Eritrea will push to reduce its isolation

Subject

Eritrea political update.

Significance

Eritrean opportunities to break out of self-imposed isolation and Ethiopian-led containment have been bolstered by regional dynamics such as migration and Yemen’s conflict.

Impacts

• A more pragmatic foreign policy will not necessarily lead to better relations with Eritrea's immediate neighbours.
• Re-engagement will further encourage foreign investment in extractives and port development, as well as review of the UN sanctions regime.
• The autocracy will resist reforms necessary for the benefits of any economic improvements and engagement to reach the population.