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Finance institutions’ climate stress testing will grow

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Although there is agreement on baseline scenarios, modelling presents a huge challenge due to the unprecedentedly lengthy timescales, and there is a risk of significant divergence…

US corporate debt distress will rise

Location:

UNITED STATES

US corporate debt default and bankruptcy stress is at its most intense for more than a decade in the face of higher interest rates, elevated inflation and a slowing economy. There…

The US Treasury market is vulnerable to stress

Location:

INT

The US Treasuries securities market is the world's largest and most liquid financial market, and is relied on by market participants as a basis to price other risks. However, on…

Prospects for the US economy to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for the US economy to end 2019.

Tighter global money risks exposing banks’ fault lines

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INTERNATIONAL

Addressing the concerns this raises for banks' profitability, the Financial Services Agency announced that it would stress test Japan's 105 regional banks in mid-2019. Central…

Conflict and COVID worsen Sahel food insecurity

Location:

SAHEL

Much of Mauritania and Chad are food stressed as well. European Union estimates, counting the five Sahelian countries as well as Nigeria and Cameroon, put the number of people…

Economic stress drains CIS sovereign wealth funds

Location:

CIS

Concern about the need to preserve one of the SWFs to support the pension system is probably a major reason behind the rejection. The Ministry of Economic Development had already…

El Nino farming stress will have wide economic impacts

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INTERNATIONAL

This irregular weather phenomenon appears ahead of the southern hemisphere spring growing season, disrupting harvests by creating untypically severe aridity or wetness. No two El…

Gulf states will reinforce investment strategies

Location:

GULF STATES

US banking stress reinforces risks for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), although they are not significantly exposed to global banks directly. GCC SWFs…

US banking sector is changing faster than regulation

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Fed's quarterly survey of senior lending officers, released the same day, found that banks expect to tighten lending standards. This follows deposit flight during the banking…