The Role of Analysts’ Recommendation Revisions in Helping Investors Understand the Valuation Implications of Announced Earnings

Abstract

In this study, I investigate analysts’ ability to process public information for investors by examining price reactions to a sample of analysts’ recommendation revisions issued shortly after quarterly earnings announcements. I find that these recommendation revisions are used by investors to reassess the valuation implications of announced earnings. Confirmatory (contradictory) recommendation revisions that have the same (opposite) sign as prior earnings surprises can cause investors to revise their beliefs about the valuation implications of announced earnings upward (downward) and thus cause price reactions that are positively (negatively) associated with prior earnings surprises. In addition, I find that as the information complexity of earnings announcements gets higher, these recommendation revisions play a more important role in helping investors understand the valuation implications of announced earnings. Finally, I find that analysts’ ability to interpret the valuation implications of announced earnings for investors has remained at a similar level since the adoption of Regulation Fair Disclosure. Overall, this study provides additional evidence on how analysts help improve corporate information environment.

Citation

Wang, Z. (2012), "The Role of Analysts’ Recommendation Revisions in Helping Investors Understand the Valuation Implications of Announced Earnings", Choi, J.J. and Sami, H. (Ed.) Transparency and Governance in a Global World (International Finance Review, Vol. 13), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 257-286. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1569-3767(2012)0000013012