Egypt will reap benefits from Israel-Gaza mediation

Significance

Clashes in June and early July, including more Israeli airstrikes on Gaza and incendiary balloons floated into southern Israel from Gaza, were a reminder of weaknesses in the ceasefire, the risks of future violence and Egypt’s continued role in managing the situation.

Impacts

• The Biden administration will tone down earlier gestures toward holding the Egyptian regime to account on human rights abuses.
• Egypt will expand its footprint in Gaza, both diplomatically and physically through reconstruction efforts.
• Egypt may also look to take a more active role in resolving the situation in Libya.