Burundi's security outlook will remain fragile

Significance

The government denounced the attacks as acts of terrorism and claimed to have killed one assailant and arrested five others. However, no information has been released on the alleged perpetrators and no group has claimed responsibility.

Impacts

• Although growth is recovering slightly, the government is unlikely to meet its (already modest) 2021/22 budgetary targets.
• To boost the economy, the president desperately needs the kind of stimulus that infrastructure investments can provide.
• Though official case numbers are low, a slow vaccine rollout means Burundi will remain at high risk of further COVID-19-related disruptions.