TY - JOUR AB - The decision maker is in charge of procurement auctions at the department of transportation of Orangia (a fictitious U.S. state). Students are asked to assist him in estimating the winning bids in various auctions concerning highway repair jobs using data on past auctions. The decision maker is faced with various professional, statistical, and ethical dilemmas.To analyze highway procurement auctions from the buyer-auctioneer perspective, establish basic facts regarding the project price-to-estimated cost ratio, set up and estimate a structural regression model to predict the winning bid, and compute the probability the winning price will be below estimated cost. Difficulties include heteroskedasticity, logarithmic specification, and omitted variable bias. Also to estimate a Logit regression and predict bidder collusion probability. VL - IS - SN - 2474-6568 DO - 10.1108/case.kellogg.2016.000250 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/case.kellogg.2016.000250 AU - Eso Peter AU - Klibanoff Peter AU - Schmedders Karl AU - Hunter Graeme PY - 2017 Y1 - 2017/01/01 TI - Orangia Highways (A) T2 - Kellogg School of Management Cases PB - Kellogg School of Management SP - 1 EP - 5 Y2 - 2024/04/24 ER -