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Biya's frail health may pose Cameroon stability risk

Monday, October 28, 2024

Significance

His absence was accompanied by widespread rumours over the 91-year-old’s health, including false reports of his death. While his return quelled most rumours, he looked frailer than ever, feeding more public speculation as to his longevity and uncertainty over Cameroon’s political future.

Impacts

  • A divided opposition may struggle to position itself for electoral victory in any post-Biya poll.
  • Upcoming elections, particularly the 2025 presidential poll, may face delays.
  • A political transition or successor may mean more openness to a negotiated solution to the Anglophone conflict.

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