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A CIRCULATION MODEL FOR BUSY PUBLIC LIBRARIES

A. BAGUST (Finance Department, Kirklees Metropolitan Council)

Journal of Documentation

ISSN: 0022-0418

Article publication date: 1 January 1983

Abstract

Starting from a basis laid by Burrell, this paper develops a stochastic model of library borrowing using the Negative Binomial distribution. This shows an improvement over previous characterizations for academic libraries and accords well with new data obtained at Huddersfield Public Library. Evidence concerning the process of issue decay is presented and employed to obtain an optimum stock turnover rate for any collection in its ‘steady state’. A method is then given by which simple relegation tests can be constructed to maintain such as optimum turnover. Although not the ‘final word’ in circulation modelling, the negative binomial distribution extends the range of model applicability into the area of high volume, rapid movement collections with some success.

Citation

BAGUST, A. (1983), "A CIRCULATION MODEL FOR BUSY PUBLIC LIBRARIES", Journal of Documentation, Vol. 39 No. 1, pp. 24-37. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb026737

Publisher

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MCB UP Ltd

Copyright © 1983, MCB UP Limited