New York City's mayoral election may favour centrists

Significance

In such a Democratic city, the party’s primary winner is expected to triumph easily over limited Republican opposition. However, several new factors in this year’s primary are complicating efforts to estimate likely turnout or identify front-runners among the eight main candidates.

Impacts

• Significant changes to the zoning regulations governing land use across the city are possible under the next mayor.
• The left of the Democratic Party looks likely to win more seats during the concurrent City Council elections.
• Whoever wins, police reform will be a challenge for the incoming mayor and clashes with the police union are likely.