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Migration trends will alter Turkish election outcome

Thursday, April 27, 2023

Significance

The latest data published by TurkStat confirms Turkey as a destination for immigration rather than a source of emigration. Migration, boosted by the high number of Syrian refugees in the country, has become an election issue. All the main parties have adopted anti-immigration and refugee positions.

Impacts

  • An increase in economic and transit migrants from Turkey to Europe could threaten already weak relations with the EU.
  • Youth emigration will exacerbate the impact on Turkey’s elderly dependency ratio, undermining the long-term economic outlook.
  • Despite economic weakness and anti-immigrant sentiment, Turkey will continue to attract high levels of immigrants.

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