Macroeconomic and Non-Macroeconomic Variables Linking to Singapore Hotel Stock Returns

Abstract

This study aimed to examine the effects of macroeconomic and non-macroeconomic variables on Singapore hotel stock returns using hotel companies listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX). Data were obtained from the Singapore Department of Statistics, PULSES, and CEIC database. Regression procedures and residual tests were carried out using an econometric program, E-Views. The derived model which consisted of the significant macroeconomic variables and the unexpected non-macroeconomic variables was established. Results of stability and predictive power tests of the derived model inferred that the model was stable and reliable in explaining hotel stock returns and was also reliable for forecasting. Regression analyses indicated that changes in industrial production and money supply displayed positive relationships whilst exchange rates, inflation, short- and long-term interest rates showed negative relationships with Singapore hotel stock returns.

Citation

Chiang Leong, C. and Hui, T.-K. (2014), "Macroeconomic and Non-Macroeconomic Variables Linking to Singapore Hotel Stock Returns", Advances in Hospitality and Leisure (Advances in Hospitality and Leisure, Vol. 10), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 21-36. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1745-354220140000010000