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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles: Volume 276

Publication Date:

Book Series:

CEA

Editors:

  • C. Milas
  • P.A. Rothman
  • Dick van Dijk
  • David E. Wildasin

Chapters:

  • Dedication
  • INTRODUCTION TO THE SERIES
  • Introduction
  • List of Contributors
  • Dating Business Cycle Turning Points
  • Combining Predictors and Combining Information in Modelling: Forecasting US Recession Probabilities and Output Growth
  • The Importance of Nonlinearity in Reproducing Business Cycle Features
  • The Vector Floor and Ceiling Model
  • A New Framework to Analyze Business Cycle Synchronization
  • Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area
  • Nonlinear Modelling of Autoregressive Structural Breaks in Some US Macroeconomic Series
  • Trend-Cycle Decomposition Models with Smooth-Transition Parameters: Evidence from U.S. Economic Time Series
  • Modeling Inflation and Money Demand Using a Fourier-Series Approximation
  • Random Walk Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models
  • Nonlinearity and Structural Change in Interest Rate Reaction Functions for the US, UK and Germany
  • State Asymmetries in the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Output: Some New Evidence for the Euro-Area
  • Non-linear Dynamics in Output, Real Exchange Rates and Real Money Balances: Norway, 1830-2003
  • A Predictive Comparison of Some Simple Long- and Short Memory Models of Daily U.S. Stock Returns, with Emphasis on Business Cycle Effects
  • Nonlinear Modeling of the Changing Lag Structure in U.S. Housing Construction
  • Subject Index
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