Foresight

Computer‐assisted roadmapping: a case study in energy research

Yuya Kajikawa, Yoshiyuki Takeda, Katsumori Matsushima

The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology of computer‐assisted roadmapping to supplement an expert‐based approach, which is time‐consuming and subjective.

Enhancing business and technology foresight with electronically mediated scenario process

Kalle Piirainen, Antti Lindqvist

The study discusses existing scenario methods in business and technology foresight and introduces electronically mediated scenario process in two varieties. The purpose of…

Scenario planning for climate strategies development by integrating group Delphi, AHP and dynamic fuzzy cognitive maps

Roberto Biloslavo, Slavko Dolinšek

The purpose of the paper is to present the common use of the Delphi method, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and dynamic fuzzy cognitive maps for the development of…

Military technology development: a future‐based approach using scenarios

Alfred E. Thal, William D. Heuck

The threat environment countries face is a dynamic one, with many emerging technologies. This paper presents unique challenges as countries evaluate which technologies to…

Empirical research on the technology opportunities analysis based on morphology analysis and conjoint analysis

Li Xin, Wang Jiwu, Huang Lucheng, Li Jiang, Li Jian

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new hybrid approach based on bibliometrics analysis (BA), morphology analysis (MA) and conjoint analysis (CA) to help identify…

Research on emerging technology selection and assessment by technology foresight and fuzzy consistent matrix

Huang Lucheng, Li Xin, Lu Wenguang

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new hybrid approach based on technology foresight and a fuzzy consistent matrix to select and assess emerging technologies.

Planification et gestion de crise (Planning and Crisis Management)

Jacques G. Richardson

Special issue: emerging methods and application areas in technology foresight

Tugrul U. Daim, Dundar F. Kocaoglu, Timothy R. Anderson

Special issue on is Africa the land of the future?