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French-Algerian detente is unlikely soon

Friday, January 31, 2025

Significance

France's support for freedom of expression is regarded in Algeria as colonial meddling. Tensions have been elevated since Macron's decision in mid-2024 to change a longstanding French policy and support Morocco's claim on Western Sahara, in the face of Algerian support for the territory's independence.

Impacts

  • Morocco will be the main beneficiary of the widening rift, as it seeks to cement French diplomatic support and economic investments.
  • Racism and hostility towards Algerians and other North Africans in France could fuel a growing trend of reverse migration.
  • Algeria will leverage its energy wealth to negotiate a revision in trade terms with the EU.

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