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Prediction Markets as a Forecasting Tool

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting

ISBN: 978-0-85724-959-3, eISBN: 978-0-85724-960-9

ISSN: 1477-4070

Publication date: 14 November 2011


Internal prediction markets draw on the wisdom of crowds, gathering knowledge from a broad range of information sources and embedding that knowledge in the stock price. This chapter examines the use of internal prediction markets as a forecasting tool, including as a stand-alone, and as a supplement to forecasting tools. In addition, this chapter examines internal prediction market applications used in real-world settings and issues associated with the accuracy of internal prediction markets.


O'Leary, D.E. (2011), "Prediction Markets as a Forecasting Tool", Lawrence, K.D. and Klimberg, R.K. (Ed.) Advances in Business and Management Forecasting (Advances in Business and Management Forecasting, Vol. 8), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Bingley, pp. 169-184.



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