ADA. See Applied Decision Analysis (ADA)

African Nuclear Weapon Free Zone Treaty

, 122–123

Alon Plan

, 172

Al Shayrat Airport, Syria

, 20–22

Applied Decision Analysis (ADA)

, 1–2, 7–9, 14, 35–36, 74–75, 126

ARCHIGOS

, 162–163

“Atoms for Peace” program (South Africa)

, 124

Bannon, Steve

, 16, 18, 20

Bar-Ilan speech

, 79–80

Ben-Gurion, David

, 67

Botha, P.W.

, 124

nuclear weapons development (South Africa)

, 127–131

Bounded rationality, and cognitive school

, 4

Churchill, Winston

, 91, 92–93

assembling of full 25 ministers’ cabinet

, 101

Bombing the French fleet in July 1940

, 108–109

continuing to fight Germany (May, 1940)

, 99–100

convince the war cabinet to go to war

, 101

decision analysis

, 101–103, 105–108, 109–111, 112–118

decision dimensions

, 94–99

delaying the opening of a Western front in Normandy

, 103–105

EBA rule

, 102–103, 107–108, 115

foreign policy decision-making

, 91–92

fundamental strategical decisions

, 93–94

ideological dimension

, 94–95

international dimension

, 98–99

morality dimension

, 99

national security dimension

, 96–97

National Unity Government

, 95

negotiating with Italy

, 100–101

not preventing operation “Moonlight Sonata”

, 111–112

political survival dimension

, 95–96

war economy dimension

, 97–98

CINC index

, 166

Civil-military relations

, 158

Civil war

Libya

, 48–51

Syria

, 51–53

Clandestine nuclear project, South Africa

, 129, 131

Clinton, Bill

, 69–70

Clinton, Hillary

, 13–14, 39

Cognitive models, integrating the rational and

, 5–6

Cognitive school, bounded rationality and

, 4

Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty

, 125

Conflict resolution, Israel

, 174

COW project

, 166–168

Cybernetic theory of decision

, 2

Decision, cybernetic theory of

, 2

Decision-makers

, 4

Decision-makers act

, 3

Decision-making

military background on

, 156–157

probabilistic nature of

, 5

rational approach to

, 4

Decision rule

elimination-by-aspects (EBA)

, 5

lexicographic (LEX) decision rule

, 5

de Klerk, F.W.

, 124

nuclear disarmament

, 131–139

Disengagement Plan of 2005

, 173

Dismantling

, 122–123

Elimination-by-aspects (EBA) decision rule

, 5, 102–103, 107–108, 115, 139, 143, 150

Expected utility theory (EUT)

, 3–4

Foreign policy

, 13–14, 16, 17, 27

decision-making

, 4, 35–36, 91–92

Netanyahu’s leadership of Israel

, 69–71

Netanyahu’s personality and impact on

, 71–74

Gaddafi, Muammar

, 122, 125

Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty

, 125

decision to dismantle the nuclear arsenal

, 123

nuclear armament

, 139–144

nuclear disarmament

, 144–150

Great Depression of 1929

, 36, 41

HEU. See Highly enriched uranium (HEU)

Highly enriched uranium (HEU)

, 124, 134

Homo economicus

, 4, 7

Homo psychologicus

, 4

IAEA. See International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

Ideology

, 157

IDF. See Israel Defense Forces (IDF)

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

, 122–123, 124

Investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanism

, 17

Iran, signing the joint plan of action with

, 56–59

Israel

conflict resolution

, 174

foreign policy during Netanyahu’s leadership of

, 69–71

Oslo Accords

, 76–77

and Palestinians, peace process

, 69

security policy during Netanyahu’s leadership of

, 69–71

United Nations Security Council against

, 169

Israel Defense Forces (IDF)

, 160

Israeli leader national security decision-making

, 155–157, 158–163, 169–175

dependent variable

, 163–164

independent variable

, 164

internal pressure variables

, 164–165

international pressure variables

, 168–169

military experience variable

, 169

security variables

, 166–167

Israeli-Palestinian conflict

, 70, 85

Israeli-Palestinian issue

, 68

Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process

, 22–24

Israeli society, militarism in

, 159

Israel’s militaristic society

, 157

Kennedy, John F.

, 175

Khan, AQ

, 124–125

Khrushchev, Nikita

, 175

Lexicographic (LEX) decision code

, 139, 143, 150

Lexicographic (LEX) decision rule

, 5

Libya

civil war

, 48–51

military intervention in

, 50–51

nuclear armament, Gaddafi decision

, 139–144

nuclear disarmament, Gaddafi decision

, 144–150

nuclear project

, 124–126

security

, 123

WMD (Weapon of Mass Destruction) plan

, 123

Mass Democratic Movement (MDM)

, 133–134

MIDs. See Militarized interstate disputes (MIDs)

Militarism, in Israeli society

, 159

Militarized interstate disputes (MIDs)

, 159, 163, 167

Military experience

, 155–156, 157, 158, 159, 161, 162, 163, 169

Military leader

, 158, 159

Military service

, 156

Munich Agreement

, 94

NAFTA. See North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

National security decision-making, Israeli leader

, 155–157, 158–163, 169–175

dependent variable

, 163–164

independent variable

, 164

internal pressure variables

, 164–165

international pressure variables

, 168–169

military experience variable

, 169

security variables

, 166–167

NATO. See North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

Netanyahu, Benjamin

, 67–69, 86–88

ambition and determination

, 73

Bar-Ilan speech

, 79–80

decision-making process

, 74

decision matrix analysis

, 84–85

decisions calculus analysis

, 76–85

decision to freeze construction in Judea and Samaria

, 80–81

foreign and security policy

, 69–71

Israeli-Palestinian conflict

, 70

lack of responsiveness to Saudi initiative

, 85

non-renewal of construction freeze in Judea and Samaria

, 81–82

Oslo Accords

, 76–77

Palestinian Authority

, 69, 71–72, 74

personality and impact on foreign policy

, 71–74

pillar of defense military operation

, 70

poliheuristic decision rule

, 81, 82, 84–85

resumption of negotiations with Palestinians

, 82–83

suspension of peace negotiations with the Palestinians

, 84–85

Wye river memorandum sign

, 77–79

Wye Summit

, 69–70, 72

Zionist vision

, 68

Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty (NPT)

, 125

Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)

, 122–123

North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

, 19–20

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

, 22–24

NPD. See Narcissistic personality disorders (NPD)

Nuclear armament, Gaddafi decision

, 139–144

Nuclear disarmament

de Klerk decision

, 131–139

continued

, 136–137

halting

, 137–138

Gaddafi decision

, 144–150

continue

, 148–149

halting

, 149–150

Nuclear project

Libya

, 124–126

South Africa

, 123–124

Nuclear weapons development (Botha decision)

, 127–131

Obama, Barack

, 70

civil war in Syria

, 51–53

decision code during presidency (2008–2016)

, 36, 37, 40

decision dimensions

, 40–45

diplomatic dimension

, 43–44

humanitarian dimension

, 44

military dimension

, 42

political survival

, 40, 41

socioeconomic

, 41–42

decision-making process in foreign policy

, 35–36, 62

decision rule

, 36, 40

Libyan civil war

, 48–51

personal background

, 37–40

poliheuristic decision code

, 36

poliheuristic decision scenario

, 47

response to annexation of crime by Russia

, 59–62

response to Syria crossing the “red line”

, 53–56

signing the joint plan of action with Iran

, 56–59

U.S. Policy regarding Afghanistan in 2009

, 45–48

Oslo Accords (Netanyahu)

, 76–85

Oslo agreement

, 71–72, 160

Palestinians

agreement in principle for the establishment of

, 79–80

Israeli-Palestinian conflict

, 70, 85

Israeli-Palestinian issue

, 68

and Israel, peace process

, 69

Oslo Accords

, 76–77

resumption of negotiations with

, 82–83

suspension of peace negotiations with

, 84–85

Paris Agreement

, 28–29

Peaceful Nuclear Explosion (PNE) program

, 124

Peacemaking issues

, 157

PNE program. See Peaceful Nuclear Explosion (PNE) program

Poliheuristic decision code

, 36

Poliheuristic rule

, 116

Poliheuristic theory

, 2, 5–6, 68, 74, 78–79, 86, 138–139, 150

Political-military partnership model

, 159–160

Prevailing theory

, 2

Rational actor model

, 2, 3–4

Rational choice rule

, 107

Rational choice theory

, 3, 8–9

Rational models and cognitive model, integration

, 5–6

Renewable Energy and Water Desalination Research Center (REWDRC)

, 126

Revolutionary Coup Council (RCC)

, 140–141

Roosevelt, Franklin D.

, 98

Russia, response to annexation of crime by

, 59–62

Saudi initiative, lack of responsiveness to

, 85

Security policy

, 160–161

Netanyahu’s leadership of Israel

, 69–71

South Africa

“Atoms for Peace” program

, 124

clandestine nuclear project

, 129, 131

nuclear disarmament, de Klerk decision

, 131–139

nuclear project

, 123–124, 129–131

nuclear weapons development (Botha)

, 127–131

Syria

civil war

, 51–53

response to Syria crossing the “red line”

, 53–56

TPP. See Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)

Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)

, 17–19

Trump, Donald J.

, 13–14

approach toward NATO

, 22–24

attack on Al Shayrat Airport, Syria

, 20–22

decision-making process

, 19–20

dimensions

, 14–17

agenda

, 14

constituency

, 15

globalist advisors

, 17

nationalist advisors

, 16

political survival

, 14–15

foreign policy

, 13–14, 16, 17, 27

Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process

, 22–24

moving the US Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem

, 26–28

renegotiating NAFTA

, 19–20

withdrawal from Paris Agreement

, 28–29

withdrawal from Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)

, 17–19

United Democratic Front (UDF) organization

, 128

United Nations Security Council against Israel

, 169

United States Trade Representative (USTR)

, 18

UN Security Council

, 168

US Embassy, moving in Israel to Jerusalem

, 26–28

WMD (Weapon of Mass Destruction) plan (Libya)

, 123, 125, 146

World War I

, 92, 100

World War II

, 91, 92, 93–94, 95, 97, 104, 105, 110, 111, 112, 117

Wye river memorandum sign (Netanyahu)

, 77–79

Wye Summit

, 69–70

Yom Kippur War

, 141, 168