Dependence and Return Distributions During Crises

Abstract

That asset returns are typically neither independent nor normally distributed is a stylised fact of many financial markets. We examine market returns for a number of emerging Asian nations before and during the Asian crisis and global financial crisis periods and consider how well these are described by the assumptions of normality and independence. Specifically we seek to ask how – if at all – these crises impacted upon the time-series properties of stock market returns in the emerging Asian economies. The first part of the chapter examines the comparative fit of the normal distribution to daily stock market returns for each of the economies under observation. The second part of the chapter follows with an examination of dependence relations in emerging Asian market returns around the crises periods.

Citation

Ellis, C. and Sundmacher, M. (2011), "Dependence and Return Distributions During Crises", Batten, J.A. and Szilagyi, P.G. (Ed.) The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Emerging Financial Markets (Contemporary Studies in Economic and Financial Analysis, Vol. 93), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 449-471. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1569-3759(2011)0000093016