Index

How Do Leaders Make Decisions?

ISBN: 978-1-83867-812-8, eISBN: 978-1-83867-811-1

ISSN: 1572-8323

Publication date: 2 December 2019

This content is currently only available as a PDF

Citation

(2019), "Index", How Do Leaders Make Decisions? (Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development, Vol. 28B), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 183-188. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1572-83232019000028B021

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020 Emerald Publishing Limited


INDEX

Abbas, Mahmoud
, 80–81

ADA. See Applied Decision Analysis (ADA)

Ahmadinejad, Mahmoud
, 72–73

Al-Menai, Shadi
, 92

al-Rantissi, Abdel Aziz
, 77

Al Zawahiri, Ayman
, 67

Applied Decision Analysis (ADA)
, 2–5, 3–4, 10, 17, 62, 77, 78, 104, 109, 110, 146, 179, 180–181

Arab League
, 66–67, 85–86

Arab League Summit, telegram to
, 36–38

Arab Spring
, 10, 12, 22, 57, 81

Arms sales to Egypt
, 29–30

Assad, Bashar
, 57–59

Assad regime
, 85–86

in Syria
, 26–29

Assad’s forces
, 71

Aziz, Tariq
, 161

Behavior of strategic leaders
, 148

Bomb ISIS targets
, 32–34

Britain, to intervene in Syria
, 71

British

liberation of Tibet from
, 120

patronage, Tibet under
, 119–120

Bush, George W.
, 14–15

Byzantine Empire
, 61

Cairo Agreement (May 2011)
, 78–79, 80–88

Cairo Declaration
, 80

Chemical scud attacks
, 175

Chiang Kai-shek
, 114–115, 122

China

conduct naval exercises with
, 41–43

Cultural Revolution in
, 132

military action
, 120–121

military superpower
, 111–112

nuclear program
, 124

Civil War, in Syria
, 26–27, 58–59, 62

Clinton, Bill (President)
, 21, 22

Clinton, Hilary
, 65

Cold War
, 106, 116

Communist

activity in India and Pakistani forces
, 126

in East Germany
, 13

in North Vietnam
, 129

revolution
, 19

Conflict Records Research Center (CRRC)
, 151

Conventional scud attack
, 174

CRRC. See Conflict Records Research Center (CRRC)

Crusader, leadership style
, 148

Cuban Missile Crisis
, 125–126

Cybernetic theory of decision
, 2

Dalai Lama
, 114–115, 119–122

Decision

cybernetic theory of
, 2

dimensions, Vladimir Putin
, 18–22

Decision-maker
, 4, 11

Decision-making
, 2, 148

code of particular leaders
, 180

inclinations
, 181

model, poliheuristic
, 104

in national security
, 179–180

proclivities
, 181

rational and cognitive schools of
, 180

Vladimir Putin
, 10, 16–17

Decision-matrix
, 3, 180

identification
, 4

Decision-rule
, 171–172

determination of
, 4

East Germany, Communists in
, 13

EBA rule. See Elimination by aspect (EBA) rule

Egypt

arms sales to
, 29–30

reconciliation agreement
, 83–84

Elimination by aspect (EBA) rule
, 65, 66, 71, 158, 159, 161

Enlai, Zhou
, 134–135

Erdogan, Recep Tayyip
, 55, 56

analysis dimensions and weight
, 63

cognitive complexity
, 60

contacting regional parties and players (November 2012)
, 72–74

decision calculus match the poliheuristic decision model
, 56

decision-making
, 61

decision rules
, 65

decision to support democratic reforms
, 64

decision to threaten economic sanctions
, 67, 68

economic coercion (November 2011)
, 65–66

moderate military response
, 71, 72

outbreak of violence (March 2011)
, 63–65

personality and leadership style
, 59–61

threatens Syria by imposing a no-fly zone (2012)
, 66–69

threatens to invoke the self-defense clause in NATO treaty
, 69–70

Turkish foreign policy
, 57–58

implications
, 59–61

Eurasian Union of Former Soviet States
, 22

Fattah el-Sisi, Abdel
, 29

Foreign policy
, 10, 15, 16–17

and security
, 10

Turkish
, 57–58

“Friends of Syria” international conference
, 69

Gaddafi
, 57–58, 65–66

Gaza Strip

eradicate within
, 93

operation protective edge in
, 88, 90

Gorbachev’s revolution, in Russia
, 13

“Gulf of Tonkin” incident of 1964
, 129

Gulf War
, 149, 154, 160

Hamas
, 77, 79–99

charter
, 79

legitimacy
, 83

new policy document (May 2017)
, 95–99

Hamas-controlled Gaza
, 79

Hermann, Margaret
, 146, 148

Leadership Trait Analysis (LTA)
, 59–60

Hitler
, 115

Ho Chi Minh
, 114–115, 128–130

Hussein, Saddam
, 145–146

applied decision analysis
, 154–171

Arab world and
, 158–159

decision rule
, 163–164, 167–168, 171–172

decision to go to war with Iran
, 155–164

economy
, 160

Iran and
, 161

Israel and
, 160

leadership style
, 147

crusader
, 148

opportunist
, 148

pragmatic
, 148

strategist
, 148

military dimension
, 158

personality
, 150–154

political dimension
, 156–158

Scud attacks against Israel
, 168–171

United States and
, 159–160

India

communist activity in Indian forces
, 126

military action against
, 127

Indochina War
, 128–129

“Informal tunnel economy”
, 92

Intelligence analysis
, 180, 181

Intelligence center against ISIS

with Iran
, 30–31, 32

with Iraq
, 30–31, 32

with Syria
, 30–31, 32

International relations
, 2, 179

Iran

funds in 2011
, 84–88

intelligence center against ISIS with
, 30–31, 32

Saddam decision to go to war with
, 155–164

selling aircraft and satellite equipment to
, 25–26

supply of S-300 air defense systems to
, 22–24

Iran-Iraq War
, 152–153, 154, 158

Iraq, intelligence center against ISIS with
, 30–31, 32

Iron Dome system
, 89

ISIS

bomb targets belonging to
, 32–34

intelligence center against
, 30–31, 32

military action against
, 34–36

Islamic Resistance Movement
, 79

Israel

for operation “Protective Edge”
, 39–41

policymakers in
, 100

Saddam Scud attacks against
, 168–171

Scud attack on
, 160

terrorist attacks against
, 79

Israeli-Palestinian conflict
, 37, 77–78

“Jabhat al-Nusra” organization
, 67

Jordan, nuclear power plants agreement
, 43–45

Kim Il Sung
, 114, 116

Kissinger, Henry
, 106

Korea, communist struggle in
, 117

Korean War
, 110, 114, 116–118, 122

send aid, weapons, and money to support
, 117, 122

Kuwait
, 164–168

Leadership style
, 147–150

crusader
, 148

opportunist
, 148

pragmatic
, 148

strategist
, 148

Leadership Trait Analysis (LTA), Hermann
, 59–60

Lexicographic (LEX) rule
, 127–128, 158, 159–160, 161–162

Maoism
, 111, 112

Mao Zedong
, 103

attack the Taiwanese Islands (1954)
, 122

decision code
, 104, 106

decision making
, 104, 109, 110

decision-rule analysis
, 117–118, 121, 124, 127–128, 130, 134

dimensions of decisions
, 111–115

first international dimension
, 113–114

foreign policy and security decisions
, 135

ideological dimension
, 112

incorporation of Tibet into China in 1951
, 118–119

Korean War (1950)
, 116–118

military dimension
, 111–112

non-compensatory dimensions
, 104

personality traits
, 107–109

personal political dimension
, 113

second international dimension
, 114

Sino-Indian War (1962)
, 125–126

Sino-Soviet Border in 1969
, 131–132

Mashal, Khaled
, 77–99

applied decision rules
, 99

Cairo Agreement (May 2011)
, 80–88

ceasefire in operation protective edge (August 2014)
, 90

decision matrix for permitting limited cooperation with

Wilayat Sinai
, 94

financial future of the movement
, 86

non-trivial decision
, 81

Mazen, Abu
, 99

Mecca Agreement (2007)
, 80

Medvedev, Dmitry
, 15

Military action

against India
, 127

against ISIS on ground
, 34–36

Military assistance

to Assad regime in Syria
, 26–29

Military policy

toward India
, 126

Muslim Brotherhood
, 81, 98

Muslim rebels
, 10

National security

decision-making in
, 179–180

interactions
, 181

policy
, 179, 180

NATO
, 14–15

threatens to invoke the self-defense clause in
, 69–70

Nehru, Jawaharlal
, 125, 126, 127–128

Netanyahu, Binyamin
, 83

Net-assessment
, 181

Nixon’s national security
, 106

Non-condemnation of Israel

in UN for operation Protective Edge (2014)
, 39–41

North Vietnam, Communists in
, 129

Nuclear power plants agreement
, 43–45

Obama, Barack
, 41

Opportunist leadership style
, 148

Oslo Accords
, 78–79, 80

Ottoman Empire
, 61

Pakistani forces, communist activity in
, 126

Palestinians

Authority’s legitimacy
, 78–79

criticism and make demands of
, 37

send a letter supporting the
, 37

territories
, 78

PLO
, 80–81

Policymakers, in Israel
, 100

Poliheuristic decision-making model
, 104

Poliheuristic decision model
, 56

Poliheuristic parsimonious model
, 180

Poliheuristic rule
, 66, 127–128

Poliheuristic theory
, 2, 6, 61, 74, 79, 84, 88, 91, 99, 148, 158, 159, 161

Pragmatic leadership style
, 148

Prevailing theory
, 2

Public-Political dimension
, 83–84

Putin, Vladimir
, 10, 12–16, 72–73

active military assistance to assad regime in Syria
, 26–29

acts of terrorism
, 14

arms sales to Egypt
, 29–30

behavior
, 14

bomb targets belonging to ISIS
, 32–34

conduct naval exercises with China in Mediterranean Sea
, 41–43

decision code of
, 11–12

decision dimensions
, 18–22

decision-making
, 10, 16–17, 18

decision process
, 18

decision rule analysis
, 22–45

economic dimension
, 19

ideological dimension
, 20–21

intelligence center against ISIS with Iran, Iraq, and Syrian government
, 30–31, 32

international dimension
, 21–22

military action against ISIS on ground
, 34–36

non-compensatory dimension
, 45

non-condemnation of Israel in UN for operation protective edge in 2014
, 39–41

nuclear power plants agreement
, 43–45

political dimension
, 18–19

pyramid of power
, 14, 15

Saudi Arabia for sale of weapons, nuclear reactors, and an end to conflict in Syria
, 38–39

security dimension
, 19–20

selling aircraft and satellite equipment to Iran
, 25–26

send a telegram to Arab League Summit
, 36–38

supply of S-300 air defense systems to Iran
, 22–24

Rational actor model
, 2

Rational choice
, 24, 26

Reaction to political constraints
, 147

Revolution, Communist
, 19

Russia

economy improvement
, 19

elections in 2012
, 18–19

foreign policy and security
, 10

Gorbachev’s revolution in
, 13

intervention in Syria
, 26–27

military intervention in Syria
, 34–35

national security
, 19–20

societal situation
, 10

strenuous activity
, 27

S-300 air defense systems to Iran
, 22–24

Salafi-Jihadism
, 92

Sana’a Declaration 2008
, 80

Saudi Arabia

for sale of weapons, nuclear reactors, and an end to conflict in Syria
, 38–39

Scud attacks

chemical
, 175

conventional
, 174

against Israel
, 168–171

Self-confidence
, 147

Selling aircraft and satellite equipment to Iran
, 25–26

Sino-Indian War (1962)
, 114, 125–126, 131

Sino-Soviet Border in 1969
, 131–132

Soviet forces
, 132

Soviet intelligence service
, 13

Soviet Union

ambitious operation against
, 134

border conflicts
, 133

border tensions
, 133

campaign against
, 133

historic conflict
, 132–133

Special Republican Guard
, 154

Stalin
, 104–105, 113–114, 115, 116–117, 118, 120

Strategic leaders, behavior of
, 148

Strategist leadership style
, 148

Syria

active military assistance
, 26–29

aiding and non-action in events occurring in
, 27–28

Assad regime in
, 26–29

Britain to intervene in
, 71, 72

civil war in
, 26–27, 58–59, 62

intelligence center against ISIS with
, 30–31, 32

riots in
, 55–56

Russian intervention in
, 26–27

Russia’s military intervention in
, 34–35

Saudi Arabia for sale of weapons, nuclear reactors, and an end to conflict in
, 38–39

threatens, by imposing a no-fly zone (2012)
, 66–69

United States to intervene in
, 71

UN to act against
, 69–70

Syrian forces
, 59

Syrian war
, 81–83

Taiwan

bomb the islands surrounding
, 123

conduct diplomatic efforts to annex
, 123

publicly threaten to occupy Taiwan
, 123

Taiwanese Islands (1954), attacks
, 122

Taliban attacks, against US in 9/11
, 22

Tibet

under British patronage
, 119–120

defense
, 119

liberation of Tibet from British
, 120

military action
, 121

quiet liberation of
, 119

Trump, Donald
, 95–96

Turkish foreign policy
, 57–58

implications for
, 59–61

United Nations

to act against Syria
, 69–70

Security Council
, 22–23, 66–67

United States, to intervene in Syria
, 71, 72

USSR
, 106, 113–114, 123–124, 127, 130

Vietnam War
, 110, 115, 128–129, 130, 174

World War II
, 13, 116

Yassin, Sheikh Ahmed
, 77, 79

Yeltsin, Boris
, 14

Yusuf al-Qaradawi, Sheikh
, 86

Zionist Project
, 96