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ON THE GROWTH OF BIBLIOGRAPHIES WITH TIME: AN EXERCISE IN BIBLIOMETRIC PREDICTION

QUENTIN L. BURRELL (Statistical Laboratory, Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL)

Journal of Documentation

ISSN: 0022-0418

Article publication date: 1 April 1989

63

Abstract

Recent work has shown that potentially useful predictions of the circulation of library materials can be made which do not require very restrictive assumptions about underlying probability distributions. In the same spirit, we here consider one of the classic problems of bibliometrics, viz. predicting the number of ‘new’ journals carrying ‘relevant’ articles in the future, using both established parametric approaches and the newer, empirical methods.

Citation

BURRELL, Q.L. (1989), "ON THE GROWTH OF BIBLIOGRAPHIES WITH TIME: AN EXERCISE IN BIBLIOMETRIC PREDICTION", Journal of Documentation, Vol. 45 No. 4, pp. 302-317. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb026847

Publisher

:

MCB UP Ltd

Copyright © 1989, MCB UP Limited

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