Foresight: Volume 16 Issue 1

Concepts and effects: ordering and practice in foresight

Marcus Bussey

This article seeks to reflect on the role of key concepts in foresight and futures work. The goal is to explore a set of concepts and link them to the effects they have in…

Advanced sciences convergence based methods for surveillance of emerging trends in science, technology, and intelligence

Ashok Vaseashta

Strategic decision-making is a complex process and encompasses an exhaustive knowledge base, collective guidance, contemporary foresight, analytical capabilities…

Bibliometric data and actual development in technology life cycles: flaws in assumptions

Arho Suominen, Marko Seppänen

Motivated with the ever growing number of bibliometric trend extrapolation studies, the purpose of this paper is to demonstrate through two technologies how the selection…

Plausibility and probability in scenario planning

Rafael Ramírez, Cynthia Selin

The purpose of this paper is to explore extant distinctions between plausibility and probability in scenario planning and re-frame the either/or stance in the literature…

Foresight evaluation: lessons from project management

Ekaterina A. Makarova, Anna Sokolova

The aim of this paper is to identify ways for improvement of the foresight evaluation framework on the basis of analysis and systematisation of accumulated experience in…

Innovation Policy Challenges for the 21st Century

Jennifer Cassingena Harper