Forecasting Cigarette Consumption: The Causal Model Approach
Abstract
The “causal model” approach to business forecasting attempts to discover, mainly on the basis of economic knowledge, those variables which appear to have influenced the forecast variable in the past, and then estimates by econometric methods the quantitative relationship between the causal and forecast variables. Future values of the forecast variable are then obtained by using forecasts of the causal variables in conjunction with the estimated relationship.
Citation
Witt, S.F. and Pass, C.L. (1983), "Forecasting Cigarette Consumption: The Causal Model Approach", International Journal of Social Economics, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 18-33. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb013936
Publisher
:MCB UP Ltd
Copyright © 1983, MCB UP Limited