Foresight: Volume 8 Issue 3

The role of future ICT in city development

Ian Pearson

The purpose of this article is to explore the role of information and communications technologies (ICT) in creating cities that are attractive, healthy and prosperous places to…

Towards a clarification of probability, possibility and plausibility: how semantics could help futures practice to improve

Ruud van der Helm

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the clarification of three qualifiers “probable”, “possible” and “plausible”, which are often used interchangeably in foresight and futures…

Identifying systems' new initial conditions as influence points for the future

Mika Aaltonen, T. Irene Sanders

The purpose of this research paper is to review and contrast traditional foresight methods through the lens of one of the key insights about complex adaptive systems – namely, a…

Constructing and using scenarios to forecast demand for future mobile communications services

Simon Forge, Colin Blackman, Erik Bohlin

Aims to present a pragmatic method for long‐term forecasting and to illustrate its usage with the results of a recent case study to forecast future demand for mobile…

Futures studies in the European Union's new member states

Aurélien Colson, Mounir Corm

In May 2004, ten new member states joined the European Union (EU). Although these countries have experienced very different historical and political systems, they face a shared…

Modernization, Culture Change and Democracy: The Human Development Sequence

Andy Hines

Future: Tense – The Coming World Order

Scott Reif

The Centre for Future Studies