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Turkey’s election will influence relations with the EU

Content type:: Expert Briefings
Location:: TURKEY
Keywords associated with this article:: Geographic: Turkey EU EUR ME/NAF Austria Bulgaria Eastern Europe Finland Germany Greece NATO Netherlands Russia Spain Sweden Syria Ukraine

Topical: economy international relations politics election government natural disasters opposition renewable energy
ISSN:: 2633-304X
Citation:: Oxford Analytica (2023), "Turkey’s election will influence relations with the EU", Expert Briefings.
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB275999

Tuesday, February 14, 2023

Significance

EU assistance to Turkey has eased some tensions and has the potential to improve an antagonistic relationship between Brussels and Ankara. However, Turkey's high-stakes presidential and parliamentary elections will put this to the test.

Impacts

Erdogan will try to win votes among the Turkish diaspora in Europe, causing friction with EU countries as in 2018.
An opposition victory could deepen EU-Turkey cooperation on migration, visa liberalisation, the Customs Union and green transition.
Ties with the EU will suffer further should Erdogan win and consolidate authoritarian rule.
Regardless of the election outcome, Turkey-Russia relations will remain strong.

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Significance

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