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Russia will resist US pressure in Libya

Thursday, April 13, 2023

Significance

Discussions with the east-based Libyan National Army (LNA) commander, Khalifa Haftar, specifically focused on foreign fighters and the US decision to designate the Russian paramilitary Wagner Group as a transnational criminal organisation.

Impacts

  • The United States will support the UN’s efforts to unify Libya’s security forces.
  • US engagement in Libya may reduce the likelihood that Haftar and other east-based armed groups will disrupt oil flows for political ends.
  • The United States will accelerate actions to establish a diplomatic presence in Libya.
  • External powers such as Egypt and Turkey may adapt their support to rival Libyan factions to accommodate US-Russian competition.

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