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Israeli-Palestinian clashes risk West Bank chaos

Wednesday, April 12, 2023

Significance

An April 5 Israeli security raid on the mosque led to rocket fire from Gaza, and less predictably, a barrage from southern Lebanon, stoking fears of a regional conflagration. It also intensified violence in the West Bank.

Impacts

  • The PA will become ever less relevant and ultimately struggle for survival, risking a return to some form of direct Israeli occupation.
  • The increasing unreality of a two-state outcome will present a dilemma for US policy.
  • China’s growing regional role and links with Israel may put it under pressure to clarify its position on the Palestinian conflict.

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