details

International Journal of Emerging Markets, vol. 17 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1746-8809

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 October 2004

Bonawentura Kochel

A method for approximation of the Shannon entropy of Gaussian photon‐counting processes with infinite history was constructed on the memory function of these processes, described…

Abstract

A method for approximation of the Shannon entropy of Gaussian photon‐counting processes with infinite history was constructed on the memory function of these processes, described by autoregressive‐integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. Most frequently, photon‐counting processes are stationary or nonstationary multidimensional Gaussian discrete‐time stochastic ones which justify the use of the ARIMA models. Starting from the memory function, a memory time‐equivalent finite autoregressive representation of a given process with infinite history, i.e. a stationary finite‐order Gaussian Markov chain, was determined, then corresponding autocorrelation matrices were calculated from the truncated memory function using the Yule‐Walker equations, and an autocorrelation‐based formula for approximation of the entropy of the process through the entropy of its stationary Markovian representation was given. An ARMA(1,1) process together with its stationary (MA(1)) or nonstationary (IMA(0,1,1)) boundary cases were considered to demonstrate opposite changes in the entropy as the memory time increases at a fixed variance of the process: the entropy was found to decrease for stationary processes and increase for nonstationary ones. It was also found on experimental examples (perturbed human neutrophils and yeast cells) that those changes can be reversed by opposite changes in the process variance. The method allows us to determine, at any desired accuracy, the Shannon entropy of time‐discrete stochastic processes, and reveals new aspects of the relationship between the process' stationarity, memory, entropy and heteroskedasticity.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 33 no. 9/10
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 6 December 2019

Emna Mnif, Bassem Salhi and Anis Jarboui

The purpose of this paper is to present the Islamic stock and Sukuk market efficiency and focus on the presence of investor herding behaviour (HB) captured by Hurst exponent…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to present the Islamic stock and Sukuk market efficiency and focus on the presence of investor herding behaviour (HB) captured by Hurst exponent estimation.

Design/methodology/approach

The Hurst exponent was estimated with various methods. The authors studied the evolving efficiency of the “Dow Jones” indices from 1 January 2010 to 30 December 2016 using a rolling sample of the Hurst exponent. In addition, they used a time-varying parameter method based on the Hurst of delayed returns. After that, the robust Hurst method was considered. In the next step, the efficiency of the different activity types of Islamic bonds was studied using an efficiency index. Finally, the Hurst exponent estimates were applied to assess the presence of HB.

Findings

The results show that, firstly, there’s a strong correlation between the “DJIM” and “DJSI” prices and returns. Secondly, by using robust Hurst estimate, it is observed that the “DJIM” is the most efficient market. The Hurst exponent estimation results show that HB is more intensive in the Islamic stock market. These results indicate also the inexistence of this behaviour in the studied Sukuk market.

Research limitations/implications

Sukuk as Islamic financial assets is recent. Their relative time series are not long enough to apply the long memory approach. Furthermore, this work can be extended to study other Islamic financial markets.

Practical implications

Herding affects risk-return characteristics of assets and has an impact on asset pricing models. Practitioners are interested in understanding herding and its timing as it might create profitable trading opportunities.

Social implications

This work analyses the impact of Islamic principles on the financial markets and their ability to understand some behavioural biases.

Originality/value

This study contributes to the literature by identifying the efficiency and the presence of HB with Hurst exponent estimation in Islamic markets.

Details

International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, vol. 13 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8394

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 9 February 2021

U. Rajashekhar, D. Neelappa and L. Rajesh

This work proposes classification of two-class motor imagery electroencephalogram signals using different automated machine learning algorithms. Here data are decomposed into…

Abstract

Purpose

This work proposes classification of two-class motor imagery electroencephalogram signals using different automated machine learning algorithms. Here data are decomposed into various frequency bands identified by wavelet transform and will span the range of 0–30 Hz.

Design/methodology/approach

Statistical measures will be applied to these frequency bands to identify features that will subsequently be used to train the classifiers. Further, the assessment parameters such as SNR, mean, SD and entropy are calculated to analyze the performance of the proposed work.

Findings

The experimental results show that the proposed work yields better accuracy for all classifiers when compare to state-of-the-art techniques.

Originality/value

The experimental results show that the proposed work yields better accuracy for all classifiers when compare to state-of-the-art techniques.

Details

International Journal of Intelligent Unmanned Systems, vol. 10 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2049-6427

Keywords

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 31 August 2015

Tae-Hun Kang and Myung-Chul Lee

This paper examines the martingale restriction for the KOSPI 200 index options market. And in cases of the rejections, we investigate the relative market efficiency between stock…

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Abstract

This paper examines the martingale restriction for the KOSPI 200 index options market. And in cases of the rejections, we investigate the relative market efficiency between stock index and stock index options market, using approximate entropy (ApEn) method proposed by Pincus (1994), which quantifies a complexity, irregularity and unpredictability in time series. The empirical results of this study clearly reject the martingale restriction and regression analyses indicate that the historical returns of underlying index can explain about 25% of the price differences between option-implied and market index prices but the total trading volume can explain only a small portion of the price differences. These results have cast doubt on the informational efficiency of this market. Comparing the relative market efficiency based on ApEn have showed that the complexity or irregularity of KOSPI 200 index is larger than the index options during the entire sample period. But, Examining separately ApEn of the magnitude and the sign time series which compose log-returns document that stock index options market reflect more efficiently the information about the direction of price changes than the stock index market in 2014 and the efficiency of the index options market about the directional information may be affected by directional traders who prefer certain strategies designed by exploiting past stock market movements.

Details

Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 23 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

Keywords

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