The purpose of our study is to examine the influence of three external corporate governance mechanisms (continuous disclosure regulatory reform, analyst following and ownership concentration) and one internal corporate governance mechanism (board structure) on the likelihood, frequency, horizon, precision and accuracy of management earnings forecasts in the low private litigation environment of New Zealand.
The authors use a sample of 1,082 management earnings forecasts issued by 125 firms listed on the New Zealand Exchange during the 1998-2007 financial reporting periods. The authors effectively control the self-selection bias problem inherent in management earnings forecasts.
The findings provide strong evidence that corporate governance significantly influences management earnings forecast behaviour. Firms with effective corporate governance tend to forecast earnings and provide these earnings forecasts more frequently and precisely. Earnings forecasts issued by firms with more non-executive directors on the board are less optimistically biased. A possible interpretation of the findings is that effective corporate governance mechanisms are able to substitute for a private enforcement alternative.
The findings have value in informing governance choices in the absence of external disciplinary mechanisms such as private litigation.
The authors are grateful to comments from David Emanuel, Jodie Nelson, Majella Percy, Peter Clarkson, Tony van Zijl and participants at the University of Auckland Research Seminar, the University of Otago Research Seminar, the 2011 European Accounting Association Annual Congress and the 2011 Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand Annual Conference. The authors thanks Asheq Rahman and one anonymous reviewer, whose suggestions have considerably improved the paper.
Chapple, L., Dunstan, K. and Truong, T. (2018), "Corporate governance and management earnings forecast behaviour: Evidence from a low private litigation environment", Pacific Accounting Review, Vol. 30 No. 2, pp. 222-242. https://doi.org/10.1108/PAR-09-2016-0081Download as .RIS
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